Wales
Denmark
- Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
- Referee: Irfan Peljto
- Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League A - 4): Denmark beat Wales 1-0 on . Scorer: Rasmus Hojlund 75' (pen.). Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Denmark (49%). Head-to-head: 0 wins for Wales, 0 draws and 1 win for Denmark in 1 meeting.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Wales – Denmark
UEFA Nations League: Denmark won 1-0 away at Wales (0-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Denmark — Rasmus Hojlund (75', pen.).
Possession 56% – 44%, shots 6 – 13.
- 10'A. Skov Olsen ↑ Pierre-Emile Højbjerg ↓Substitution · Denmark
- 29'Liam CullenYellow card · Wales
- 56'J. Sheehan ↑ Jordan James ↓Substitution · Wales
- 56'M. Harris ↑ Lewis Koumas ↓Substitution · Wales
- 66'Ben CabangoYellow card · Wales
- 75'Rasmus Hojlund (pen.)Penalty goal · Denmark0-1
- 76'A. Gaaei ↑ Rasmus Kristensen ↓Substitution · Denmark
- 76'J. Colwill ↑ Liam Cullen ↓Substitution · Wales
- 76'W. Burns ↑ Brennan Johnson ↓Substitution · Wales
- 80'Sorba ThomasYellow card · Wales
- 82'K. Høgh ↑ Rasmus Hojlund ↓Substitution · Denmark
- 82'M. Kvistgaarden ↑ Gustav Isaksen ↓Substitution · Denmark
- 83'K. Moore ↑ Ben Davies ↓Substitution · Wales
- 90'+4Mads HermansenYellow card · Denmark
Match stats – Wales vs Denmark
- 6Total shots13
- 1Shots on target4
- 5Shots off target6
- 0Blocked shots3
- 4Shots inside box10
- 2Shots outside box3
- 3Corners3
- 0Offsides3
- 11Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves1
- 564Passes440
- 481Accurate passes375
Official lineups Wales – Denmark
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Craig Bellamy (Wales) · B. Riemer (Denmark)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AIWalesDRAWDenmark25%26%49%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
WalesWLLDenmarkLWLHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Wales vs Denmark
In 1 meeting, Wales leads 0 wins to 1, with 0 draws; these matches produced 2 goals on average.
Wales0%Denmark100%In the last 1 meetings between Wales and Denmark in our data, Wales won 0, Denmark won 1, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Wales 0, Denmark 2.
Latest results between Wales and Denmark
- Denmark2 - 0Wales
Prediction statistics – Wales vs Denmark
Over 2.5 goals in 50% of Wales and Denmark matches on average, against 47% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 78 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Team profiles – Wales and Denmark
Wales takes 1 point per match and Denmark 1; Wales wins 33% of their matches, Denmark 33%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 1 |
| Home | W | 3 |
| Away | LL | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| xG / match | 0.95 | 1.05 | 0.85 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.62 | 1.3 | 1.93 |
last 3 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 1 |
| Home | LW | 1.5 |
| Away | L | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 4.33 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.33 | 2 | 3 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
Current form — who will win Wales – Denmark?
Over their last 3 matches, Wales shows W-L-L and Denmark L-W-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1WLLWales is 0% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Wales 25% · draw 26% · Denmark 49%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1LWL- WWales – Norway2 - 1
- LDenmark – Wales2 - 0
- LPortugal – Wales1 - 0
- LDenmark – Portugal2 - 4
- WDenmark – Wales2 - 0
- LNorway – Denmark3 - 2
Goals scored – Wales – Denmark: who will score more?
Wales scores 0.67 goals per match and concedes 1.33; Denmark scores 2 and concedes 2.33.
| Wales | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 33% | 100% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 33% | 100% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 67% | 0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 2 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Wales | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 67% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 33% | 67% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Wales – Denmark?
Both teams score in 33% of Wales matches and 67% of Denmark matches (competition average: 46%).
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Both score and win | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Under X goals
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 33% | 67% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Corners Wales – Denmark – how many corners?
Wales and Denmark matches average 8.7 corners; Wales wins 3 per match, Denmark 4.3 (competition: 8.5).
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 7 corners | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 8 corners | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 9 corners | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 10 corners | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 corners | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 3 | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (78 matches). Wales: 3 matches with statistics; Denmark: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Wales score? · Will Denmark score?
Scored in 33% of their matchesMedium chance
Denmark: clean sheet in 33% of their matchesScored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Wales: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Cards Wales – Denmark – how many cards?
3 cards per match on average for these two teams; Wales receives 2, Denmark 1.7; referee Irfan Peljto, Bosnia & Herzegovina shows 4.7.
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.5 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.67 | 1 | 1.34 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.33 | 3 | 2.67 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Referee: Irfan Peljto, Bosnia & Herzegovina — 4.7 cards and 17.5 fouls per match on average over 3 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Wales – Denmark
Wales leads at the break in 0% of their matches, Denmark in 0%.
0.67pts / match at half-timeWales is 103% better at half-time.
0.33pts / match at half-time| Wales | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 67% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 33% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 33% | 67% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 33% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 33% | 67% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Who will score first in Wales – Denmark?
Wales opened the scoring in 0% of their matches with a goal, Denmark in 33%.
WalesDenmarkGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Wales · total | Wales · scored | Wales · conceded | Denmark · total | Denmark · scored | Denmark · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 17% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 43% |
| 21–30 min | 17% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| 31–40 min | 17% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 17% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 17% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 50% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 17% | 0% | 25% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| 71–80 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| 81–90 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Wales · total | Denmark · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 17% | 15% |
| 16–30 min | 17% | 31% |
| 31–45 min | 17% | 0% |
| 46–60 min | 33% | 23% |
| 61–75 min | 17% | 23% |
| 76–90 min | 0% | 8% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Wales – Denmark
Wales shoots 9 times per match (3.3 on target), Denmark 15 (4.7 on target); average possession 42% against 56%.
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 7 | 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target / match | 3.33 | 4.67 | 4 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.33 | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| Shots per goal scored | 13.5 | 7.5 | 10.5 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 4+ shots on target | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| 5+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 6+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 7+ shots on target | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Offsides and more
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Fouls committed / match | 12.67 | 8.67 | 10.67 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 9.67 | 14.33 | 12 |
| Average possession (%) | 42 | 56 | 49 |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Free kicks – Wales – Denmark
Wales matches average 22.3 free kicks, Denmark matches 23.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Wales | Denmark | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 9.67 | 14.33 | 12 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 12.67 | 8.67 | 10.67 |
| Total free kicks / match | 22.33 | 23 | 22.67 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Wales: last 3 available matches; Denmark: last 3 available matches.
Which players will score in Wales – Denmark?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): N. Williams (1) for Wales, R. Højlund (2) for Denmark.
Top scorers – Wales
- N. Williams 1
- D. James 1
- D. Ward 0
- B. Davies 0
- E. Ampadu 0
- S. Thomas 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Denmark
- R. Højlund 2
- M. Damsgaard 2
- G. Isaksen 1
- R. Kristensen 0
- J. Andersen 0
- O. Provstgaard 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Wales
- E. Ampadu 1
- S. Thomas 1
- B. Johnson 1
- J. James 1
- B. Cabango 1
- C. Mepham 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Denmark
- R. Kristensen 1
- J. Mæhle 1
- M. Daramy 1
- G. Isaksen 1
- P. Dorgu 1
- J. Andersen 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Wales
- B. Johnson 0.48
- S. Thomas 0.47
- E. Ampadu 0.33
- D. Ward 0
- N. Williams 0
- B. Davies 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Denmark
- J. Mæhle 0.35
- R. Kristensen 0.33
- J. Andersen 0
- O. Provstgaard 0
- P. Højbjerg 0
- R. Højlund 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Wales
- Before this match, Wales took 3 points from their last 3 matches (1 per match), scored 2 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 3 matches, Wales has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Wales kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Wales matches (3 matches, recent form).
Denmark
- Before this match, Denmark took 3 points from their last 3 matches (1 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 3 matches, Denmark has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Denmark kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 3 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Both teams scored in 67% of Denmark matches (3 matches, recent form).
Match analysis
Wales and Denmark meet on Sunday, 4 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League A - 4), at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).
Wales and Denmark have met 1 time in our data. Wales has 0 wins, Denmark 1 win, and 0 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (27/09/2026): Denmark 2 - 0 Wales.
These meetings produced an average of 2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
Over their recent matches, Wales takes an average of 3 points per home match (1 match), and Denmark 0 points per away match (1 match).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 25% for Wales, 26% for the draw and 49% for Denmark.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Wales – Denmark played?
The match was played on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Wales – Denmark?
Denmark beat Wales 1-0. Scorer: Rasmus Hojlund 75' (pen.).
What is the head-to-head record of Wales – Denmark?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 0 wins for Wales, 0 draws and 1 win for Denmark.
Who are the top scorers for Wales and Denmark this season?
N. Williams (1 goal) for Wales, R. Højlund (2 goals) for Denmark (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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