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1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV: match preview, 10/10/2026

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BundesligaGermanyMatchday 5

1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim logo
Saturday · 14:30
Hamburger SV logo

Hamburger SV

  • Prezero Arena, Sinsheim
  • Referee: Harm Osmers
  • Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Key facts

Bundesliga (Matchday 5): 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV takes place on (UK time), at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for 1899 Hoffenheim (60%). Recent form (last 5 matches): 1899 Hoffenheim LLWLL, Hamburger SV WWLLL.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Last starting XI 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV

1899 Hoffenheim4-4-23-4-2-1Hamburger SV

Last starting XI fielded by each team (1899 Hoffenheim on 20/09/2026, Hamburger SV on 19/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Christian Ilzer (1899 Hoffenheim) · Merlin Polzin (Hamburger SV)

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    The AI built for football.

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    Bundesliga · 14:30FlashSport AI
    1899 HoffenheimDRAWHamburger SV

    60%20%20%

    VERDICT🔒 in the app

    Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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    Latest matches

    1899 HoffenheimLLWLL
    Hamburger SVWWLLL

    Head-to-head (H2H) last 2 matches

    2Wins
    0Draws
    0Wins

    Head-to-head statistics – 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

    In 2 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim leads 2 wins to 0, with 0 draws; these matches produced 4 goals on average.

    1899 Hoffenheim100%
    2matches2 wins · 0 draws · 0 wins
    Hamburger SV0%

    In the last 2 meetings between 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV in our data, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, Hamburger SV won 0, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 6, Hamburger SV 2.

    100% Over 1.52 / 2 matches
    100% Over 2.52 / 2 matches
    50% Over 3.51 / 2 matches
    100% Both teams score2 / 2 matches
    0% Clean sheets1899 Hoffenheim
    0% Clean sheetsHamburger SV

    Latest results between 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV

    1. Hamburger SV1 - 21899 Hoffenheim
    2. 1899 Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburger SV

    Prediction statistics – 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

    Over 2.5 goals in 70% of 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV matches on average, against 78% across Bundesliga.

    70% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 78%
    100% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 86%
    50% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 59%
    3.6 goals / matchCompetition average: 3.81
    3.4 cards / matchCompetition average: 3.65
    10.5 corners / matchCompetition average: 10.89

    Competition averages: 37 Bundesliga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Team profiles – 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV

    1899 Hoffenheim takes 0.6 points per match and Hamburger SV 1.2; 1899 Hoffenheim wins 20% of their matches, Hamburger SV 40%.

    1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · #14 of 18
    FormResultsPts / match
    OverallLLWLL0.6
    HomeWL1.5
    AwayLLL0
    StatsOverallHomeAway
    Wins20%50%0%
    Total goals / match3.843.67
    Goals scored / match1.421
    Goals conceded / match2.422.67
    Both teams score80%100%67%
    Clean sheets0%0%0%
    Failed to score20%0%33%
    xG / match1.831.971.69
    xG conceded / match1.72.091.32

    2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Hamburger SVBundesliga · #16 of 18
    FormResultsPts / match
    OverallWWLLL1.2
    HomeWWL2
    AwayLL0
    StatsOverallHomeAway
    Wins40%67%0%
    Total goals / match3.43.333.5
    Goals scored / match0.81.330
    Goals conceded / match2.623.5
    Both teams score20%33%0%
    Clean sheets20%33%0%
    Failed to score60%33%100%
    xG / match0.910.821.01
    xG conceded / match2.032.091.98

    2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Current form — who will win 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    Over their last 5 matches, 1899 Hoffenheim shows L-L-W-L-L and Hamburger SV W-W-L-L-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

    0.6LLWLL

    Hamburger SV is 50% worse on points per match.

    According to the FlashSport AI: 1899 Hoffenheim 60% · draw 20% · Hamburger SV 20%

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    1.2WWLLL
    1. LSC Paderborn 07 – 1899 Hoffenheim3 - 1
    2. LOFI – 1899 Hoffenheim2 - 0
    3. W1899 Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart2 - 1
    4. L1899 Hoffenheim – Borussia Dortmund2 - 3
    5. L1. FC Köln – 1899 Hoffenheim3 - 2
    1. WHamburger SV – FC Copenhagen2 - 0
    2. WHamburger SV – 1. FC Köln2 - 1
    3. LRB Leipzig – Hamburger SV5 - 0
    4. LHamburger SV – FSV Mainz 050 - 5
    5. LBorussia Dortmund – Hamburger SV2 - 0

    Goals scored – 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV: who will score more?

    1899 Hoffenheim scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes 2.4; Hamburger SV scores 0.8 and concedes 2.6.

    Goals scored per match
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
    Scores over 0.5 goal80%40%
    Scores over 1.5 goal60%40%
    Scores over 2.5 goals0%0%
    Scores over 3.5 goals0%0%
    Fails to score20%60%
    Goals scored / match1.40.8

    Goals conceded – who will concede?

    Goals conceded per match
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
    Concedes over 0.5 goal100%80%
    Concedes over 1.5 goal80%60%
    Concedes over 2.5 goals60%40%
    Concedes over 3.5 goals0%40%
    Clean sheets0%20%
    Goals conceded / match2.42.6

    Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    Both teams score in 80% of 1899 Hoffenheim matches and 20% of Hamburger SV matches (competition average: 59%).

    Goals in the match
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Over 0.5 goal100%100%100%
    Over 1.5 goal100%100%100%
    Over 2.5 goals80%60%70%
    Over 3.5 goals60%40%50%
    Over 4.5 goals40%40%40%
    Both teams score80%20%50%
    Both score and win20%20%20%
    Both score and draw0%0%0%
    Both score and over 2.580%20%50%
    Not both and over 2.50%40%20%
    Under X goals
    Under X goals
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Under 0.5 goal0%0%0%
    Under 1.5 goals0%0%0%
    Under 2.5 goals20%40%30%
    Under 3.5 goals40%60%50%
    Under 4.5 goals60%60%60%

    Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Corners 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV – how many corners?

    1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV matches average 10.5 corners; 1899 Hoffenheim wins 7 per match, Hamburger SV 3.8 (competition: 10.9).

    10.5corners / match (average of both teams)
    7corners won / match – 1899 Hoffenheim
    3.8corners won / match – Hamburger SV
    Corners in the match
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Over 6 corners100%75%88%
    Over 7 corners100%75%88%
    Over 8 corners100%50%75%
    Over 9 corners100%25%63%
    Over 10 corners100%25%63%
    Over 11 corners80%25%53%
    Over 12 corners40%25%33%
    Over 13 corners0%25%13%

    Team corners — won / conceded

    Team corners
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Corners won / match73.755.38
    Corners conceded / match5.255.1
    Over 2.5 corners won100%75%88%
    Over 3.5 corners won100%50%75%
    Over 4.5 corners won100%25%63%
    Over 2.5 corners conceded100%100%100%
    Over 3.5 corners conceded80%75%78%
    Over 4.5 corners conceded60%75%68%

    Competition average: 10.9 corners per match (37 matches). 1899 Hoffenheim: 5 matches with statistics; Hamburger SV: 4. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

    Will 1899 Hoffenheim score? · Will Hamburger SV score?

    Scored in 80% of their matches

    Strong chance

    Hamburger SV: clean sheet in 20% of their matches
    Scored in 40% of their matches

    Medium chance

    1899 Hoffenheim: clean sheet in 0% of their matches

    Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Cards 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV – how many cards?

    3.4 cards per match on average for these two teams; 1899 Hoffenheim receives 2.2, Hamburger SV 1.3; referee Harm Osmers shows 4.8.

    3.4cards / match (average of both teams)
    2.2cards received / match – 1899 Hoffenheim
    1.3cards received / match – Hamburger SV
    Cards in the match
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Over 2.5 cards40%100%70%
    Over 3.5 cards40%75%58%
    Over 4.5 cards40%0%20%
    Over 5.5 cards20%0%10%
    Over 6.5 cards0%0%0%

    Cards by half

    Cards by half
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)0.810.9
    Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)1.40.250.83
    Total 1st half (avg.)0.81.51.15
    Total 2nd half (avg.)2.22.252.23
    More cards in the 1st half20%25%23%
    More cards in the 2nd half80%75%78%

    Referee: Harm Osmers — 4.8 cards and 20.1 fouls per match on average over 14 matches in our data.

    Competition average: 3.7 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Win / draw / defeat by half – 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV

    1899 Hoffenheim leads at the break in 60% of their matches, Hamburger SV in 20%.

    1.8pts / match at half-time

    1899 Hoffenheim is 125% better at half-time.

    0.8pts / match at half-time
    Results by half
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
    Wins the 1st half60%20%
    Wins the 2nd half0%20%
    Draw in the 1st half0%20%
    Draw in the 2nd half40%40%
    Loses the 1st half40%60%
    Loses the 2nd half60%40%
    Over 0.5 goal at half-time100%80%
    Over 1.5 goal at half-time20%60%

    Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Who will score first in 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    1899 Hoffenheim opened the scoring in 60% of their matches with a goal, Hamburger SV in 40%.

    1899 Hoffenheim
    60%scored first in 3 / 5 matches
    Hamburger SV
    40%scored first in 2 / 5 matches

    Goals by 10-minute period

    Minutes1899 Hoffenheim · total1899 Hoffenheim · scored1899 Hoffenheim · concededHamburger SV · totalHamburger SV · scoredHamburger SV · conceded
    0–10 min0%0%0%6%0%8%
    11–20 min5%14%0%12%0%15%
    21–30 min16%14%17%6%0%8%
    31–40 min0%0%0%0%0%0%
    41–50 min21%29%17%29%50%23%
    51–60 min11%14%8%0%0%0%
    61–70 min26%29%25%0%0%0%
    71–80 min5%0%8%18%0%23%
    81–90 min16%0%25%29%50%23%

    Goals by 15-minute period

    Minutes1899 Hoffenheim · totalHamburger SV · total
    0–15 min5%6%
    16–30 min16%18%
    31–45 min11%18%
    46–60 min21%12%
    61–75 min32%12%
    76–90 min16%35%

    Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV

    1899 Hoffenheim shoots 19.4 times per match (5 on target), Hamburger SV 9.5 (3.8 on target); average possession 59% against 42%.

    Shots
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Shots / match19.49.514.45
    Shot conversion rate (%)756
    Shots on target / match53.754.38
    Shots off target / match83.755.88
    Shots per goal scored13.861916.43
    Over 10.5 shots100%25%63%
    Over 11.5 shots100%25%63%
    Over 12.5 shots100%0%50%
    Over 13.5 shots100%0%50%
    Over 14.5 shots100%0%50%
    Over 15.5 shots80%0%40%
    4+ shots on target80%50%65%
    5+ shots on target60%25%43%
    6+ shots on target40%25%33%
    7+ shots on target20%25%23%

    Offsides and more

    Offsides and more
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Offsides / match2.2522.13
    Over 2.5 offsides50%25%38%
    Over 3.5 offsides0%0%0%
    Fouls committed / match15.814.515.15
    Fouls suffered / match814.2511.13
    Average possession (%)594250.5
    Draws0%0%0%

    Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Free kicks – 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV

    1899 Hoffenheim matches average 23.8 free kicks, Hamburger SV matches 28.8.

    Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

    Free kicks
    1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVAverage
    Free kicks won / match814.2511.13
    Free kicks conceded / match15.814.515.15
    Total free kicks / match23.828.7526.28
    Over 20.5 free kicks60%100%80%
    Over 21.5 free kicks60%100%80%
    Over 22.5 free kicks60%100%80%
    Over 23.5 free kicks40%100%70%
    Over 24.5 free kicks40%75%58%
    Over 25.5 free kicks20%75%48%

    Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — 1899 Hoffenheim: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Hamburger SV: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

    Which players will score in 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    Top scorers (Bundesliga): A. Daghim (2) for 1899 Hoffenheim, N. Capaldo (1) for Hamburger SV.

    Top scorers – 1899 Hoffenheim

    1. A. Daghim 2
    2. A. Hlozek 2
    3. L. Avdullahu 1
    4. O. Kabak 1
    5. T. Lemperle 1
    6. O. Baumann 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).

    Top scorers – Hamburger SV

    1. N. Capaldo 1
    2. Y. Poulsen 1
    3. D. Heuer Fernandes 0
    4. N. Remberg 0
    5. A. Gronbaek 0
    6. J. Torunarigha 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).

    Who will get a card?

    Cards received – 1899 Hoffenheim

    1. W. Burger 3
    2. O. Kabak 2
    3. A. Hajdari 1
    4. M. Moerstedt 1
    5. Andrej Kramarić 1
    6. O. Baumann 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.

    Cards received – Hamburger SV

    1. N. Capaldo 1
    2. A. Gronbaek 1
    3. A. S. Lokonga 1
    4. Z. El Ouahdi 1
    5. S. Nandja 1
    6. D. Heuer Fernandes 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.

    Cards per 90 minutes

    Cards / 90 – 1899 Hoffenheim

    1. W. Burger 0.77
    2. O. Kabak 0.52
    3. A. Hajdari 0.29
    4. O. Baumann 0
    5. L. Avdullahu 0
    6. A. Daghim 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

    Cards / 90 – Hamburger SV

    1. A. S. Lokonga 0.35
    2. Z. El Ouahdi 0.35
    3. A. Gronbaek 0.27
    4. N. Capaldo 0.25
    5. D. Heuer Fernandes 0
    6. N. Remberg 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

    The teams in numbers

    1899 Hoffenheim

    • Before this match, 1899 Hoffenheim took 3 points from their last 5 matches (0.6 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
    • Over their last 5 matches, 1899 Hoffenheim has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats.
    • 1899 Hoffenheim kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals over that period.
    • 1899 Hoffenheim scored in every one of their 2 home matches in the sample studied.
    • Both teams scored in 80% of 1899 Hoffenheim matches (5 matches, this season).

    Hamburger SV

    • Before this match, Hamburger SV took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
    • Over their last 5 matches, Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.
    • Hamburger SV kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 13 goals over that period.
    • Away from home, Hamburger SV wins 0% of their matches (2 played) and scores 0 goals per match.
    • Both teams scored in 20% of Hamburger SV matches (5 matches, this season).

    Match analysis

    1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Bundesliga (Matchday 5), at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim).

    1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV have met 2 times in our data. 1899 Hoffenheim has 2 wins, Hamburger SV 0 wins, and 0 matches ended in a draw.

    Last meeting (25/04/2026): Hamburger SV 1 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim.

    These meetings produced an average of 4 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

    This season, 1899 Hoffenheim takes an average of 1.5 points per home match (2 matches), and Hamburger SV 0 points per away match (2 matches).

    According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 60% for 1899 Hoffenheim, 20% for the draw and 20% for Hamburger SV.

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    Frequently asked questions

    When and where is 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV played?

    The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), at Prezero Arena in Sinsheim — Bundesliga.

    Who is the favourite between 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV?

    1899 Hoffenheim goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    How many goals can we expect in 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of 1899 Hoffenheim matches and 60% of Hamburger SV matches. Both teams scored in 80% and 20% of their matches.

    What is the head-to-head record of 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV?

    Out of 2 meetings in our data: 2 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 draws and 0 wins for Hamburger SV.

    Who are the top scorers for 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV this season?

    A. Daghim (2 goals) for 1899 Hoffenheim, N. Capaldo (1 goal) for Hamburger SV (Bundesliga).

    Sources and method

    All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

    Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.

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