Arsenal

Premier LeagueEnglandMatchday 6

Arsenal

10/10/2026Saturday · 12:30

Leeds

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Emirates Stadium, London
Referee: Paul Tierney
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (UK time)

Key facts

Premier League (Matchday 6): Arsenal – Leeds takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), at Emirates Stadium (London). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Arsenal (65%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Arsenal LWWWW, Leeds DWDDW. Head-to-head: 9 wins for Arsenal, 1 draw and 0 wins for Leeds in 10 meetings.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

PREVIEWPremier League · 12:30

Who will win? according to the FlashSport AI

65%

Draw19%

15%

Over 2.5 goals: 52% · Both teams score: 46% · Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.7

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Standings before this match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	12
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	9

See the full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	-6	2

Last starting XI Arsenal – Leeds

Arsenal4-2-3-13-5-2Leeds

1Raya12Timber15Konsa6Gabriel33Calafiori41Rice39Guimaraes7Saka8Odegaard17Tzolis29Havertz1Trafford24Justin30Elvedi5Muharemovic2Bogle18Stach4Ampadu22Tanaka3Gudmundsson9Calvert-Lewin19Okafor

Last starting XI fielded by each team (Arsenal on 19/09/2026, Leeds on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Mikel Arteta (Arsenal) · Daniel Farke (Leeds)

Fan chat – Arsenal vs Leeds

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Premier League · 12:30FlashSport AI

ArsenalDRAWLeeds

65%19%15%

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Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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Latest matches

ArsenalLWWWW

LeedsDWDDW

Head-to-head (H2H) last 10 matches

9Wins

1Draws

0Wins

Head-to-head statistics – Arsenal vs Leeds

In 10 meetings, Arsenal leads 9 wins to 0, with 1 draw; these matches produced 3.2 goals on average.

Arsenal90%

10matches

90%10%

9 wins · 1 draw · 0 wins

Leeds0%

In the last 10 meetings between Arsenal and Leeds in our data, Arsenal won 9, Leeds won 0, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Arsenal 27, Leeds 5.

70% Over 1.57 / 10 matches

60% Over 2.56 / 10 matches

50% Over 3.55 / 10 matches

40% Both teams score4 / 10 matches

60% Clean sheetsArsenal

10% Clean sheetsLeeds

Latest results between Arsenal and Leeds

31/01/2026Leeds0 - 4Arsenal
23/08/2025Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
01/04/2023Arsenal4 - 1Leeds
16/10/2022Leeds0 - 1Arsenal
08/05/2022Arsenal2 - 1Leeds
18/12/2021Leeds1 - 4Arsenal
26/10/2021Arsenal2 - 0Leeds
14/02/2021Arsenal4 - 2Leeds
22/11/2020Leeds0 - 0Arsenal
06/01/2020Arsenal1 - 0Leeds

Prediction statistics – Arsenal vs Leeds

Over 2.5 goals in 35% of Arsenal and Leeds matches on average, against 52% across Premier League.

35% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 52%

64% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 72%

39% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 50%

2.1 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.82

4.5 cards / matchCompetition average: 3.92

8.5 corners / matchCompetition average: 9.38

Competition averages: 50 Premier League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Team profiles – Arsenal and Leeds

Arsenal takes 2.5 points per match and Leeds 1.8; Arsenal wins 83% of their matches, Leeds 40%.

ArsenalPremier League · #2 of 20

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	LWWWW	2.5
Home	WW	3
Away	LWWW	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	83%	100%	75%
Total goals / match	2.17	3	1.75
Goals scored / match	1.5	2.5	1
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.5	0.75
Both teams score	17%	50%	0%
Clean sheets	67%	50%	75%
Failed to score	17%	0%	25%
xG / match	1.7	1.97	1.52
xG conceded / match	0.81	0.3	1.15

2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

LeedsPremier League · #5 of 20

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	DWDDW	1.8
Home	DWD	1.67
Away	DW	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	40%	33%	50%
Total goals / match	2	2.33	1.5
Goals scored / match	1.4	1.67	1
Goals conceded / match	0.6	0.67	0.5
Both teams score	60%	67%	50%
Clean sheets	40%	33%	50%
Failed to score	20%	33%	0%
xG / match	1.56	1.62	1.48
xG conceded / match	1.29	1.2	1.43

2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Current form — who will win Arsenal – Leeds?

Over their last 5 matches, Arsenal shows L-W-W-W-W and Leeds D-W-D-D-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

2.5LWWWW

Arsenal is 39% better on points per match.

According to the FlashSport AI: Arsenal 65% · draw 19% · Leeds 15%

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

1.8DWDDW

L19/09/2026Brighton – Arsenal3 - 0
W12/09/2026Sunderland – Arsenal0 - 2
W09/09/2026Napoli – Arsenal0 - 1
W06/09/2026Arsenal – Chelsea2 - 1
W31/08/2026Aston Villa – Arsenal0 - 1

D20/09/2026Leeds – Crystal Palace0 - 0
W14/09/2026Leeds – Newcastle4 - 1
D05/09/2026Brighton – Leeds1 - 1
D30/08/2026Leeds – Brentford1 - 1
W22/08/2026Nottingham Forest – Leeds0 - 1

Goals scored – Arsenal – Leeds: who will score more?

Arsenal scores 1.5 goals per match and concedes 0.67; Leeds scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6.

Goals scored per match
	Arsenal	Leeds
Scores over 0.5 goal	83%	80%
Scores over 1.5 goal	50%	20%
Scores over 2.5 goals	17%	20%
Scores over 3.5 goals	0%	20%
Fails to score	17%	20%
Goals scored / match	1.5	1.4

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
	Arsenal	Leeds
Concedes over 0.5 goal	33%	60%
Concedes over 1.5 goal	17%	0%
Concedes over 2.5 goals	17%	0%
Concedes over 3.5 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	67%	40%
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.6

Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Arsenal – Leeds?

Both teams score in 17% of Arsenal matches and 60% of Leeds matches (competition average: 50%).

Goals in the match
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Over 0.5 goal	100%	80%	90%
Over 1.5 goal	67%	60%	64%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	20%	35%
Over 3.5 goals	0%	20%	10%
Over 4.5 goals	0%	20%	10%
Both teams score	17%	60%	39%
Both score and win	17%	20%	19%
Both score and draw	0%	40%	20%
Both score and over 2.5	17%	20%	19%
Not both and over 2.5	33%	0%	17%

Under X goals

Under X goals
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Under 0.5 goal	0%	20%	10%
Under 1.5 goals	33%	40%	37%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	80%	65%
Under 3.5 goals	100%	80%	90%
Under 4.5 goals	100%	80%	90%

Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Corners Arsenal – Leeds – how many corners?

Arsenal and Leeds matches average 8.5 corners; Arsenal wins 5.2 per match, Leeds 4.4 (competition: 9.4).

8.5corners / match (average of both teams)

5.2corners won / match – Arsenal

4.4corners won / match – Leeds

Corners in the match
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Over 6 corners	50%	80%	65%
Over 7 corners	50%	60%	55%
Over 8 corners	33%	60%	47%
Over 9 corners	33%	60%	47%
Over 10 corners	17%	40%	29%
Over 11 corners	0%	20%	10%
Over 12 corners	0%	20%	10%
Over 13 corners	0%	0%	0%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Corners won / match	5.17	4.4	4.79
Corners conceded / match	2.67	4.8	3.74
Over 2.5 corners won	83%	80%	82%
Over 3.5 corners won	83%	80%	82%
Over 4.5 corners won	67%	60%	64%
Over 2.5 corners conceded	50%	100%	75%
Over 3.5 corners conceded	33%	60%	47%
Over 4.5 corners conceded	17%	60%	39%

Competition average: 9.4 corners per match (50 matches). Arsenal: 6 matches with statistics; Leeds: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will Arsenal score? · Will Leeds score?

Scored in 83% of their matches

Medium chance

Leeds: clean sheet in 40% of their matches

Scored in 80% of their matches

Medium chance

Arsenal: clean sheet in 67% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Cards Arsenal – Leeds – how many cards?

4.5 cards per match on average for these two teams; Arsenal receives 1.3, Leeds 1.4; referee Paul Tierney shows 2.

4.5cards / match (average of both teams)

1.3cards received / match – Arsenal

1.4cards received / match – Leeds

Cards in the match
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Over 2.5 cards	83%	100%	92%
Over 3.5 cards	67%	60%	64%
Over 4.5 cards	50%	40%	45%
Over 5.5 cards	33%	20%	27%
Over 6.5 cards	17%	0%	9%

Cards by half

Cards by half
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)	0.33	0.8	0.57
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)	1	0.6	0.8
Total 1st half (avg.)	1.5	1.4	1.45
Total 2nd half (avg.)	3.33	2.8	3.07
More cards in the 1st half	17%	20%	19%
More cards in the 2nd half	83%	80%	82%

Referee: Paul Tierney — 2 cards and 22 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.

Competition average: 3.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – Arsenal – Leeds

Arsenal leads at the break in 17% of their matches, Leeds in 40%.

1.17pts / match at half-time

Leeds is 37% better at half-time.

1.6pts / match at half-time

Results by half
	Arsenal	Leeds
Wins the 1st half	17%	40%
Wins the 2nd half	83%	40%
Draw in the 1st half	67%	40%
Draw in the 2nd half	0%	40%
Loses the 1st half	17%	20%
Loses the 2nd half	17%	20%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time	50%	60%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time	50%	20%

Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Who will score first in Arsenal – Leeds?

Arsenal opened the scoring in 67% of their matches with a goal, Leeds in 75%.

Arsenal

67%scored first in 4 / 6 matches

Leeds

75%scored first in 3 / 4 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

Minutes	Arsenal · total	Arsenal · scored	Arsenal · conceded	Leeds · total	Leeds · scored	Leeds · conceded
0–10 min	7%	0%	25%	0%	0%	0%
11–20 min	7%	10%	0%	10%	14%	0%
21–30 min	14%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%
31–40 min	7%	0%	25%	20%	29%	0%
41–50 min	21%	20%	25%	20%	14%	33%
51–60 min	29%	30%	25%	10%	14%	0%
61–70 min	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
71–80 min	7%	10%	0%	20%	14%	33%
81–90 min	7%	10%	0%	20%	14%	33%

Goals by 15-minute period

Minutes	Arsenal · total	Leeds · total
0–15 min	14%	10%
16–30 min	14%	0%
31–45 min	14%	40%
46–60 min	43%	10%
61–75 min	7%	10%
76–90 min	7%	30%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Arsenal – Leeds

Arsenal shoots 15.2 times per match (5.3 on target), Leeds 12.2 (3.6 on target); average possession 59% against 45%.

Shots
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Shots / match	15.17	12.2	13.68
Shot conversion rate (%)	10	11	10.5
Shots on target / match	5.33	3.6	4.47
Shots off target / match	5	3.8	4.4
Shots per goal scored	10.11	8.71	9.41
Over 10.5 shots	83%	80%	82%
Over 11.5 shots	50%	60%	55%
Over 12.5 shots	50%	40%	45%
Over 13.5 shots	50%	20%	35%
Over 14.5 shots	50%	20%	35%
Over 15.5 shots	50%	0%	25%
4+ shots on target	67%	40%	54%
5+ shots on target	67%	40%	54%
6+ shots on target	50%	20%	35%
7+ shots on target	33%	0%	17%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Offsides / match	3.5	2.2	2.85
Over 2.5 offsides	50%	20%	35%
Over 3.5 offsides	33%	0%	17%
Fouls committed / match	10.33	10.6	10.47
Fouls suffered / match	14.83	13.2	14.02
Average possession (%)	59	45	52
Draws	0%	60%	30%

Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Free kicks – Arsenal – Leeds

Arsenal matches average 25.2 free kicks, Leeds matches 23.8.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
	Arsenal	Leeds	Average
Free kicks won / match	14.83	13.2	14.02
Free kicks conceded / match	10.33	10.6	10.47
Total free kicks / match	25.17	23.8	24.49
Over 20.5 free kicks	100%	80%	90%
Over 21.5 free kicks	100%	60%	80%
Over 22.5 free kicks	100%	40%	70%
Over 23.5 free kicks	50%	40%	45%
Over 24.5 free kicks	33%	40%	37%
Over 25.5 free kicks	33%	40%	37%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Arsenal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Leeds: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Which players will score in Arsenal – Leeds?

Top scorers (Premier League): B. Saka (3) for Arsenal, D. Calvert-Lewin (3) for Leeds.

Top scorers – Arsenal

B. Saka 3
K. Havertz 2
M. Odegaard 2
Bruno Guimaraes 1
D. Raya 0
Gabriel 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Top scorers – Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3
A. Stach 1
J. Bogle 1
N. Okafor 1
J. Trafford 0
J. Justin 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Arsenal

Gabriel 2
C. Tzolis 2
K. Havertz 1
D. Rice 1
Mikel Merino 1
D. Raya 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3
J. Bogle 2
A. Tanaka 1
Harry Wilson 1
J. Trafford 0
J. Justin 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Arsenal

C. Tzolis 0.49
Gabriel 0.4
D. Rice 0.22
K. Havertz 0.21
D. Raya 0
B. Saka 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 0.64
J. Bogle 0.49
A. Tanaka 0.35
J. Trafford 0
J. Justin 0
T. Muharemovic 0

Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

Before this match, Arsenal took 12 points from their last 5 matches (2.4 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
Over their last 5 matches, Arsenal has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.
Arsenal kept a clean sheet 3 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
Arsenal scored in every one of their 2 home matches in the sample studied.
Both teams scored in 17% of Arsenal matches (6 matches, this season).

Leeds

Before this match, Leeds took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
Leeds is unbeaten in 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
Leeds kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 3 goals over that period.
Leeds scored in every one of their 2 away matches in the sample studied.
Both teams scored in 60% of Leeds matches (5 matches, this season).

Match analysis

Arsenal and Leeds meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Premier League (Matchday 6), at Emirates Stadium (London).

Arsenal and Leeds have met 10 times in our data. Arsenal has 9 wins, Leeds 0 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw.

Last meeting (31/01/2026): Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal.

These meetings produced an average of 3.2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

This season, Arsenal takes an average of 3 points per home match (2 matches), and Leeds 2 points per away match (2 matches).

According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 65% for Arsenal, 19% for the draw and 15% for Leeds.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Frequently asked questions

When and where is Arsenal – Leeds played?

The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), at Emirates Stadium in London — Premier League.

Who is the favourite between Arsenal and Leeds?

Arsenal goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 65% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

How many goals can we expect in Arsenal – Leeds?

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 50% of Arsenal matches and 20% of Leeds matches. Both teams scored in 17% and 60% of their matches.

What is the head-to-head record of Arsenal – Leeds?

Out of 10 meetings in our data: 9 wins for Arsenal, 1 draw and 0 wins for Leeds.

Who are the top scorers for Arsenal and Leeds this season?

B. Saka (3 goals) for Arsenal, D. Calvert-Lewin (3 goals) for Leeds (Premier League).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:08.

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Arsenal – Leeds: match preview, 10/10/2026

Key facts

Last starting XI Arsenal – Leeds

💬 Fan chat – Arsenal vs Leeds

The AI built for football.

Discover the AI prediction for Arsenal – Leeds

Want more? Go FlashSport PRO

Latest matches

Head-to-head (H2H) last 10 matches

Head-to-head statistics – Arsenal vs Leeds

Latest results between Arsenal and Leeds

Prediction statistics – Arsenal vs Leeds

Team profiles – Arsenal and Leeds

Current form — who will win Arsenal – Leeds?

Goals scored – Arsenal – Leeds: who will score more?

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Arsenal – Leeds?

Corners Arsenal – Leeds – how many corners?

Team corners — won / conceded

Will Arsenal score? · Will Leeds score?

Cards Arsenal – Leeds – how many cards?

Cards by half

Win / draw / defeat by half – Arsenal – Leeds

Who will score first in Arsenal – Leeds?

Goals by 10-minute period

Goals by 15-minute period

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Arsenal – Leeds

Offsides and more

Free kicks – Arsenal – Leeds

Which players will score in Arsenal – Leeds?

Top scorers – Arsenal

Top scorers – Leeds

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Arsenal

Cards received – Leeds

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Arsenal

Cards / 90 – Leeds

The teams in numbers

Arsenal

Leeds

Match analysis

Frequently asked questions

Sources and method

All the analysis in the app

Fan chat – Arsenal vs Leeds