Union Berlin


SV Elversberg
- An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
- Referee: Tobias Reichel
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Key facts
Bundesliga (Matchday 5): Union Berlin – SV Elversberg takes place on (UK time), at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Union Berlin (41%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Union Berlin LLLDW, SV Elversberg DLWWL.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Union Berlin on 18/09/2026, SV Elversberg on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Mauro Lustrinelli (Union Berlin) · Vincent Wagner (SV Elversberg)
Fan chat – Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg
Fan interest index — blends live activity with match buzz.
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41%25%33%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
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Latest matches
Head-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg
No meetings between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg in our data.
Prediction statistics – Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg
Over 2.5 goals in 92% of Union Berlin and SV Elversberg matches on average, against 78% across Bundesliga.
Competition averages: 37 Bundesliga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Team profiles – Union Berlin and SV Elversberg
Union Berlin takes 0.8 points per match and SV Elversberg 1.33; Union Berlin wins 20% of their matches, SV Elversberg 33%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLDW | 0.8 |
| Home | LDWDL | 1 |
| Away | LLWLL | 0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Total goals / match | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.8 | 2 | 3.6 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| xG / match | 1.5 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| xG conceded / match | 2.13 | 1.31 | 2.95 |
last 10 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLWWL | 1.33 |
| Home | LWL | 1 |
| Away | DWD | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.83 | 2 | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| xG / match | 1.38 | 1.11 | 1.66 |
| xG conceded / match | 2.02 | 2.36 | 1.69 |
last 6 available matches.
Current form — who will win Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Over their last 5 matches, Union Berlin shows L-L-L-D-W and SV Elversberg D-L-W-W-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
SV Elversberg is 40% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Union Berlin 41% · draw 25% · SV Elversberg 33%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
- LBayern München – Union Berlin7 - 0
- LUnion Berlin – FC Schalke 041 - 3
- LBayer Leverkusen – Union Berlin4 - 0
- DUnion Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3
- WUnion Berlin – FC Augsburg4 - 0
- DFC Schalke 04 – SV Elversberg0 - 0
- LSV Elversberg – Bayern München1 - 2
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg3 - 4
- WSV Elversberg – Bayer Leverkusen3 - 2
- LSV Elversberg – 1. FC Heidenheim1 - 2
Goals scored – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg: who will score more?
Union Berlin scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 2.8; SV Elversberg scores 1.83 and concedes 1.83.
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 40% | 50% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 30% | 33% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 10% | 17% |
| Fails to score | 20% | 17% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.83 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 90% | 83% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 60% | 17% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 17% |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.8 | 1.83 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Both teams score in 70% of Union Berlin matches and 83% of SV Elversberg matches (competition average: 59%).
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 90% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 83% | 77% |
| Both score and win | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Both score and draw | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 70% | 83% | 77% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 30% | 0% | 15% |
Under X goals
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 10% | 50% | 30% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 67% | 74% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Corners Union Berlin – SV Elversberg – how many corners?
Union Berlin and SV Elversberg matches average 10.3 corners; Union Berlin wins 4.6 per match, SV Elversberg 3.7 (competition: 10.9).
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 7 corners | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 8 corners | 70% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 9 corners | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 10 corners | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 11 corners | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 12 corners | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 13 corners | 30% | 17% | 24% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4.6 | 3.67 | 4.14 |
| Corners conceded / match | 6.5 | 5.83 | 6.17 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 70% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 70% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 90% | 83% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 70% | 33% | 52% |
Competition average: 10.9 corners per match (37 matches). Union Berlin: 10 matches with statistics; SV Elversberg: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Union Berlin score? · Will SV Elversberg score?
Strong chance
Strong chance
Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Cards Union Berlin – SV Elversberg – how many cards?
3.4 cards per match on average for these two teams; Union Berlin receives 2, SV Elversberg 1.5; referee Tobias Reichel shows 3.6.
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 70% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.9 | 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.1 | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.1 | 1.83 | 1.97 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Referee: Tobias Reichel — 3.6 cards and 20.6 fouls per match on average over 11 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.7 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
Union Berlin leads at the break in 20% of their matches, SV Elversberg in 33%.
SV Elversberg is 122% better at half-time.
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 20% | 33% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 40% | 17% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 0% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 30% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 80% | 33% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 30% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 60% | 67% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Who will score first in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Union Berlin opened the scoring in 30% of their matches with a goal, SV Elversberg in 40%.
Goals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Union Berlin · total | Union Berlin · scored | Union Berlin · conceded | SV Elversberg · total | SV Elversberg · scored | SV Elversberg · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 11% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| 11–20 min | 7% | 0% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 21–30 min | 9% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| 31–40 min | 9% | 6% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 14% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| 51–60 min | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| 61–70 min | 11% | 0% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| 71–80 min | 16% | 25% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
| 81–90 min | 18% | 44% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Union Berlin · total | SV Elversberg · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 16% | 18% |
| 16–30 min | 11% | 18% |
| 31–45 min | 14% | 9% |
| 46–60 min | 14% | 9% |
| 61–75 min | 18% | 23% |
| 76–90 min | 27% | 23% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
Union Berlin shoots 13.3 times per match (5.2 on target), SV Elversberg 10.3 (4 on target); average possession 48% against 47%.
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 13.3 | 10.33 | 11.82 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 12 | 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target / match | 5.2 | 4 | 4.6 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.8 | 3.33 | 4.06 |
| Shots per goal scored | 8.31 | 5.64 | 6.98 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 50% | 17% | 34% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| 4+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 5+ shots on target | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| 6+ shots on target | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| 7+ shots on target | 50% | 17% | 34% |
Offsides and more
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.6 | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 10.2 | 11.5 | 10.85 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 9.9 | 11.67 | 10.79 |
| Average possession (%) | 48 | 47 | 47.5 |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Free kicks – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
Union Berlin matches average 20.1 free kicks, SV Elversberg matches 23.2.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 9.9 | 11.67 | 10.79 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 10.2 | 11.5 | 10.85 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.1 | 23.17 | 21.64 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 10% | 33% | 22% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.
Which players will score in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Top scorers (Bundesliga): T. Skarke (2) for Union Berlin, M. Krattenmacher (3) for SV Elversberg.
Who will get a card?
Cards per 90 minutes
The teams in numbers
Union Berlin
- Before this match, Union Berlin took 4 points from their last 5 matches (0.8 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Union Berlin has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
- Union Berlin kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 17 goals over that period.
- Union Berlin scored in every one of their 5 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 70% of Union Berlin matches (10 matches, recent form).
SV Elversberg
- Before this match, SV Elversberg took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, SV Elversberg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- SV Elversberg kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
- Away from home, SV Elversberg wins 33% of their matches (3 played) and scores 2 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 83% of SV Elversberg matches (6 matches, recent form).
Match analysis
Union Berlin and SV Elversberg meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Bundesliga (Matchday 5), at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).
Over their recent matches, Union Berlin takes an average of 1 point per home match (5 matches), and SV Elversberg 1.67 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 41% for Union Berlin, 25% for the draw and 33% for SV Elversberg.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Union Berlin – SV Elversberg played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), at An der Alten Försterei in Berlin — Bundesliga.
Who is the favourite between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg?
Union Berlin goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 41% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of Union Berlin matches and 83% of SV Elversberg matches. Both teams scored in 70% and 83% of their matches.
Who are the top scorers for Union Berlin and SV Elversberg this season?
T. Skarke (2 goals) for Union Berlin, M. Krattenmacher (3 goals) for SV Elversberg (Bundesliga).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
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