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Union Berlin – SV Elversberg: match preview, 10/10/2026

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BundesligaGermanyMatchday 5

Union Berlin

Union Berlin logo
Saturday · 14:30
SV Elversberg logo

SV Elversberg

  • An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
  • Referee: Tobias Reichel
  • Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Key facts

Bundesliga (Matchday 5): Union Berlin – SV Elversberg takes place on (UK time), at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Union Berlin (41%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Union Berlin LLLDW, SV Elversberg DLWWL.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Last starting XI Union Berlin – SV Elversberg

Union Berlin4-2-3-14-2-3-1SV Elversberg

Last starting XI fielded by each team (Union Berlin on 18/09/2026, SV Elversberg on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Mauro Lustrinelli (Union Berlin) · Vincent Wagner (SV Elversberg)

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    The AI built for football.

    A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.

    Bundesliga · 14:30FlashSport AI
    Union BerlinDRAWSV Elversberg

    41%25%33%

    VERDICT🔒 in the app

    Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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    Latest matches

    Union BerlinLLLDW
    SV ElversbergDLWWL

    Head-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches

    0Wins
    0Draws
    0Wins

    Head-to-head statistics – Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

    No meetings between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg in our data.

    Prediction statistics – Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

    Over 2.5 goals in 92% of Union Berlin and SV Elversberg matches on average, against 78% across Bundesliga.

    92% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 78%
    92% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 86%
    77% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 59%
    4 goals / matchCompetition average: 3.81
    3.4 cards / matchCompetition average: 3.65
    10.3 corners / matchCompetition average: 10.89

    Competition averages: 37 Bundesliga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Team profiles – Union Berlin and SV Elversberg

    Union Berlin takes 0.8 points per match and SV Elversberg 1.33; Union Berlin wins 20% of their matches, SV Elversberg 33%.

    Union BerlinBundesliga · #17 of 18
    FormResultsPts / match
    OverallLLLDW0.8
    HomeLDWDL1
    AwayLLWLL0.6
    StatsOverallHomeAway
    Wins20%20%20%
    Total goals / match4.44.24.6
    Goals scored / match1.62.21
    Goals conceded / match2.823.6
    Both teams score70%80%60%
    Clean sheets10%20%0%
    Failed to score20%0%40%
    xG / match1.52.080.92
    xG conceded / match2.131.312.95

    last 10 available matches.

    SV ElversbergBundesliga · #7 of 18
    FormResultsPts / match
    OverallDLWWL1.33
    HomeLWL1
    AwayDWD1.67
    StatsOverallHomeAway
    Wins33%33%33%
    Total goals / match3.673.673.67
    Goals scored / match1.831.672
    Goals conceded / match1.8321.67
    Both teams score83%100%67%
    Clean sheets17%0%33%
    Failed to score17%0%33%
    xG / match1.381.111.66
    xG conceded / match2.022.361.69

    last 6 available matches.

    Current form — who will win Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?

    Over their last 5 matches, Union Berlin shows L-L-L-D-W and SV Elversberg D-L-W-W-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

    0.8LLLDW

    SV Elversberg is 40% worse on points per match.

    According to the FlashSport AI: Union Berlin 41% · draw 25% · SV Elversberg 33%

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    1.33DLWWL
    1. LBayern München – Union Berlin7 - 0
    2. LUnion Berlin – FC Schalke 041 - 3
    3. LBayer Leverkusen – Union Berlin4 - 0
    4. DUnion Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3
    5. WUnion Berlin – FC Augsburg4 - 0
    1. DFC Schalke 04 – SV Elversberg0 - 0
    2. LSV Elversberg – Bayern München1 - 2
    3. WBorussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg3 - 4
    4. WSV Elversberg – Bayer Leverkusen3 - 2
    5. LSV Elversberg – 1. FC Heidenheim1 - 2

    Goals scored – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg: who will score more?

    Union Berlin scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 2.8; SV Elversberg scores 1.83 and concedes 1.83.

    Goals scored per match
    Union BerlinSV Elversberg
    Scores over 0.5 goal80%83%
    Scores over 1.5 goal40%50%
    Scores over 2.5 goals30%33%
    Scores over 3.5 goals10%17%
    Fails to score20%17%
    Goals scored / match1.61.83

    Goals conceded – who will concede?

    Goals conceded per match
    Union BerlinSV Elversberg
    Concedes over 0.5 goal90%83%
    Concedes over 1.5 goal80%83%
    Concedes over 2.5 goals60%17%
    Concedes over 3.5 goals20%0%
    Clean sheets10%17%
    Goals conceded / match2.81.83

    Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?

    Both teams score in 70% of Union Berlin matches and 83% of SV Elversberg matches (competition average: 59%).

    Goals in the match
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Over 0.5 goal100%83%92%
    Over 1.5 goal100%83%92%
    Over 2.5 goals100%83%92%
    Over 3.5 goals90%50%70%
    Over 4.5 goals20%33%27%
    Both teams score70%83%77%
    Both score and win10%33%22%
    Both score and draw20%17%19%
    Both score and over 2.570%83%77%
    Not both and over 2.530%0%15%
    Under X goals
    Under X goals
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Under 0.5 goal0%17%9%
    Under 1.5 goals0%17%9%
    Under 2.5 goals0%17%9%
    Under 3.5 goals10%50%30%
    Under 4.5 goals80%67%74%

    Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Corners Union Berlin – SV Elversberg – how many corners?

    Union Berlin and SV Elversberg matches average 10.3 corners; Union Berlin wins 4.6 per match, SV Elversberg 3.7 (competition: 10.9).

    10.3corners / match (average of both teams)
    4.6corners won / match – Union Berlin
    3.7corners won / match – SV Elversberg
    Corners in the match
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Over 6 corners100%83%92%
    Over 7 corners80%67%74%
    Over 8 corners70%33%52%
    Over 9 corners60%33%47%
    Over 10 corners60%33%47%
    Over 11 corners50%33%42%
    Over 12 corners40%17%29%
    Over 13 corners30%17%24%

    Team corners — won / conceded

    Team corners
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Corners won / match4.63.674.14
    Corners conceded / match6.55.836.17
    Over 2.5 corners won70%100%85%
    Over 3.5 corners won70%67%69%
    Over 4.5 corners won40%0%20%
    Over 2.5 corners conceded90%83%87%
    Over 3.5 corners conceded80%67%74%
    Over 4.5 corners conceded70%33%52%

    Competition average: 10.9 corners per match (37 matches). Union Berlin: 10 matches with statistics; SV Elversberg: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

    Will Union Berlin score? · Will SV Elversberg score?

    Scored in 80% of their matches

    Strong chance

    SV Elversberg: clean sheet in 17% of their matches
    Scored in 83% of their matches

    Strong chance

    Union Berlin: clean sheet in 10% of their matches

    Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Cards Union Berlin – SV Elversberg – how many cards?

    3.4 cards per match on average for these two teams; Union Berlin receives 2, SV Elversberg 1.5; referee Tobias Reichel shows 3.6.

    3.4cards / match (average of both teams)
    2cards received / match – Union Berlin
    1.5cards received / match – SV Elversberg
    Cards in the match
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Over 2.5 cards70%67%69%
    Over 3.5 cards60%50%55%
    Over 4.5 cards20%17%19%
    Over 5.5 cards10%0%5%
    Over 6.5 cards0%0%0%

    Cards by half

    Cards by half
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)0.90.830.87
    Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)1.10.670.89
    Total 1st half (avg.)1.51.331.42
    Total 2nd half (avg.)2.11.831.97
    More cards in the 1st half10%33%22%
    More cards in the 2nd half50%50%50%

    Referee: Tobias Reichel — 3.6 cards and 20.6 fouls per match on average over 11 matches in our data.

    Competition average: 3.7 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Win / draw / defeat by half – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg

    Union Berlin leads at the break in 20% of their matches, SV Elversberg in 33%.

    0.6pts / match at half-time

    SV Elversberg is 122% better at half-time.

    1.33pts / match at half-time
    Results by half
    Union BerlinSV Elversberg
    Wins the 1st half20%33%
    Wins the 2nd half40%17%
    Draw in the 1st half0%33%
    Draw in the 2nd half30%33%
    Loses the 1st half80%33%
    Loses the 2nd half30%50%
    Over 0.5 goal at half-time100%83%
    Over 1.5 goal at half-time60%67%

    Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Who will score first in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?

    Union Berlin opened the scoring in 30% of their matches with a goal, SV Elversberg in 40%.

    Union Berlin
    30%scored first in 3 / 10 matches
    SV Elversberg
    40%scored first in 2 / 5 matches

    Goals by 10-minute period

    MinutesUnion Berlin · totalUnion Berlin · scoredUnion Berlin · concededSV Elversberg · totalSV Elversberg · scoredSV Elversberg · conceded
    0–10 min11%13%11%14%18%9%
    11–20 min7%0%11%9%9%9%
    21–30 min9%0%14%14%18%9%
    31–40 min9%6%11%0%0%0%
    41–50 min14%6%18%14%18%9%
    51–60 min5%6%4%5%0%9%
    61–70 min11%0%18%18%18%18%
    71–80 min16%25%11%14%9%18%
    81–90 min18%44%4%14%9%18%

    Goals by 15-minute period

    MinutesUnion Berlin · totalSV Elversberg · total
    0–15 min16%18%
    16–30 min11%18%
    31–45 min14%9%
    46–60 min14%9%
    61–75 min18%23%
    76–90 min27%23%

    Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg

    Union Berlin shoots 13.3 times per match (5.2 on target), SV Elversberg 10.3 (4 on target); average possession 48% against 47%.

    Shots
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Shots / match13.310.3311.82
    Shot conversion rate (%)121815
    Shots on target / match5.244.6
    Shots off target / match4.83.334.06
    Shots per goal scored8.315.646.98
    Over 10.5 shots60%67%64%
    Over 11.5 shots60%33%47%
    Over 12.5 shots60%33%47%
    Over 13.5 shots50%17%34%
    Over 14.5 shots50%0%25%
    Over 15.5 shots50%0%25%
    4+ shots on target50%50%50%
    5+ shots on target50%33%42%
    6+ shots on target50%33%42%
    7+ shots on target50%17%34%

    Offsides and more

    Offsides and more
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Offsides / match1.61.171.39
    Over 2.5 offsides30%0%15%
    Over 3.5 offsides0%0%0%
    Fouls committed / match10.211.510.85
    Fouls suffered / match9.911.6710.79
    Average possession (%)484747.5
    Draws20%33%27%

    Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Free kicks – Union Berlin – SV Elversberg

    Union Berlin matches average 20.1 free kicks, SV Elversberg matches 23.2.

    Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

    Free kicks
    Union BerlinSV ElversbergAverage
    Free kicks won / match9.911.6710.79
    Free kicks conceded / match10.211.510.85
    Total free kicks / match20.123.1721.64
    Over 20.5 free kicks60%50%55%
    Over 21.5 free kicks20%50%35%
    Over 22.5 free kicks20%33%27%
    Over 23.5 free kicks10%33%22%
    Over 24.5 free kicks10%33%22%
    Over 25.5 free kicks10%33%22%

    Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Union Berlin: last 10 available matches; SV Elversberg: last 6 available matches.

    Which players will score in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?

    Top scorers (Bundesliga): T. Skarke (2) for Union Berlin, M. Krattenmacher (3) for SV Elversberg.

    Top scorers – Union Berlin

    1. T. Skarke 2
    2. L. Querfeld 1
    3. E. Latte Lath 1
    4. T. Rothe 0
    5. R. Khedira 0
    6. M. Aebischer 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).

    Top scorers – SV Elversberg

    1. M. Krattenmacher 3
    2. D. Mokwa Ntusu 2
    3. L. Petkov 1
    4. F. Keidel 1
    5. C. Campbell 1
    6. N. Kristof 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).

    Who will get a card?

    Cards received – Union Berlin

    1. F. Uduokhai 3
    2. Z. Van Den Bosch 2
    3. R. Khedira 1
    4. M. Aebischer 1
    5. Marin Ljubičić 1
    6. A. Kemlein 1

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.

    Cards received – SV Elversberg

    1. F. Keidel 2
    2. N. Kristof 1
    3. M. Rohr 1
    4. C. Campbell 1
    5. F. Onyeka 1
    6. N. Darvich 1

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.

    Cards per 90 minutes

    Cards / 90 – Union Berlin

    1. F. Uduokhai 1
    2. Z. Van Den Bosch 0.9
    3. Livan Burcu 0.49
    4. Marin Ljubičić 0.42
    5. A. Kemlein 0.42
    6. M. Aebischer 0.3

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

    Cards / 90 – SV Elversberg

    1. F. Keidel 0.52
    2. C. Campbell 0.34
    3. M. Rohr 0.26
    4. N. Kristof 0.25
    5. L. Pinckert 0
    6. L. Poreba 0

    Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

    The teams in numbers

    Union Berlin

    • Before this match, Union Berlin took 4 points from their last 5 matches (0.8 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
    • Over their last 5 matches, Union Berlin has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
    • Union Berlin kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 17 goals over that period.
    • Union Berlin scored in every one of their 5 home matches in the sample studied.
    • Both teams scored in 70% of Union Berlin matches (10 matches, recent form).

    SV Elversberg

    • Before this match, SV Elversberg took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
    • Over their last 5 matches, SV Elversberg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
    • SV Elversberg kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
    • Away from home, SV Elversberg wins 33% of their matches (3 played) and scores 2 goals per match.
    • Both teams scored in 83% of SV Elversberg matches (6 matches, recent form).

    Match analysis

    Union Berlin and SV Elversberg meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Bundesliga (Matchday 5), at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

    Over their recent matches, Union Berlin takes an average of 1 point per home match (5 matches), and SV Elversberg 1.67 points per away match (3 matches).

    According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 41% for Union Berlin, 25% for the draw and 33% for SV Elversberg.

    Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    Frequently asked questions

    When and where is Union Berlin – SV Elversberg played?

    The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), at An der Alten Försterei in Berlin — Bundesliga.

    Who is the favourite between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg?

    Union Berlin goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 41% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

    How many goals can we expect in Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?

    Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of Union Berlin matches and 83% of SV Elversberg matches. Both teams scored in 70% and 83% of their matches.

    Who are the top scorers for Union Berlin and SV Elversberg this season?

    T. Skarke (2 goals) for Union Berlin, M. Krattenmacher (3 goals) for SV Elversberg (Bundesliga).

    Sources and method

    All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

    Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.

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