- Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
- Referee: Felix Zwayer
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Key facts
Bundesliga (Matchday 5): SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart takes place on (UK time), at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for VfB Stuttgart (57%). Recent form (last 5 matches): SC Paderborn 07 WWLLD, VfB Stuttgart WWLLW.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
Last starting XI fielded by each team (SC Paderborn 07 on 01/10/2026, VfB Stuttgart on 01/10/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Ralf Kettemann (SC Paderborn 07) · Sebastian Hoeness (VfB Stuttgart)
Fan chat – SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
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Bundesliga · 14:30FlashSport AI
SC Paderborn 07DRAWVfB Stuttgart
21%22%57%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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SC Paderborn 07WWLLDVfB StuttgartWWLLWHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
No meetings between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in our data.
Prediction statistics – SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals in 63% of SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart matches on average, against 78% across Bundesliga.
Competition averages: 37 Bundesliga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Team profiles – SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07 takes 1.4 points per match and VfB Stuttgart 1.71; SC Paderborn 07 wins 40% of their matches, VfB Stuttgart 57%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLD | 1.4 |
| Home | WL | 1.5 |
| Away | WLD | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| xG / match | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.5 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 1.71 |
| Home | WWLWW | 2.4 |
| Away | LL | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 57% | 80% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.86 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.43 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.43 | 0.6 | 3.5 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.82 | 2.17 | 1.48 |
| xG conceded / match | 2.76 | 2.1 | 3.41 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Current form — who will win SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
Over their last 5 matches, SC Paderborn 07 shows W-W-L-L-D and VfB Stuttgart W-W-L-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.4WWLLDVfB Stuttgart is 18% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: SC Paderborn 07 21% · draw 22% · VfB Stuttgart 57%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.71WWLLW- WDC United – SC Paderborn 070 - 1
- WSC Paderborn 07 – 1899 Hoffenheim3 - 1
- LBorussia Dortmund – SC Paderborn 073 - 0
- LSC Paderborn 07 – SC Freiburg0 - 1
- DFSV Mainz 05 – SC Paderborn 070 - 0
- WVfB Stuttgart – SpVgg Greuther Fürth5 - 0
- WVfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Heidenheim3 - 0
- LVfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund0 - 1
- L1899 Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart2 - 1
- WVfB Stuttgart – Viking3 - 1
Goals scored – SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart: who will score more?
SC Paderborn 07 scores 0.8 goals per match and concedes 1; VfB Stuttgart scores 2.43 and concedes 1.43.
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 40% | 86% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 20% | 57% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 20% | 57% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 29% |
| Fails to score | 60% | 14% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.43 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 60% | 71% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 20% | 29% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 20% | 14% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 14% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 29% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 1.43 |
Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
Both teams score in 20% of SC Paderborn 07 matches and 57% of VfB Stuttgart matches (competition average: 59%).
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 40% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 57% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 43% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 57% | 39% |
| Both score and win | 20% | 29% | 25% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 20% | 57% | 39% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 20% | 29% | 25% |
Under X goals
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 60% | 14% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 14% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 43% | 62% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 57% | 79% |
Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Corners SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart – how many corners?
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart matches average 11.3 corners; SC Paderborn 07 wins 4 per match, VfB Stuttgart 6 (competition: 10.9).
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 7 corners | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 8 corners | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 9 corners | 75% | 60% | 68% |
| Over 10 corners | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 11 corners | 25% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 12 corners | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Corners conceded / match | 6.75 | 5.8 | 6.28 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 75% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 75% | 80% | 78% |
Competition average: 10.9 corners per match (37 matches). SC Paderborn 07: 4 matches with statistics; VfB Stuttgart: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will SC Paderborn 07 score? · Will VfB Stuttgart score?
Scored in 40% of their matchesMedium chance
VfB Stuttgart: clean sheet in 29% of their matchesScored in 86% of their matchesMedium chance
SC Paderborn 07: clean sheet in 40% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Cards SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart – how many cards?
3.4 cards per match on average for these two teams; SC Paderborn 07 receives 1.5, VfB Stuttgart 1.2; referee Felix Zwayer shows 5.1.
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 25% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Cards by half
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 60% | 100% | 80% |
Referee: Felix Zwayer — 5.1 cards and 22 fouls per match on average over 22 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.7 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07 leads at the break in 40% of their matches, VfB Stuttgart in 57%.
1.4pts / match at half-timeVfB Stuttgart is 33% better at half-time.
1.86pts / match at half-time| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 40% | 57% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 20% | 14% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 80% | 29% |
| Loses the 1st half | 40% | 29% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 20% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 20% | 29% |
Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Who will score first in SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
SC Paderborn 07 opened the scoring in 50% of their matches with a goal, VfB Stuttgart in 57%.
SC Paderborn 07VfB StuttgartGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | SC Paderborn 07 · total | SC Paderborn 07 · scored | SC Paderborn 07 · conceded | VfB Stuttgart · total | VfB Stuttgart · scored | VfB Stuttgart · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 18% | 10% |
| 21–30 min | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 20% |
| 31–40 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 33% | 50% | 20% | 7% | 12% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12% | 20% |
| 61–70 min | 11% | 25% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 20% |
| 71–80 min | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 11% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 30% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | SC Paderborn 07 · total | VfB Stuttgart · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 11% | 7% |
| 16–30 min | 22% | 19% |
| 31–45 min | 22% | 15% |
| 46–60 min | 11% | 19% |
| 61–75 min | 11% | 15% |
| 76–90 min | 22% | 26% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07 shoots 11.8 times per match (2 on target), VfB Stuttgart 15.6 (5 on target); average possession 47% against 55%.
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 11.75 | 15.6 | 13.68 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target / match | 2 | 5 | 3.5 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.75 | 6.8 | 6.28 |
| Shots per goal scored | 15.67 | 8.67 | 12.17 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 25% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| 4+ shots on target | 25% | 80% | 53% |
| 5+ shots on target | 25% | 60% | 43% |
| 6+ shots on target | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| 7+ shots on target | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Offsides and more
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.25 | 2.2 | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Fouls committed / match | 9.75 | 10.4 | 10.07 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10.75 | 11.6 | 11.18 |
| Average possession (%) | 47 | 55 | 51 |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Free kicks – SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07 matches average 20.5 free kicks, VfB Stuttgart matches 22.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10.75 | 11.6 | 11.18 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 9.75 | 10.4 | 10.07 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.5 | 22 | 21.25 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 25% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 25% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 25% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 25% | 40% | 33% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — SC Paderborn 07: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; VfB Stuttgart: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Which players will score in SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
Top scorers (Bundesliga): S. Castaneda (1) for SC Paderborn 07, J. Vagnoman (2) for VfB Stuttgart.
Top scorers – SC Paderborn 07
- S. Castaneda 1
- S. Marino 1
- S. Tigges 1
- N. Noll 0
- T. Scheller 0
- J. ter Horst 0
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).
Top scorers – VfB Stuttgart
- J. Vagnoman 2
- G. Promel 1
- M. Mittelstadt 1
- B. El Khannouss 1
- E. Demirovic 1
- F. Bredlow 0
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – SC Paderborn 07
- T. Scheller 1
- S. Castaneda 1
- J. ter Horst 1
- L. Curda 1
- M. Hansen 1
- L. Ulrich 1
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – VfB Stuttgart
- F. Jeltsch 1
- G. Promel 1
- M. Mittelstadt 1
- J. Chabot 1
- A. Stiller 1
- E. Demirovic 1
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – SC Paderborn 07
- M. Hansen 0.28
- L. Ulrich 0.28
- L. Curda 0.27
- J. ter Horst 0.26
- T. Scheller 0.25
- S. Castaneda 0.25
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – VfB Stuttgart
- E. Demirovic 0.45
- A. Stiller 0.3
- M. Mittelstadt 0.26
- J. Chabot 0.26
- F. Jeltsch 0.25
- G. Promel 0.25
Bundesliga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
SC Paderborn 07
- Before this match, SC Paderborn 07 took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, SC Paderborn 07 has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- SC Paderborn 07 kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- At home, SC Paderborn 07 wins 50% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1.5 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 20% of SC Paderborn 07 matches (5 matches, this season).
VfB Stuttgart
- Before this match, VfB Stuttgart took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 12 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- VfB Stuttgart kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- VfB Stuttgart scored in every one of their 2 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 57% of VfB Stuttgart matches (7 matches, this season).
Match analysis
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Bundesliga (Matchday 5), at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn).
This season, SC Paderborn 07 takes an average of 1.5 points per home match (2 matches), and VfB Stuttgart 0 points per away match (2 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 21% for SC Paderborn 07, 22% for the draw and 57% for VfB Stuttgart.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), at Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn — Bundesliga.
Who is the favourite between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of SC Paderborn 07 matches and 86% of VfB Stuttgart matches. Both teams scored in 20% and 57% of their matches.
Who are the top scorers for SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart this season?
S. Castaneda (1 goal) for SC Paderborn 07, J. Vagnoman (2 goals) for VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.
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