- Morumbi, Sao Paulo
- Referee: Lucas Casagrande
- Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 01:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 30): Sao Paulo – Vitoria takes place on (UK time), at Morumbi (Sao Paulo). Recent form (last 5 matches): Sao Paulo LLWLW, Vitoria WLDWL. Head-to-head: 0 wins for Sao Paulo, 0 draws and 1 win for Vitoria in 1 meeting.
Last starting XI Sao Paulo – Vitoria
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Sao Paulo on 08/10/2026, Vitoria on 08/10/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Dorival Júnior (Sao Paulo) · Jair Ventura (Vitoria)
Fan chat – Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
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Sao PauloDRAWVitoria
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Latest matches
Sao PauloLLWLWVitoriaWLDWLHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
In 1 meeting, Sao Paulo leads 0 wins to 1, with 0 draws; these matches produced 2 goals on average.
Sao Paulo0%Vitoria100%In the last 1 meetings between Sao Paulo and Vitoria in our data, Sao Paulo won 0, Vitoria won 1, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Sao Paulo 0, Vitoria 2.
Latest results between Sao Paulo and Vitoria
- Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Prediction statistics – Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
Over 2.5 goals in 40% of Sao Paulo and Vitoria matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 289 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Team profiles – Sao Paulo and Vitoria
Sao Paulo takes 1.24 points per match and Vitoria 1.24; Sao Paulo wins 34% of their matches, Vitoria 34%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 1.24 |
| Home | LWWWD | 1.93 |
| Away | LLLLD | 0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 34% | 57% | 13% |
| Total goals / match | 2.31 | 2.43 | 2.2 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.14 | 1.57 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 57% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 36% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 7% | 40% |
| xG / match | 1.32 | 1.61 | 1.09 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.31 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLDWL | 1.24 |
| Home | WLWLW | 2.07 |
| Away | DLLLD | 0.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 34% | 67% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2.55 | 2.27 | 2.86 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.1 | 1.47 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.45 | 0.8 | 2.14 |
| Both teams score | 38% | 20% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 67% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 20% | 43% |
| xG / match | 0.97 | 1.16 | 0.78 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.68 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Current form — who will win Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo shows L-L-W-L-W and Vitoria W-L-D-W-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.24LLWLWSao Paulo is 0% better on points per match.
1.24WLDWL- LCruzeiro – Sao Paulo2 - 0
- LSao Paulo – Santos1 - 2
- WSao Paulo – Internacional1 - 0
- LPalmeiras – Sao Paulo2 - 0
- WSao Paulo – Atletico-MG2 - 0
- WVitoria – Chapecoense-sc4 - 0
- LVitoria – Cruzeiro1 - 3
- DMirassol – Vitoria2 - 2
- WVitoria – Gremio1 - 0
- LAtletico-MG – Vitoria2 - 1
Goals scored – Sao Paulo – Vitoria: who will score more?
Sao Paulo scores 1.14 goals per match and concedes 1.17; Vitoria scores 1.1 and concedes 1.45.
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 76% | 69% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 31% | 28% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 3% | 7% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 3% | 7% |
| Fails to score | 24% | 31% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.14 | 1.1 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 79% | 62% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 34% | 52% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 3% | 21% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 7% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 38% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.17 | 1.45 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Both teams score in 55% of Sao Paulo matches and 38% of Vitoria matches (competition average: 60%).
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 93% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 76% | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 41% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% | 31% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 38% | 47% |
| Both score and win | 14% | 3% | 9% |
| Both score and draw | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 38% | 31% | 35% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
Under X goals
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 7% | 4% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 21% | 23% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 59% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 90% | 69% | 80% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 93% | 93% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Corners Sao Paulo – Vitoria – how many corners?
Sao Paulo and Vitoria matches average 10.6 corners; Sao Paulo wins 6.9 per match, Vitoria 4.5 (competition: 10.4).
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 90% | 83% | 87% |
| Over 7 corners | 79% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 8 corners | 72% | 69% | 71% |
| Over 9 corners | 69% | 45% | 57% |
| Over 10 corners | 52% | 28% | 40% |
| Over 11 corners | 41% | 24% | 33% |
| Over 12 corners | 41% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 13 corners | 34% | 10% | 22% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6.86 | 4.52 | 5.69 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.72 | 5 | 4.86 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 90% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 79% | 69% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 69% | 45% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 83% | 72% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 59% | 72% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 48% | 52% | 50% |
Competition average: 10.4 corners per match (289 matches). Sao Paulo: 29 matches with statistics; Vitoria: 29. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Sao Paulo score? · Will Vitoria score?
Scored in 76% of their matchesMedium chance
Vitoria: clean sheet in 38% of their matchesScored in 69% of their matchesMedium chance
Sao Paulo: clean sheet in 21% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Cards Sao Paulo – Vitoria – how many cards?
5.1 cards per match on average for these two teams; Sao Paulo receives 2.2, Vitoria 2.5; referee Lucas Casagrande shows 4.6.
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 79% | 89% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 61% | 79% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 50% | 68% | 59% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 36% | 25% | 31% |
Cards by half
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.79 | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.28 | 1.46 | 1.37 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.76 | 2.32 | 2.04 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.97 | 3.14 | 3.06 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 34% | 29% | 32% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 59% | 50% | 55% |
Referee: Lucas Casagrande — 4.6 cards and 27.9 fouls per match on average over 11 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Sao Paulo – Vitoria
Sao Paulo leads at the break in 34% of their matches, Vitoria in 31%.
1.38pts / match at half-timeSao Paulo is 11% better at half-time.
1.24pts / match at half-time| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 34% | 31% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 38% | 34% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 34% | 31% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 14% | 28% |
| Loses the 1st half | 31% | 38% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 48% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 72% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 17% | 28% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Who will score first in Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Sao Paulo opened the scoring in 52% of their matches with a goal, Vitoria in 52%.
Sao PauloVitoriaGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Sao Paulo · total | Sao Paulo · scored | Sao Paulo · conceded | Vitoria · total | Vitoria · scored | Vitoria · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 12% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 7% |
| 21–30 min | 4% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 10% |
| 31–40 min | 6% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 14% |
| 41–50 min | 19% | 15% | 24% | 12% | 3% | 19% |
| 51–60 min | 18% | 12% | 24% | 12% | 16% | 10% |
| 61–70 min | 13% | 21% | 6% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| 71–80 min | 7% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% |
| 81–90 min | 15% | 9% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 21% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Sao Paulo · total | Vitoria · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 9% | 7% |
| 16–30 min | 12% | 16% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 22% |
| 46–60 min | 25% | 14% |
| 61–75 min | 18% | 20% |
| 76–90 min | 18% | 22% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Sao Paulo – Vitoria
Sao Paulo shoots 13.3 times per match (4.2 on target), Vitoria 12.3 (4.3 on target); average possession 53% against 44%.
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 13.34 | 12.28 | 12.81 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.17 | 4.31 | 4.24 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.97 | 4.83 | 4.9 |
| Shots per goal scored | 11.73 | 11.13 | 11.43 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 62% | 52% | 57% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 59% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 55% | 48% | 52% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 55% | 41% | 48% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 48% | 28% | 38% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 45% | 21% | 33% |
| 4+ shots on target | 62% | 55% | 59% |
| 5+ shots on target | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| 6+ shots on target | 21% | 41% | 31% |
| 7+ shots on target | 17% | 21% | 19% |
Offsides and more
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.36 | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 12% | 17% | 15% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 4% | 8% | 6% |
| Fouls committed / match | 14.66 | 13 | 13.83 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 13.72 | 15.24 | 14.48 |
| Average possession (%) | 53 | 44 | 48.5 |
| Draws | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Free kicks – Sao Paulo – Vitoria
Sao Paulo matches average 28.4 free kicks, Vitoria matches 28.2.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Sao Paulo | Vitoria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 13.72 | 15.24 | 14.48 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 14.66 | 13 | 13.83 |
| Total free kicks / match | 28.38 | 28.24 | 28.31 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 97% | 97% | 97% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 79% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 72% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 52% | 66% | 59% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Vitoria: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Which players will score in Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Top scorers (Serie A): Luciano (9) for Sao Paulo, Rene (9) for Vitoria.
Top scorers – Sao Paulo
- Luciano 9
- J. Calleri 8
- Ferreirinha 4
- Artur 2
- Marcos Antônio 1
- Danielzinho 1
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (29 matches).
Top scorers – Vitoria
- Rene 9
- Erick 5
- Matheuzinho 5
- Renato Kayzer 4
- Ramon 2
- Baralhas 2
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (29 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Sao Paulo
- E. Diaz 7
- J. Calleri 6
- Luciano 5
- Wendell 5
- André Silva 5
- Lucas Ramon 3
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Vitoria
- E. Martínez 8
- Cacá 6
- Ramon 6
- Caíque 5
- Matheuzinho 4
- Baralhas 4
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Sao Paulo
- André Silva 0.97
- Djhordney 0.74
- E. Diaz 0.68
- Dória 0.4
- Luis Osorio 0.38
- Cédric Soares 0.34
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Vitoria
- Edenilson 0.8
- Marinho 0.48
- Fabiano Souza 0.48
- E. Martínez 0.42
- Renato Kayzer 0.33
- Ramon 0.32
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Sao Paulo
- Before this match, Sao Paulo took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.
- Sao Paulo kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- At home, Sao Paulo wins 57% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.57 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 55% of Sao Paulo matches (29 matches, this season).
Vitoria
- Before this match, Vitoria took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Vitoria has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- Vitoria kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Vitoria wins 0% of their matches (14 played) and scores 0.71 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 38% of Vitoria matches (29 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Sao Paulo and Vitoria meet on Sunday, 11 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 30), at Morumbi (Sao Paulo).
Sao Paulo and Vitoria have met 1 time in our data. Sao Paulo has 0 wins, Vitoria 1 win, and 0 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (11/04/2026): Vitoria 2 - 0 Sao Paulo.
These meetings produced an average of 2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
This season, Sao Paulo takes an average of 1.93 points per home match (14 matches), and Vitoria 0.36 points per away match (14 matches).
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Sao Paulo – Vitoria played?
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), at Morumbi in Sao Paulo — Serie A.
How many goals can we expect in Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 38% of Sao Paulo matches and 41% of Vitoria matches. Both teams scored in 55% and 38% of their matches.
What is the head-to-head record of Sao Paulo – Vitoria?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 0 wins for Sao Paulo, 0 draws and 1 win for Vitoria.
Who are the top scorers for Sao Paulo and Vitoria this season?
Luciano (9 goals) for Sao Paulo, Rene (9 goals) for Vitoria (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
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