- Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
- Referee: M. Delgado
- Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 00:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 21): Santos beat Sao Paulo 2-1 on . Scorers: Luciano 34' (pen.), Gabriel Barbosa 36', Gabriel Barbosa 54'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Sao Paulo (48%). Head-to-head: 0 wins for Sao Paulo, 1 draw and 0 wins for Santos in 1 meeting.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Sao Paulo – Santos
Serie A: Santos won 2-1 away at Sao Paulo (1-1 at half-time).
Scorers: Sao Paulo — Luciano (34', pen.); Santos — Gabriel Barbosa (36'), Gabriel Barbosa (54').
Possession 60% – 40%, shots 20 – 9.
- 31'Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos SilvaVAR · Pénalty confirmé
- 33'Lucas VeríssimoYellow card · Santos
- 34'Luciano (pen.)Penalty goal · Sao Paulo1-0
- 36'Gabriel Barbosa (assist: G. Escobar)Goal · Santos1-1
- 41'LucianoYellow card · Sao Paulo
- 45'Christian OlivaYellow card · Santos
- 45'Philippe Coutinho ↑ Álvaro Barreal ↓Substitution · Santos
- 45'Gustavo Henrique Pereira ↑ Vinicius Moreira de Lima ↓Substitution · Santos
- 54'Gabriel Menino ↑ Arthur Melo ↓Substitution · Santos
- 54'Gabriel Barbosa (assist: Everton)Goal · Santos1-2
- 64'G. Santana ↑ Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 64'Danielzinho ↑ Damian Bobadilla ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 64'Newton ↑ Rafael Tolói ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 67'Wendell ↑ Iago Amaral Borduchi ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 73'Victor Sá ↑ Pedro Lima ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 76'EvertonYellow card · Santos
- 76'Rony ↑ Everton ↓Substitution · Santos
- 86'Thaciano ↑ Gabriel Barbosa ↓Substitution · Santos
Match stats – Sao Paulo vs Santos
- 20Total shots9
- 8Shots on target4
- 6Shots off target3
- 6Blocked shots2
- 14Shots inside box4
- 6Shots outside box5
- 14Corners1
- 13Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves7
- 566Passes406
- 487Accurate passes327
Official lineups Sao Paulo – Santos
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Dorival Júnior (Sao Paulo) · Cuca (Santos)
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Serie A · 00:00FlashSport AI
Sao PauloDRAWSantos
48%28%24%
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Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
Sao PauloWLWWLSantosWWWWDHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Sao Paulo vs Santos
In 1 meeting, Sao Paulo leads 0 wins to 0, with 1 draw; these matches produced 2 goals on average.
Sao Paulo0%Santos0%In the last 1 meetings between Sao Paulo and Santos in our data, Sao Paulo won 0, Santos won 0, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Sao Paulo 1, Santos 1.
Latest results between Sao Paulo and Santos
- Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Prediction statistics – Sao Paulo vs Santos
Over 2.5 goals in 50% of Sao Paulo and Santos matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 277 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Team profiles – Sao Paulo and Santos
Sao Paulo takes 1.33 points per match and Santos 1.41; Sao Paulo wins 37% of their matches, Santos 37%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 1.33 |
| Home | WWWDL | 2.08 |
| Away | LLLDL | 0.64 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 37% | 62% | 14% |
| Total goals / match | 2.3 | 2.38 | 2.21 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.19 | 1.62 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.11 | 0.77 | 1.43 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 54% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 38% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 8% | 36% |
| xG / match | 1.32 | 1.61 | 1.09 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.31 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWD | 1.41 |
| Home | WDLDW | 1.57 |
| Away | WWWWL | 1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 37% | 43% | 31% |
| Total goals / match | 3 | 2.71 | 3.31 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.52 | 1.43 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 64% | 77% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 21% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| xG / match | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.25 | 0.94 | 1.59 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Current form — who will win Sao Paulo – Santos?
Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo shows W-L-W-W-L and Santos W-W-W-W-D (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.33WLWWLSantos is 6% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Sao Paulo 48% · draw 28% · Santos 24%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.41WWWWD- WSao Paulo – Internacional1 - 0
- LPalmeiras – Sao Paulo2 - 0
- WSao Paulo – Atletico-MG2 - 0
- WSao Paulo – RB Bragantino2 - 1
- LChapecoense-sc – Sao Paulo1 - 0
- WRemo – Santos1 - 2
- WSantos – Cruzeiro2 - 1
- WInternacional – Santos2 - 3
- WCorinthians – Santos0 - 1
- DSantos – Mirassol1 - 1
Goals scored – Sao Paulo – Santos: who will score more?
Sao Paulo scores 1.19 goals per match and concedes 1.11; Santos scores 1.52 and concedes 1.48.
| Sao Paulo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 78% | 89% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 33% | 52% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 4% | 11% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 4% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 22% | 11% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.19 | 1.52 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Sao Paulo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 78% | 78% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 30% | 48% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 4% | 19% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 4% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 22% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.11 | 1.48 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Sao Paulo – Santos?
Both teams score in 56% of Sao Paulo matches and 70% of Santos matches (competition average: 60%).
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 96% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 74% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 15% | 11% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 70% | 63% |
| Both score and win | 15% | 19% | 17% |
| Both score and draw | 22% | 26% | 24% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 37% | 56% | 47% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 4% |
Under X goals
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 11% | 19% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 37% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 67% | 78% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 85% | 89% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Corners Sao Paulo – Santos – how many corners?
Sao Paulo and Santos matches average 10.8 corners; Sao Paulo wins 6.6 per match, Santos 5.5 (competition: 10.2).
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 89% | 85% | 87% |
| Over 7 corners | 78% | 81% | 80% |
| Over 8 corners | 70% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 9 corners | 67% | 63% | 65% |
| Over 10 corners | 48% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 11 corners | 37% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 12 corners | 37% | 22% | 30% |
| Over 13 corners | 30% | 7% | 19% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6.56 | 5.52 | 6.04 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.74 | 4.74 | 4.74 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 89% | 78% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 78% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 67% | 56% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 85% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 59% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 48% | 52% | 50% |
Competition average: 10.2 corners per match (277 matches). Sao Paulo: 27 matches with statistics; Santos: 27. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Sao Paulo score? · Will Santos score?
Scored in 78% of their matchesStrong chance
Santos: clean sheet in 22% of their matchesScored in 89% of their matchesStrong chance
Sao Paulo: clean sheet in 22% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Cards Sao Paulo – Santos – how many cards?
5.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Sao Paulo receives 2.3, Santos 3.1; referee M. Delgado shows 5.5.
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 77% | 81% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 62% | 81% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 54% | 70% | 62% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 50% | 52% | 51% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 38% | 37% | 38% |
Cards by half
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.78 | 1.22 | 1 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.37 | 1.85 | 1.61 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.7 | 2.26 | 1.98 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.11 | 3.22 | 3.17 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 30% | 37% | 34% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 63% | 48% | 56% |
Referee: M. Delgado — 5.5 cards and 28.5 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Sao Paulo – Santos
Sao Paulo leads at the break in 37% of their matches, Santos in 37%.
1.44pts / match at half-timeSantos is 8% better at half-time.
1.56pts / match at half-time| Sao Paulo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 37% | 37% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 41% | 33% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 33% | 44% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 15% | 22% |
| Loses the 1st half | 30% | 19% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 70% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 15% | 41% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Who will score first in Sao Paulo – Santos?
Sao Paulo opened the scoring in 52% of their matches with a goal, Santos in 65%.
Sao PauloSantosGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Sao Paulo · total | Sao Paulo · scored | Sao Paulo · conceded | Santos · total | Santos · scored | Santos · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 11–20 min | 13% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| 21–30 min | 5% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 8% |
| 31–40 min | 3% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 8% |
| 41–50 min | 19% | 16% | 23% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| 51–60 min | 16% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 8% |
| 61–70 min | 15% | 22% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| 71–80 min | 8% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 15% |
| 81–90 min | 16% | 9% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 25% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Sao Paulo · total | Santos · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 10% | 6% |
| 16–30 min | 13% | 17% |
| 31–45 min | 15% | 19% |
| 46–60 min | 24% | 15% |
| 61–75 min | 19% | 17% |
| 76–90 min | 19% | 26% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Sao Paulo – Santos
Sao Paulo shoots 12.9 times per match (4.1 on target), Santos 13.5 (4.1 on target); average possession 53% against 50%.
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 12.89 | 13.48 | 13.19 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.07 | 4.07 | 4.07 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.78 | 5.07 | 4.93 |
| Shots per goal scored | 10.88 | 8.88 | 9.88 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 59% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 56% | 48% | 52% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 52% | 44% | 48% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 52% | 37% | 45% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 44% | 33% | 39% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 41% | 33% | 37% |
| 4+ shots on target | 63% | 59% | 61% |
| 5+ shots on target | 41% | 30% | 36% |
| 6+ shots on target | 19% | 15% | 17% |
| 7+ shots on target | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Offsides and more
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.33 | 2.08 | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 13% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 4% | 17% | 11% |
| Fouls committed / match | 14.52 | 12.96 | 13.74 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 13.93 | 13.07 | 13.5 |
| Average possession (%) | 53 | 50 | 51.5 |
| Draws | 22% | 30% | 26% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Free kicks – Sao Paulo – Santos
Sao Paulo matches average 28.4 free kicks, Santos matches 26.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Sao Paulo | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 13.93 | 13.07 | 13.5 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 14.52 | 12.96 | 13.74 |
| Total free kicks / match | 28.44 | 26.04 | 27.24 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 81% | 91% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 96% | 81% | 89% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 89% | 78% | 84% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 81% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 74% | 63% | 69% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 52% | 44% | 48% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 27 matches.
Which players will score in Sao Paulo – Santos?
Top scorers (Serie A): Jonathan Calleri (8) for Sao Paulo, Gabriel Barbosa (11) for Santos.
Top scorers – Sao Paulo
- Jonathan Calleri 8
- Luciano 8
- Ferreirinha 4
- Artur 2
- Danielzinho 1
- Sabino 1
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (27 matches).
Top scorers – Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa 11
- Neymar 6
- Álvaro Barreal 5
- Benjamín Rollheiser 4
- Christian Oliva 2
- Thaciano 2
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (27 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Sao Paulo
- E. Diaz 7
- Jonathan Calleri 6
- André Silva 5
- Luciano 4
- Wendell 4
- Lucas Ramon 3
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa 8
- Gonzalo Escobar 7
- Álvaro Barreal 7
- Neymar 7
- Gustavinho 7
- Luan Peres 6
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Sao Paulo
- André Silva 0.97
- Djhordney 0.78
- E. Diaz 0.68
- R. Toloi 0.41
- Dória 0.4
- Luis Osorio 0.38
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Santos
- Gustavinho 0.63
- Neymar 0.6
- Gabriel Barbosa 0.51
- Álvaro Barreal 0.44
- Mayke 0.41
- Gonzalo Escobar 0.36
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Sao Paulo
- Before this match, Sao Paulo took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 5 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Sao Paulo kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- At home, Sao Paulo wins 62% of their matches (13 played) and scores 1.62 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 56% of Sao Paulo matches (27 matches, this season).
Santos
- Before this match, Santos took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Santos is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Santos kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Santos wins 31% of their matches (13 played) and scores 1.62 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 70% of Santos matches (27 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Sao Paulo and Santos meet on Saturday, 3 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 21), at Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo).
Sao Paulo and Santos have met 1 time in our data. Sao Paulo has 0 wins, Santos 0 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Last meeting (04/02/2026): Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo.
These meetings produced an average of 2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
This season, Sao Paulo takes an average of 2.08 points per home match (13 matches), and Santos 1.23 points per away match (13 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 48% for Sao Paulo, 28% for the draw and 24% for Santos.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Sao Paulo – Santos played?
The match was played on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), at Estadio Do MorumBIS in Sao Paulo — Serie A.
Who won Sao Paulo – Santos?
Santos beat Sao Paulo 2-1. Scorers: Luciano 34' (pen.), Gabriel Barbosa 36', Gabriel Barbosa 54'.
What is the head-to-head record of Sao Paulo – Santos?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 0 wins for Sao Paulo, 1 draw and 0 wins for Santos.
Who are the top scorers for Sao Paulo and Santos this season?
Jonathan Calleri (8 goals) for Sao Paulo, Gabriel Barbosa (11 goals) for Santos (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:00.
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