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Riga – Kairat Almaty: match preview, 15/10/2026

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UEFA Conference LeagueWorldLeague phase · matchday 1

Riga

Riga logo
Thursday · 17:45
Kairat Almaty logo

Kairat Almaty

  • Skonto stadions, Riga
  • Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Key facts

UEFA Conference League (League phase · matchday 1): Riga – Kairat Almaty takes place on (UK time), at Skonto stadions (Riga). Recent form (last 5 matches): Riga WDDWL, Kairat Almaty LLLLW.

Last starting XI Riga – Kairat Almaty

Riga4-2-3-15-3-2Kairat Almaty

Last starting XI fielded by each team (Riga on 27/08/2026, Kairat Almaty on 27/08/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Adrian Gula (Riga) · Rafael Urazbakhtin (Kairat Almaty)

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UEFA Europa Conference League · 17:45FlashSport AI
RigaDRAWKairat Almaty

The AI analysis of this match will be published the day before kick-off.

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Latest matches

RigaWDDWL
Kairat AlmatyLLLLW

Head-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches

0Wins
0Draws
0Wins

Head-to-head statistics – Riga vs Kairat Almaty

No meetings between Riga and Kairat Almaty in our data.

Prediction statistics – Riga vs Kairat Almaty

Over 2.5 goals in 44% of Riga and Kairat Almaty matches on average, against 55% across UEFA Europa Conference League.

44% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 55%
63% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 76%
38% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 52%
2.3 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.95
5.8 cards / matchCompetition average: 2.4
10.5 corners / matchCompetition average: 5.74

Competition averages: 206 UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Team profiles – Riga and Kairat Almaty

Riga takes 1.75 points per match and Kairat Almaty 1.13; Riga wins 50% of their matches, Kairat Almaty 38%.

RigaUEFA Europa Conference League
FormResultsPts / match
OverallWDDWL1.75
HomeWWLW2.25
AwayDDWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins50%75%25%
Total goals / match2.6332.25
Goals scored / match1.381.751
Goals conceded / match1.251.251.25
Both teams score63%75%50%
Clean sheets25%25%25%
Failed to score25%0%50%
xG / match–––
xG conceded / match–––

2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference League
FormResultsPts / match
OverallLLLLW1.13
HomeLLWW1.5
AwayLLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins38%50%25%
Total goals / match1.8821.75
Goals scored / match0.630.750.5
Goals conceded / match1.251.251.25
Both teams score13%25%0%
Clean sheets25%25%25%
Failed to score63%50%75%
xG / match–––
xG conceded / match–––

2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Current form — who will win Riga – Kairat Almaty?

Over their last 5 matches, Riga shows W-D-D-W-L and Kairat Almaty L-L-L-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

1.75WDDWL

Riga is 55% better on points per match.

1.13LLLLW
  1. WRiga – KI Klaksvik2 - 1
  2. DKI Klaksvik – Riga0 - 0
  3. DGyori ETO FC – Riga1 - 1
  4. WRiga – Gyori ETO FC1 - 0
  5. LRiga – Vardar Skopje1 - 2
  1. LAnderlecht – Kairat Almaty3 - 0
  2. LKairat Almaty – Anderlecht0 - 3
  3. LKairat Almaty – Levski Sofia0 - 1
  4. LLevski Sofia – Kairat Almaty1 - 0
  5. WKairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia1 - 0

Goals scored – Riga – Kairat Almaty: who will score more?

Riga scores 1.38 goals per match and concedes 1.25; Kairat Almaty scores 0.63 and concedes 1.25.

Goals scored per match
RigaKairat Almaty
Scores over 0.5 goal75%38%
Scores over 1.5 goal38%25%
Scores over 2.5 goals25%0%
Scores over 3.5 goals0%0%
Fails to score25%63%
Goals scored / match1.380.63

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
RigaKairat Almaty
Concedes over 0.5 goal75%75%
Concedes over 1.5 goal50%25%
Concedes over 2.5 goals0%25%
Concedes over 3.5 goals0%0%
Clean sheets25%25%
Goals conceded / match1.251.25

Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Riga – Kairat Almaty?

Both teams score in 63% of Riga matches and 13% of Kairat Almaty matches (competition average: 52%).

Goals in the match
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Over 0.5 goal88%100%94%
Over 1.5 goal75%50%63%
Over 2.5 goals50%38%44%
Over 3.5 goals25%0%13%
Over 4.5 goals25%0%13%
Both teams score63%13%38%
Both score and win38%13%26%
Both score and draw13%0%7%
Both score and over 2.550%13%32%
Not both and over 2.50%25%13%
Under X goals
Under X goals
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Under 0.5 goal13%0%7%
Under 1.5 goals25%50%38%
Under 2.5 goals50%63%57%
Under 3.5 goals75%100%88%
Under 4.5 goals75%100%88%

Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Corners Riga – Kairat Almaty – how many corners?

Riga and Kairat Almaty matches average 10.5 corners; Riga wins 7 per match, Kairat Almaty 4.7 (competition: 5.7).

10.5corners / match (average of both teams)
7corners won / match – Riga
4.7corners won / match – Kairat Almaty
Corners in the match
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Over 6 corners80%100%90%
Over 7 corners80%100%90%
Over 8 corners80%100%90%
Over 9 corners40%100%70%
Over 10 corners40%33%37%
Over 11 corners40%33%37%
Over 12 corners40%33%37%
Over 13 corners20%0%10%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Corners won / match74.675.84
Corners conceded / match36.334.67
Over 2.5 corners won80%67%74%
Over 3.5 corners won80%33%57%
Over 4.5 corners won80%33%57%
Over 2.5 corners conceded20%100%60%
Over 3.5 corners conceded20%100%60%
Over 4.5 corners conceded20%67%44%

Competition average: 5.7 corners per match (206 matches). Riga: 5 matches with statistics; Kairat Almaty: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will Riga score? · Will Kairat Almaty score?

Scored in 75% of their matches

Strong chance

Kairat Almaty: clean sheet in 25% of their matches
Scored in 37% of their matches

Medium chance

Riga: clean sheet in 25% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Cards Riga – Kairat Almaty – how many cards?

5.8 cards per match on average for these two teams; Riga receives 2.8, Kairat Almaty 3.

5.8cards / match (average of both teams)
2.8cards received / match – Riga
3cards received / match – Kairat Almaty
Cards in the match
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Over 2.5 cards60%100%80%
Over 3.5 cards60%100%80%
Over 4.5 cards60%100%80%
Over 5.5 cards40%100%70%
Over 6.5 cards40%33%37%

Cards by half

Cards by half
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)0.7510.88
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)2.131.131.63
Total 1st half (avg.)1.3821.69
Total 2nd half (avg.)3.633.53.57
More cards in the 1st half13%13%13%
More cards in the 2nd half63%75%69%

Competition average: 2.4 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – Riga – Kairat Almaty

Riga leads at the break in 38% of their matches, Kairat Almaty in 13%.

1.5pts / match at half-time

Riga is 100% better at half-time.

0.75pts / match at half-time
Results by half
RigaKairat Almaty
Wins the 1st half38%13%
Wins the 2nd half25%25%
Draw in the 1st half38%38%
Draw in the 2nd half50%50%
Loses the 1st half25%50%
Loses the 2nd half25%25%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time63%63%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time25%13%

Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Who will score first in Riga – Kairat Almaty?

Riga opened the scoring in 43% of their matches with a goal, Kairat Almaty in 38%.

Riga
43%scored first in 3 / 7 matches
Kairat Almaty
38%scored first in 3 / 8 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

MinutesRiga · totalRiga · scoredRiga · concededKairat Almaty · totalKairat Almaty · scoredKairat Almaty · conceded
0–10 min4%7%0%7%0%10%
11–20 min8%7%10%13%0%20%
21–30 min12%7%20%7%0%10%
31–40 min8%13%0%7%20%0%
41–50 min8%7%10%13%0%20%
51–60 min0%0%0%7%0%10%
61–70 min20%0%50%7%20%0%
71–80 min0%0%0%13%20%10%
81–90 min40%60%10%27%40%20%

Goals by 15-minute period

MinutesRiga · totalKairat Almaty · total
0–15 min8%20%
16–30 min16%7%
31–45 min8%20%
46–60 min8%7%
61–75 min20%13%
76–90 min40%33%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Riga – Kairat Almaty

Riga shoots 18.7 times per match (6 on target), Kairat Almaty 20 (3.7 on target); average possession 56% against 44%.

Shots
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Shots / match18.672019.34
Shot conversion rate (%)904.5
Shots on target / match63.674.84
Shots off target / match8.235.6
Shots per goal scored11.2––
Over 10.5 shots100%100%100%
Over 11.5 shots100%100%100%
Over 12.5 shots100%100%100%
Over 13.5 shots100%100%100%
Over 14.5 shots100%100%100%
Over 15.5 shots100%100%100%
4+ shots on target100%33%67%
5+ shots on target100%33%67%
6+ shots on target60%33%47%
7+ shots on target40%0%20%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Offsides / match1.51.671.59
Over 2.5 offsides0%33%17%
Over 3.5 offsides0%0%0%
Fouls committed / match12.2510.6711.46
Fouls suffered / match11.2514.6712.96
Average possession (%)564450
Draws25%0%13%

Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Free kicks – Riga – Kairat Almaty

Riga matches average 23.5 free kicks, Kairat Almaty matches 25.3.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
RigaKairat AlmatyAverage
Free kicks won / match11.2514.6712.96
Free kicks conceded / match12.2510.6711.46
Total free kicks / match23.525.3324.42
Over 20.5 free kicks75%100%88%
Over 21.5 free kicks50%100%75%
Over 22.5 free kicks25%100%63%
Over 23.5 free kicks25%100%63%
Over 24.5 free kicks25%33%29%
Over 25.5 free kicks25%33%29%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Riga: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Kairat Almaty: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

Which players will score in Riga – Kairat Almaty?

Top scorers (UEFA Europa Conference League): Iago Siqueira (3) for Riga.

Top scorers – Riga

  1. Iago Siqueira 3
  2. Caio Ferreira 2
  3. R. Aouani 1
  4. Reginaldo Ramires 1
  5. O. Galo 1
  6. S. Oulad M'Hand 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (6 matches).

Top scorers – Kairat Almaty

No data yet this season.

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (0 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Riga

  1. A. Ankrah 3
  2. R. Aouani 3
  3. B. Musah 2
  4. R. Jurkovskis 1
  5. Iago Siqueira 1
  6. A. Salazar 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Kairat Almaty

No data yet this season.

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Riga

  1. R. Aouani 0.56
  2. A. Ankrah 0.5
  3. O. Galo 0.37
  4. B. Musah 0.33
  5. Paulo Eduardo 0.19
  6. R. Jurkovskis 0.17

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Kairat Almaty

No data yet this season.

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

Riga

  • Before this match, Riga took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 5 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
  • Over their last 5 matches, Riga has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
  • Riga kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
  • Riga scored in every one of their 4 home matches in the sample studied.
  • Both teams scored in 63% of Riga matches (8 matches, this season).

Kairat Almaty

  • Before this match, Kairat Almaty took 3 points from their last 5 matches (0.6 per match), scored 1 goal and saw both teams score in 0 of them.
  • Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats.
  • Kairat Almaty kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 8 goals over that period.
  • Away from home, Kairat Almaty wins 25% of their matches (4 played) and scores 0.5 goals per match.
  • Both teams scored in 13% of Kairat Almaty matches (8 matches, this season).

Match analysis

Riga and Kairat Almaty meet on Thursday, 15 October 2026 — UEFA Europa Conference League (League phase · matchday 1), at Skonto stadions (Riga).

This season, Riga takes an average of 2.25 points per home match (4 matches), and Kairat Almaty 0.75 points per away match (4 matches).

Frequently asked questions

When and where is Riga – Kairat Almaty played?

The match takes place on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), at Skonto stadions in Riga — UEFA Europa Conference League.

How many goals can we expect in Riga – Kairat Almaty?

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 50% of Riga matches and 38% of Kairat Almaty matches. Both teams scored in 63% and 13% of their matches.

Who are the top scorers for Riga and Kairat Almaty this season?

Iago Siqueira (3 goals) for Riga (UEFA Europa Conference League).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:19.

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