- Estádio do Dragão, Porto
- Referee: Maurizio Mariani
- Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League A - 4): Portugal beat Norway 2-1 on . Scorers: Kristoffer Ajer 36', João Cancelo 38', Gonçalo Ramos 79'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Portugal (59%). Head-to-head: 1 win for Portugal, 0 draws and 0 wins for Norway in 1 meeting.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Portugal – Norway
UEFA Nations League: Portugal beat Norway 2-1 (1-1 at half-time).
Scorers: Portugal — João Cancelo (38'), Gonçalo Ramos (79'); Norway — Kristoffer Ajer (36').
Sending-off: Francisco Conceicao (Portugal, 86').
Possession 59% – 41%, shots 20 – 9.
- 12'João CanceloYellow card · Portugal
- 36'Kristoffer Ajer (assist: M. Ødegaard)Goal · Norway0-1
- 38'João Cancelo (assist: Nuno Mendes)Goal · Portugal1-1
- 63'Diogo Dalot ↑ João Cancelo ↓Substitution · Portugal
- 63'Rúben Neves ↑ João Palhinha ↓Substitution · Portugal
- 67'J. Strand Larsen ↑ Erling Haaland ↓Substitution · Norway
- 74'Oscar Bobb ↑ Antonio Nusa ↓Substitution · Norway
- 79'Gonçalo Ramos (assist: João Félix)Goal · Portugal2-1
- 86'Francisco ConceicaoYellow card · Portugal
- 86'Francisco ConceicaoRed card · Portugal
- 86'Bernardo Silva ↑ Vitinha ↓Substitution · Portugal
- 87'T. Aasgaard ↑ Patrick Berg ↓Substitution · Norway
- 88'Bruno FernandesYellow card · Portugal
- 90'+2Nuno Tavares ↑ Joao Felix ↓Substitution · Portugal
- 90'+2Trincão ↑ Bruno Fernandes ↓Substitution · Portugal
Match stats – Portugal vs Norway
- 20Total shots9
- 7Shots on target3
- 8Shots off target4
- 5Blocked shots2
- 11Shots inside box6
- 9Shots outside box3
- 6Corners4
- 2Offsides2
- 8Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards0
- 1Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves5
- 498Passes351
- 434Accurate passes274
Official lineups Portugal – Norway
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Jorge Jesus (Portugal) · S. Solbakken (Norway)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AI
PortugalDRAWNorway
59%21%20%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
PortugalWWWLWNorwayLLWWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Portugal vs Norway
In 1 meeting, Portugal leads 1 win to 0, with 0 draws; these matches produced 3 goals on average.
Portugal100%Norway0%In the last 1 meetings between Portugal and Norway in our data, Portugal won 1, Norway won 0, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Portugal 2, Norway 1.
Latest results between Portugal and Norway
- Norway1 - 2Portugal
Prediction statistics – Portugal vs Norway
Over 2.5 goals in 75% of Portugal and Norway matches on average, against 47% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 78 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Team profiles – Portugal and Norway
Portugal takes 2.13 points per match and Norway 1.88; Portugal wins 63% of their matches, Norway 63%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 2.13 |
| Home | WLWWD | 2 |
| Away | WWD | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Total goals / match | 2.63 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.88 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| xG / match | 1.49 | 1.6 | 0.93 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.12 | 1 | 1.7 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 1.88 |
| Home | LWLW | 1.5 |
| Away | LWWW | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Total goals / match | 4 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.13 | 2 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.88 | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| Both teams score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.8 | 1.95 | 1.72 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.51 | 1.61 | 1.46 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Current form — who will win Portugal – Norway?
Over their last 5 matches, Portugal shows W-W-W-L-W and Norway L-L-W-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2.13WWWLWPortugal is 13% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Portugal 59% · draw 21% · Norway 20%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.88LLWWW- WDenmark – Portugal2 - 4
- WNorway – Portugal1 - 2
- WPortugal – Wales1 - 0
- LPortugal – Spain0 - 1
- WPortugal – Croatia2 - 1
- LWales – Norway2 - 1
- LNorway – Portugal1 - 2
- WNorway – Denmark3 - 2
- WBrazil – Norway1 - 2
- WIvory Coast – Norway1 - 2
Goals scored – Portugal – Norway: who will score more?
Portugal scores 1.88 goals per match and concedes 0.75; Norway scores 2.13 and concedes 1.88.
| Portugal | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 75% | 100% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 50% | 63% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 25% | 38% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 25% | 13% |
| Fails to score | 25% | 0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.88 | 2.13 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Portugal | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 63% | 100% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 13% | 63% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 13% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 13% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 0% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 1.88 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Portugal – Norway?
Both teams score in 50% of Portugal matches and 100% of Norway matches (competition average: 46%).
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 88% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 63% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Both score and win | 38% | 63% | 51% |
| Both score and draw | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 38% | 100% | 69% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 7% |
Under X goals
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Corners Portugal – Norway – how many corners?
Portugal and Norway matches average 9.7 corners; Portugal wins 5.1 per match, Norway 4.5 (competition: 8.5).
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 7 corners | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 8 corners | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 9 corners | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 10 corners | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 11 corners | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 12 corners | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Over 13 corners | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 5.13 | 4.5 | 4.81 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.38 | 5.38 | 4.88 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 75% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (78 matches). Portugal: 8 matches with statistics; Norway: 8. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Portugal score? · Will Norway score?
Scored in 75% of their matchesStrong chance
Norway: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesScored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Portugal: clean sheet in 38% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Cards Portugal – Norway – how many cards?
3.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Portugal receives 1.8, Norway 1.1; referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy shows 4.1.
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 43% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 25% | 43% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 13% | 29% | 21% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 13% | 14% | 14% |
Cards by half
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.63 | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.75 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.63 | 2.71 | 2.67 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 75% | 71% | 73% |
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy — 4.1 cards and 24.2 fouls per match on average over 16 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Portugal – Norway
Portugal leads at the break in 50% of their matches, Norway in 50%.
2pts / match at half-timePortugal is 14% better at half-time.
1.75pts / match at half-time| Portugal | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 50% | 50% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 50% | 50% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 25% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 13% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 63% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 38% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Who will score first in Portugal – Norway?
Portugal opened the scoring in 71% of their matches with a goal, Norway in 75%.
PortugalNorwayGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Portugal · total | Portugal · scored | Portugal · conceded | Norway · total | Norway · scored | Norway · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
| 11–20 min | 14% | 20% | 0% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
| 21–30 min | 14% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 7% |
| 31–40 min | 5% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 6% | 20% |
| 41–50 min | 5% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 7% |
| 51–60 min | 24% | 13% | 50% | 16% | 12% | 20% |
| 61–70 min | 10% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 7% |
| 81–90 min | 19% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Portugal · total | Norway · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 14% | 9% |
| 16–30 min | 24% | 19% |
| 31–45 min | 10% | 19% |
| 46–60 min | 24% | 22% |
| 61–75 min | 10% | 6% |
| 76–90 min | 19% | 25% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Portugal – Norway
Portugal shoots 14.5 times per match (4.5 on target), Norway 12.5 (5.3 on target); average possession 55% against 53%.
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 14.5 | 12.5 | 13.5 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.5 | 5.25 | 4.88 |
| Shots off target / match | 6.13 | 3.75 | 4.94 |
| Shots per goal scored | 7.73 | 5.88 | 6.81 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 75% | 63% | 69% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 75% | 63% | 69% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 63% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 50% | 13% | 32% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | 13% | 32% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 38% | 13% | 26% |
| 4+ shots on target | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 5+ shots on target | 38% | 63% | 51% |
| 6+ shots on target | 25% | 38% | 32% |
| 7+ shots on target | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Offsides and more
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2 | 0.63 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 10 | 9.63 | 9.82 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10.75 | 9.25 | 10 |
| Average possession (%) | 55 | 53 | 54 |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Free kicks – Portugal – Norway
Portugal matches average 20.8 free kicks, Norway matches 18.9.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Portugal | Norway | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10.75 | 9.25 | 10 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 10 | 9.63 | 9.82 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.75 | 18.88 | 19.81 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 13% | 0% | 7% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Portugal: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Norway: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Which players will score in Portugal – Norway?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): Joao Felix (3) for Portugal, E. Haaland (3) for Norway.
Top scorers – Portugal
- Joao Felix 3
- Gonçalo Ramos 2
- João Cancelo 1
- Vitinha 1
- Diogo Costa 0
- Rúben Dias 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Norway
- E. Haaland 3
- O. Bobb 2
- O. Nyland 0
- K. Ajer 0
- T. Heggem 0
- M. Odegaard 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Portugal
- Rúben Dias 1
- Renato Veiga 1
- João Cancelo 1
- Vitinha 1
- Rúben Neves 1
- João Palhinha 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Norway
- D. Wolfe 2
- K. Ajer 1
- T. Heggem 1
- M. Odegaard 1
- F. Aursnes 1
- J. Ryerson 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Portugal
- Vitinha 0.42
- João Cancelo 0.37
- Rúben Dias 0.33
- Renato Veiga 0.33
- Diogo Costa 0
- Nuno Mendes 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Norway
- F. Aursnes 0.45
- K. Ajer 0.33
- T. Heggem 0.33
- M. Odegaard 0.33
- O. Nyland 0
- S. Berge 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Portugal
- Before this match, Portugal took 12 points from their last 5 matches (2.4 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Portugal has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.
- Portugal kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- At home, Portugal wins 60% of their matches (5 played) and scores 1.8 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 50% of Portugal matches (8 matches, this season).
Norway
- Before this match, Norway took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Norway has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Norway kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 8 goals over that period.
- Norway scored in every one of their 4 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 100% of Norway matches (8 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Portugal and Norway meet on Sunday, 4 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League A - 4), at Estádio do Dragão (Porto).
Portugal and Norway have met 1 time in our data. Portugal has 1 win, Norway 0 wins, and 0 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (27/09/2026): Norway 1 - 2 Portugal.
These meetings produced an average of 3 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
This season, Portugal takes an average of 2 points per home match (5 matches), and Norway 2.25 points per away match (4 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 59% for Portugal, 21% for the draw and 20% for Norway.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Portugal – Norway played?
The match was played on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Estádio do Dragão in Porto — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Portugal – Norway?
Portugal beat Norway 2-1. Scorers: Kristoffer Ajer 36', João Cancelo 38', Gonçalo Ramos 79'.
What is the head-to-head record of Portugal – Norway?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 1 win for Portugal, 0 draws and 0 wins for Norway.
Who are the top scorers for Portugal and Norway this season?
Joao Felix (3 goals) for Portugal, E. Haaland (3 goals) for Norway (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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