- Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
- Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado
- Friday, 9 October 2026 at 01:30 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 29): Palmeiras beat Bahia 1-0 on . Scorer: José Manuel López 7'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Palmeiras (59%). Head-to-head: 5 wins for Palmeiras, 1 draw and 3 wins for Bahia in 9 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Palmeiras – Bahia
Serie A: Palmeiras beat Bahia 1-0 (1-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Palmeiras — José Manuel López (7').
Possession 41% – 59%, shots 25 – 10.
Player of the match: Ronaldo (Bahia), rated 8.8.
- 7'José Manuel López (assist: Alexander Barboza)Goal · Palmeiras1-0
- 61'Nicolas AcevedoYellow card · Bahia
- 64'Khellven Douglas Silva OliveiraYellow card · Palmeiras
- 65'Ademir ↑ erick pulga ↓Substitution · Bahia
- 65'Caio Alexandre ↑ Nicolas Acevedo ↓Substitution · Bahia
- 65'Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho ↑ Rodrigo Nestor ↓Substitution · Bahia
- 69'Ramon Sosa ↑ Vitor Roque ↓Substitution · Palmeiras
- 69'Jhon Arias ↑ José Manuel López ↓Substitution · Palmeiras
- 82'Mateo Naín Sanabria ↑ Cristian Olivera ↓Substitution · Bahia
- 82'Willian José ↑ Alejo Veliz ↓Substitution · Bahia
- 87'Jean LucasYellow card · Bahia
- 87'Felipe Anderson ↑ Andreas Pereira ↓Substitution · Palmeiras
Match stats – Palmeiras vs Bahia
- 25Total shots10
- 11Shots on target1
- 11Shots off target5
- 3Blocked shots4
- 15Shots inside box3
- 10Shots outside box7
- 7Corners3
- 1Offsides1
- 9Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves10
- 362Passes541
- 302Accurate passes485
Player ratings – Palmeiras vs Bahia
Palmeiras
- 42J. López8.1
- 15G. Gómez7.5
- 2A. Barboza7.2
- 8Andreas Pereira7.2
- 17Marlon Freitas7.1
- 56Arthur7.1
- 26Murilo6.9
- 19R. Sosa6.9
- 12Khellven6.7
- 11J. Arias6.7
- 30Lucas Evangelista6.6
- 1Carlos Miguel6.5
- 7Felipe Anderson6.5
- 9Vitor Roque6.4
- 3Bruno Fuchs0.0
- 4A. Giay0.0
- 14Marcelo Lomba0.0
- 18Maurício0.0
- 32E. Martínez0.0
- 50Luis Felipe0.0
- 22J. Piquerez0.0
- 37Fabiano0.0
- 48Larson0.0
Bahia
- 1Ronaldo8.8
- 8Caio Alexandre7.0
- 4Kanu6.9
- 33David Duarte6.7
- 46Luciano Juba6.7
- 7Ademir6.6
- 12Willian José6.6
- 11Rodrigo Nestor6.4
- 6Jean Lucas6.4
- 14Erick6.4
- 31Roman Gomez6.3
- 99C. Olivera6.3
- 16Erick Pulga6.2
- 9A. Véliz6.1
- 5N. Acevedo6.0
- 23M. Sanabria5.9
- 3Marco Moreno0.0
- 17G. Herrera0.0
- 44Marcos Victor0.0
- 15M. Araújo0.0
- 27Everaldo0.0
- 10Éverton Ribeiro0.0
- 66Zé Guilherme0.0
Player ratings provided by the official match data.
Official lineups Palmeiras – Bahia
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Abel Ferreira (Palmeiras) · Rogério Ceni (Bahia)
The AI built for football.
A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.
Serie A · 01:30FlashSport AIPalmeirasDRAWBahia59%23%19%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Pick a question about Palmeiras – Bahia: I’ll answer straight away with the AI’s numbers.
Basic questions free · your own questions with FlashSport PRO
Discover the AI prediction for Palmeiras – Bahia
Your AI prediction is free every day! Download FlashSport to see our AI’s pick for this match.
See my AI prediction for freeWant more? Go FlashSport PRO
Unlock AI predictions for all covered matches and get in-depth analysis.
Discover PRO and its benefitsFree download • Android and iPhone • 25 free credits on signup
Latest matches
PalmeirasDWDDWBahiaLWWWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 9 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Palmeiras vs Bahia
In 9 meetings, Palmeiras leads 5 wins to 3, with 1 draw; these matches produced 1.9 goals on average.
Palmeiras56%Bahia33%In the last 9 meetings between Palmeiras and Bahia in our data, Palmeiras won 5, Bahia won 3, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Palmeiras 10, Bahia 7.
Latest results between Palmeiras and Bahia
- Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
- Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
- Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
- Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
- Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
- Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
- Bahia0 - 0Palmeiras
- Palmeiras3 - 2Bahia
Prediction statistics – Palmeiras vs Bahia
Over 2.5 goals in 52% of Palmeiras and Bahia matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 287 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Team profiles – Palmeiras and Bahia
Palmeiras takes 2.04 points per match and Bahia 1.64; Palmeiras wins 57% of their matches, Bahia 43%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWDDW | 2.04 |
| Home | WWDLW | 2.31 |
| Away | DDDLW | 1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 57% | 69% | 47% |
| Total goals / match | 2.43 | 2.46 | 2.4 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.68 | 1.77 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.8 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 62% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 38% | 47% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| xG / match | 1.18 | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| xG conceded / match | 1 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 1.64 |
| Home | WWDDW | 1.71 |
| Away | LWWDD | 1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Total goals / match | 2.79 | 2.57 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.25 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Both teams score | 68% | 71% | 64% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 7% | 14% |
| xG / match | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.59 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.22 | 0.99 | 1.46 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Current form — who will win Palmeiras – Bahia?
Over their last 5 matches, Palmeiras shows D-W-D-D-W and Bahia L-W-W-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2.04DWDDWPalmeiras is 24% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Palmeiras 59% · draw 23% · Bahia 19%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.64LWWWW- DGremio – Palmeiras0 - 0
- WPalmeiras – Sao Paulo2 - 0
- DBotafogo – Palmeiras0 - 0
- DMirassol – Palmeiras1 - 1
- WPalmeiras – Vasco DA Gama4 - 1
- LAtletico Paranaense – Bahia2 - 1
- WBahia – Remo2 - 1
- WRB Bragantino – Bahia2 - 3
- WBahia – Internacional3 - 2
- WVitoria – Bahia0 - 2
Goals scored – Palmeiras – Bahia: who will score more?
Palmeiras scores 1.68 goals per match and concedes 0.75; Bahia scores 1.54 and concedes 1.25.
| Palmeiras | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 86% | 89% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 46% | 50% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 21% | 14% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 11% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 14% | 11% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.68 | 1.54 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Palmeiras | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 57% | 71% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 14% | 39% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 4% | 11% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 4% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 29% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Palmeiras – Bahia?
Both teams score in 57% of Palmeiras matches and 68% of Bahia matches (competition average: 60%).
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 86% | 93% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 68% | 86% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 18% | 15% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 68% | 63% |
| Both score and win | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Both score and draw | 18% | 29% | 24% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 43% | 50% | 47% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 7% | 4% | 6% |
Under X goals
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 14% | 7% | 11% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 14% | 23% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 46% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 82% | 86% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Corners Palmeiras – Bahia – how many corners?
Palmeiras and Bahia matches average 11.3 corners; Palmeiras wins 6 per match, Bahia 5.6 (competition: 10.4).
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 93% | 93% | 93% |
| Over 7 corners | 79% | 89% | 84% |
| Over 8 corners | 75% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 9 corners | 71% | 64% | 68% |
| Over 10 corners | 61% | 43% | 52% |
| Over 11 corners | 50% | 43% | 47% |
| Over 12 corners | 32% | 32% | 32% |
| Over 13 corners | 25% | 29% | 27% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6.04 | 5.64 | 5.84 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.43 | 5.54 | 5.49 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 86% | 79% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 68% | 64% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 79% | 93% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 68% | 71% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 57% | 61% | 59% |
Competition average: 10.4 corners per match (287 matches). Palmeiras: 28 matches with statistics; Bahia: 28. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Palmeiras score? · Will Bahia score?
Scored in 86% of their matchesStrong chance
Bahia: clean sheet in 29% of their matchesScored in 89% of their matchesMedium chance
Palmeiras: clean sheet in 43% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Cards Palmeiras – Bahia – how many cards?
5.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Palmeiras receives 2.4, Bahia 2.4; referee Braulio da Silva Machado shows 4.4.
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 93% | 82% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 79% | 61% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 57% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 43% | 46% | 45% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 29% | 36% | 33% |
Cards by half
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.79 | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.68 | 1.46 | 1.57 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 2 | 2.07 | 2.04 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.5 | 3.07 | 3.29 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 14% | 29% | 22% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 68% | 64% | 66% |
Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado — 4.4 cards and 25 fouls per match on average over 5 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Palmeiras – Bahia
Palmeiras leads at the break in 50% of their matches, Bahia in 36%.
1.96pts / match at half-timePalmeiras is 37% better at half-time.
1.43pts / match at half-time| Palmeiras | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 50% | 36% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 29% | 32% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 46% | 36% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 61% | 43% |
| Loses the 1st half | 4% | 29% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 11% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 32% | 46% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Who will score first in Palmeiras – Bahia?
Palmeiras opened the scoring in 79% of their matches with a goal, Bahia in 42%.
PalmeirasBahiaGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Palmeiras · total | Palmeiras · scored | Palmeiras · conceded | Bahia · total | Bahia · scored | Bahia · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 9% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
| 11–20 min | 7% | 9% | 5% | 17% | 9% | 26% |
| 21–30 min | 12% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 3% |
| 31–40 min | 6% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 16% | 17% | 14% | 21% | 16% | 26% |
| 51–60 min | 15% | 11% | 24% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| 61–70 min | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| 71–80 min | 10% | 9% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| 81–90 min | 15% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 11% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Palmeiras · total | Bahia · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 13% | 10% |
| 16–30 min | 15% | 19% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 26% |
| 46–60 min | 19% | 12% |
| 61–75 min | 18% | 14% |
| 76–90 min | 18% | 19% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Palmeiras – Bahia
Palmeiras shoots 14.9 times per match (4.9 on target), Bahia 14.5 (5 on target); average possession 53% against 55%.
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 14.93 | 14.54 | 14.74 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.93 | 5 | 4.97 |
| Shots off target / match | 6.07 | 6.07 | 6.07 |
| Shots per goal scored | 8.89 | 9.47 | 9.18 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 82% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 75% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 71% | 64% | 68% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 57% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | 43% | 47% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 46% | 39% | 43% |
| 4+ shots on target | 71% | 68% | 70% |
| 5+ shots on target | 57% | 61% | 59% |
| 6+ shots on target | 39% | 46% | 43% |
| 7+ shots on target | 21% | 25% | 23% |
Offsides and more
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 13% | 4% | 9% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13.86 | 14 | 13.93 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 13.61 | 14.21 | 13.91 |
| Average possession (%) | 53 | 55 | 54 |
| Draws | 32% | 36% | 34% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Free kicks – Palmeiras – Bahia
Palmeiras matches average 27.5 free kicks, Bahia matches 28.2.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Palmeiras | Bahia | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 13.61 | 14.21 | 13.91 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13.86 | 14 | 13.93 |
| Total free kicks / match | 27.46 | 28.21 | 27.84 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 86% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 82% | 86% | 84% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 82% | 86% | 84% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 82% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 79% | 75% | 77% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 75% | 64% | 70% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Palmeiras: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Bahia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Which players will score in Palmeiras – Bahia?
Top scorers (Serie A): J. Lopez (8) for Palmeiras, Luciano Juba (9) for Bahia.
Top scorers – Palmeiras
- J. Lopez 8
- Mauricio 7
- Vitor Roque 5
- G. Gomez 4
- J. Arias 4
- Allan 4
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (28 matches).
Top scorers – Bahia
- Luciano Juba 9
- Jean Lucas 4
- Erick 4
- Everaldo 4
- Erick Pulga 3
- David Duarte 3
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (28 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Palmeiras
- Marlon Freitas 6
- Murilo 6
- A. Giay 5
- A. Barboza 5
- J. Arias 4
- Allan 4
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Bahia
- Nicolás Acevedo 8
- Erick 6
- Erick Pulga 5
- Rodrigo Nestor 5
- Luciano Juba 4
- David Duarte 4
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Palmeiras
- A. Barboza 0.96
- Ramón Sosa 0.37
- Jefte 0.37
- Arthur Gabriel 0.33
- Khellven 0.31
- A. Giay 0.29
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Bahia
- Michel Araújo 1.03
- José Guilherme 0.73
- Mateo Sanabria 0.55
- Kauê Furquim 0.45
- Kanu 0.43
- Gabriel Xavier 0.42
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Palmeiras
- Before this match, Palmeiras took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Palmeiras is unbeaten in 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Palmeiras kept a clean sheet 3 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 2 goals over that period.
- At home, Palmeiras wins 69% of their matches (13 played) and scores 1.77 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 57% of Palmeiras matches (28 matches, this season).
Bahia
- Before this match, Bahia took 12 points from their last 5 matches (2.4 per match), scored 11 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Bahia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.
- Bahia kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Bahia wins 43% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.5 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 68% of Bahia matches (28 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Palmeiras and Bahia meet on Friday, 9 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 29), at Nubank Parque (Sao Paulo).
Palmeiras and Bahia have met 9 times in our data. Palmeiras has 5 wins, Bahia 3 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Last meeting (05/04/2026): Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras.
These meetings produced an average of 1.9 goals per match, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
This season, Palmeiras takes an average of 2.31 points per home match (13 matches), and Bahia 1.57 points per away match (14 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 59% for Palmeiras, 23% for the draw and 19% for Bahia.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Palmeiras – Bahia played?
The match was played on Friday, 9 October 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), at Nubank Parque in Sao Paulo — Serie A.
Who won Palmeiras – Bahia?
Palmeiras beat Bahia 1-0. Scorer: José Manuel López 7'.
What is the head-to-head record of Palmeiras – Bahia?
Out of 9 meetings in our data: 5 wins for Palmeiras, 1 draw and 3 wins for Bahia.
Who are the top scorers for Palmeiras and Bahia this season?
J. Lopez (8 goals) for Palmeiras, Luciano Juba (9 goals) for Bahia (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,807 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:52.
All the analysis in the app
Follow your favourite teams, find lineups, statistics and standings, plus our model’s statistical reading of matches when the data allows: it’s all in the FlashSport app.
For ages 18 and over only, under our Terms of Use.