- Stade Louis II, Monaco
- Referee: Ruddy Buquet
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
Ligue 1 (Matchday 6): Monaco – Toulouse takes place on (UK time), at Stade Louis II (Monaco). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Monaco (54%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Monaco WDWWW, Toulouse WDLDL. Head-to-head: 2 wins for Monaco, 2 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse in 4 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI Monaco – Toulouse
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Monaco on 18/09/2026, Toulouse on 19/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Luis Filipe (Monaco) · Jens Askou (Toulouse)
Fan chat – Monaco vs Toulouse
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Ligue 1 · 19:45FlashSport AI
MonacoDRAWToulouse
54%22%24%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
MonacoWDWWWToulouseWDLDLHead-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Monaco vs Toulouse
In 4 meetings, Monaco leads 2 wins to 0, with 2 draws; these matches produced 2.3 goals on average.
Monaco50%Toulouse0%In the last 4 meetings between Monaco and Toulouse in our data, Monaco won 2, Toulouse won 0, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Monaco 6, Toulouse 3.
Latest results between Monaco and Toulouse
- Toulouse2 - 2Monaco
- Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
- Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
- Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
Prediction statistics – Monaco vs Toulouse
Over 2.5 goals in 59% of Monaco and Toulouse matches on average, against 61% across Ligue 1.
Competition averages: 46 Ligue 1 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Team profiles – Monaco and Toulouse
Monaco takes 2.71 points per match and Toulouse 1; Monaco wins 86% of their matches, Toulouse 20%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWWW | 2.71 |
| Home | WWW | 3 |
| Away | DWWW | 2.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Total goals / match | 3 | 3.33 | 2.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.14 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.28 | 1.74 | 0.98 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.31 | 1.3 | 1.31 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDLDL | 1 |
| Home | WLL | 1 |
| Away | DD | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.2 | 2.67 | 4 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.67 | 2 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| xG / match | 2.19 | 2.73 | 1.38 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.64 | 1.42 | 1.99 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Current form — who will win Monaco – Toulouse?
Over their last 5 matches, Monaco shows W-D-W-W-W and Toulouse W-D-L-D-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2.71WDWWWMonaco is 171% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Monaco 54% · draw 22% · Toulouse 24%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1WDLDL- WMonaco – Lens2 - 1
- DStrasbourg – Monaco1 - 1
- WParis Saint Germain – Monaco1 - 2
- WMonaco – Marseille2 - 0
- WMonaco – Gornik Zabrze4 - 1
- WToulouse – Le Havre3 - 2
- DLorient – Toulouse2 - 2
- LToulouse – Lille0 - 1
- DStade Brestois 29 – Toulouse2 - 2
- LToulouse – Lyon0 - 2
Goals scored – Monaco – Toulouse: who will score more?
Monaco scores 2.14 goals per match and concedes 0.86; Toulouse scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8.
| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 100% | 60% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 71% | 60% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 29% | 20% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 14% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 0% | 40% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.14 | 1.4 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 71% | 100% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 14% | 80% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 0% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 1.8 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Monaco – Toulouse?
Both teams score in 71% of Monaco matches and 60% of Toulouse matches (competition average: 61%).
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 86% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 60% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 60% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 20% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 60% | 66% |
| Both score and win | 57% | 20% | 39% |
| Both score and draw | 14% | 40% | 27% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 57% | 60% | 59% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Under X goals
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 20% | 17% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 40% | 56% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 80% | 76% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Corners Monaco – Toulouse – how many corners?
Monaco and Toulouse matches average 9.5 corners; Monaco wins 3.9 per match, Toulouse 4.6 (competition: 9.7).
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 corners | 71% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 8 corners | 71% | 60% | 66% |
| Over 9 corners | 57% | 40% | 49% |
| Over 10 corners | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 11 corners | 14% | 20% | 17% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 3.86 | 4.6 | 4.23 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.57 | 5 | 5.29 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 71% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 71% | 60% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 43% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 71% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 71% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 71% | 60% | 66% |
Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (46 matches). Monaco: 7 matches with statistics; Toulouse: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Monaco score? · Will Toulouse score?
Scored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Toulouse: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesScored in 60% of their matchesMedium chance
Monaco: clean sheet in 29% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Cards Monaco – Toulouse – how many cards?
2.9 cards per match on average for these two teams; Monaco receives 1.6, Toulouse 1.6; referee Ruddy Buquet shows 3.4.
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 43% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 14% | 20% | 17% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.43 | 0.8 | 0.62 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.14 | 0.8 | 0.97 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 14% | 80% | 47% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 57% | 20% | 39% |
Referee: Ruddy Buquet — 3.4 cards and 24.1 fouls per match on average over 8 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Monaco – Toulouse
Monaco leads at the break in 71% of their matches, Toulouse in 0%.
2.29pts / match at half-timeMonaco is 186% better at half-time.
0.8pts / match at half-time| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 71% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 43% | 40% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 14% | 80% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 57% | 20% |
| Loses the 1st half | 14% | 20% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 0% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 86% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 14% | 40% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Who will score first in Monaco – Toulouse?
Monaco opened the scoring in 71% of their matches with a goal, Toulouse in 40%.
MonacoToulouseGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Monaco · total | Monaco · scored | Monaco · conceded | Toulouse · total | Toulouse · scored | Toulouse · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 5% | 7% | 0% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 10% | 13% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| 21–30 min | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 10% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| 41–50 min | 10% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 33% | 27% | 50% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
| 71–80 min | 19% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 22% |
| 81–90 min | 10% | 7% | 17% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Monaco · total | Toulouse · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 14% | 6% |
| 16–30 min | 5% | 6% |
| 31–45 min | 14% | 13% |
| 46–60 min | 38% | 19% |
| 61–75 min | 14% | 31% |
| 76–90 min | 14% | 25% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Monaco – Toulouse
Monaco shoots 11.4 times per match (5 on target), Toulouse 14.8 (4.6 on target); average possession 49% against 53%.
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 11.43 | 14.8 | 13.12 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target / match | 5 | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Shots off target / match | 3.86 | 7.2 | 5.53 |
| Shots per goal scored | 5.33 | 10.57 | 7.95 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 71% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 57% | 80% | 69% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 43% | 80% | 62% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 43% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 29% | 40% | 35% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 4+ shots on target | 71% | 60% | 66% |
| 5+ shots on target | 71% | 40% | 56% |
| 6+ shots on target | 57% | 20% | 39% |
| 7+ shots on target | 14% | 20% | 17% |
Offsides and more
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2.33 | 1.8 | 2.07 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 67% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 11.71 | 16.8 | 14.26 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10.86 | 13.2 | 12.03 |
| Average possession (%) | 49 | 53 | 51 |
| Draws | 14% | 40% | 27% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Free kicks – Monaco – Toulouse
Monaco matches average 22.6 free kicks, Toulouse matches 30.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Monaco | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10.86 | 13.2 | 12.03 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 11.71 | 16.8 | 14.26 |
| Total free kicks / match | 22.57 | 30 | 26.29 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 43% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 14% | 80% | 47% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Monaco: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Which players will score in Monaco – Toulouse?
Top scorers (Ligue 1): P. Brunner (4) for Monaco, C. Tengstedt (3) for Toulouse.
Top scorers – Monaco
- P. Brunner 4
- E. Dier 1
- Nazinho 1
- S. Idumbo 1
- L. Hradecky 0
- S. Sane 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Top scorers – Toulouse
- C. Tengstedt 3
- T. Jorgensen 2
- C. Tape 1
- J. Russell-Rowe 1
- M. McKenzie 0
- C. Casseres 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Monaco
- L. Camara 2
- A. Golovin 2
- L. Hradecky 1
- Nazinho 1
- D. Zakaria 1
- Vanderson 1
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Toulouse
- N. Schmidt 2
- C. Casseres 1
- C. Tape 1
- R. Nicolaisen 1
- S. Hidalgo 1
- S. Koumbassa 1
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Monaco
- A. Golovin 0.41
- L. Camara 0.4
- Vanderson 0.22
- D. Zakaria 0.21
- L. Hradecky 0.2
- Nazinho 0.2
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Toulouse
- N. Schmidt 0.82
- S. Koumbassa 0.47
- S. Hidalgo 0.44
- R. Nicolaisen 0.33
- C. Casseres 0.2
- C. Tape 0.2
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Monaco
- Before this match, Monaco took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 11 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Monaco is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Monaco kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- Monaco scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 71% of Monaco matches (7 matches, this season).
Toulouse
- Before this match, Toulouse took 5 points from their last 5 matches (1 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats.
- Toulouse kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
- Toulouse scored in every one of their 2 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 60% of Toulouse matches (5 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Monaco and Toulouse meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Ligue 1 (Matchday 6), at Stade Louis II (Monaco).
Monaco and Toulouse have met 4 times in our data. Monaco has 2 wins, Toulouse 0 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (25/04/2026): Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco.
These meetings produced an average of 2.3 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
This season, Monaco takes an average of 3 points per home match (3 matches), and Toulouse 1 point per away match (2 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 54% for Monaco, 22% for the draw and 24% for Toulouse.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Monaco – Toulouse played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade Louis II in Monaco — Ligue 1.
Who is the favourite between Monaco and Toulouse?
Monaco goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 54% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in Monaco – Toulouse?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 57% of Monaco matches and 60% of Toulouse matches. Both teams scored in 71% and 60% of their matches.
What is the head-to-head record of Monaco – Toulouse?
Out of 4 meetings in our data: 2 wins for Monaco, 2 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.
Who are the top scorers for Monaco and Toulouse this season?
P. Brunner (4 goals) for Monaco, C. Tengstedt (3 goals) for Toulouse (Ligue 1).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.
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