Luxembourg
Bulgaria
- Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
- Referee: Andris Treimanis
- Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League C - 4): Bulgaria beat Luxembourg 2-0 on . Scorers: Kristiyan Balov 19', Atanas Iliev 34'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Luxembourg (45%). Head-to-head: 1 win for Luxembourg, 3 draws and 2 wins for Bulgaria in 6 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Luxembourg – Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League: Bulgaria won 2-0 away at Luxembourg (0-2 at half-time).
Scorers: Bulgaria — Kristiyan Balov (19'), Atanas Iliev (34').
Possession 63% – 37%, shots 18 – 13.
- 19'Kristiyan Balov (assist: E. Tsenov)Goal · Bulgaria0-1
- 31'Georgi RusevYellow card · Bulgaria
- 34'Atanas Iliev (assist: G. Rusev)Goal · Bulgaria0-2
- 41'Stefan VelkovYellow card · Bulgaria
- 45'T. Pereira Cardoso ↑ Anthony Moris ↓Substitution · Luxembourg
- 45'Aiman Dardari ↑ jayson videira ↓Substitution · Luxembourg
- 45'M. Olesen ↑ Enzo dos Santos ↓Substitution · Luxembourg
- 50'P. Panayotov ↑ Georgi Rusev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 51'Yoan StoyanovYellow card · Bulgaria
- 66'S. Ivanov ↑ Kristiyan Balov ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 66'V. Nikolov ↑ Atanas Iliev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 67'T. Rupil ↑ J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz ↓Substitution · Luxembourg
- 78'S. Thill ↑ Eric Veiga ↓Substitution · Luxembourg
- 81'Dirk CarlsonYellow card · Luxembourg
- 83'K. Dimitrov ↑ Martin Minchev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
Match stats – Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
- 18Total shots13
- 7Shots on target5
- 10Shots off target7
- 1Blocked shots1
- 11Shots inside box10
- 7Shots outside box3
- 5Corners4
- 2Offsides1
- 15Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves7
- 583Passes350
- 512Accurate passes264
Official lineups Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: J. Strasser (Luxembourg) · A. Ribarski (Bulgaria)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AILuxembourgDRAWBulgaria45%29%26%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
LuxembourgLLWBulgariaLDLHead-to-head (H2H) last 6 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
In 6 meetings, Luxembourg leads 1 win to 2, with 3 draws; these matches produced 2.2 goals on average.
Luxembourg17%Bulgaria33%In the last 6 meetings between Luxembourg and Bulgaria in our data, Luxembourg won 1, Bulgaria won 2, and 3 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Luxembourg 6, Bulgaria 7.
Latest results between Luxembourg and Bulgaria
- Bulgaria1 - 2Luxembourg
- Luxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
- Bulgaria0 - 0Luxembourg
- Luxembourg0 - 0Bulgaria
- Luxembourg1 - 1Bulgaria
- Bulgaria4 - 3Luxembourg
Prediction statistics – Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
Over 2.5 goals in 67% of Luxembourg and Bulgaria matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 91 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Team profiles – Luxembourg and Bulgaria
Luxembourg takes 1 point per match and Bulgaria 0.33; Luxembourg wins 33% of their matches, Bulgaria 0%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 1 |
| Home | L | 0 |
| Away | LW | 1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 3 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LDL | 0.33 |
| Home | DL | 0.5 |
| Away | L | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2 | 1.5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.33 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1 | 3 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
Current form — who will win Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Over their last 3 matches, Luxembourg shows L-L-W and Bulgaria L-D-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1LLWLuxembourg is 203% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Luxembourg 45% · draw 29% · Bulgaria 26%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
0.33LDL- LEstonia – Luxembourg1 - 0
- LLuxembourg – Iceland0 - 3
- WBulgaria – Luxembourg1 - 2
- LIceland – Bulgaria3 - 0
- DBulgaria – Estonia0 - 0
- LBulgaria – Luxembourg1 - 2
Goals scored – Luxembourg – Bulgaria: who will score more?
Luxembourg scores 0.67 goals per match and concedes 1.67; Bulgaria scores 0.33 and concedes 1.67.
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 33% | 33% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 33% | 0% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 67% | 67% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 67% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 33% | 67% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Both teams score in 33% of Luxembourg matches and 33% of Bulgaria matches (competition average: 47%).
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Both score and win | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Under X goals
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Corners Luxembourg – Bulgaria – how many corners?
Luxembourg and Bulgaria matches average 9 corners; Luxembourg wins 3 per match, Bulgaria 4 (competition: 8.6).
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 7 corners | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 8 corners | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 9 corners | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 10 corners | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 11 corners | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 3 | 4 | 3.5 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.67 | 6.33 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Competition average: 8.6 corners per match (91 matches). Luxembourg: 3 matches with statistics; Bulgaria: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Luxembourg score? · Will Bulgaria score?
Scored in 33% of their matchesMedium chance
Bulgaria: clean sheet in 33% of their matchesScored in 33% of their matchesMedium chance
Luxembourg: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Cards Luxembourg – Bulgaria – how many cards?
5.7 cards per match on average for these two teams; Luxembourg receives 3.3, Bulgaria 3; referee Andris Treimanis shows 2.7.
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Cards by half
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.67 | 2 | 1.34 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 2.67 | 1 | 1.84 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 2 | 3 | 2.5 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 4.67 | 2 | 3.34 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Referee: Andris Treimanis — 2.7 cards and 27.5 fouls per match on average over 3 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Luxembourg leads at the break in 0% of their matches, Bulgaria in 0%.
0.33pts / match at half-timeBulgaria is 103% better at half-time.
0.67pts / match at half-time| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 33% | 67% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 33% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 67% | 33% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 33% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 67% | 33% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Who will score first in Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Luxembourg opened the scoring in 0% of their matches with a goal, Bulgaria in 50%.
LuxembourgBulgariaGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Luxembourg · total | Luxembourg · scored | Luxembourg · conceded | Bulgaria · total | Bulgaria · scored | Bulgaria · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 14% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 29% | 0% | 40% | 17% | 100% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 29% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% |
| 41–50 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 20% |
| 61–70 min | 14% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 20% |
| 71–80 min | 14% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 20% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Luxembourg · total | Bulgaria · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 29% | 0% |
| 16–30 min | 14% | 17% |
| 31–45 min | 29% | 33% |
| 46–60 min | 0% | 17% |
| 61–75 min | 29% | 17% |
| 76–90 min | 0% | 17% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Luxembourg shoots 9.3 times per match (3.3 on target), Bulgaria 12.3 (4 on target); average possession 54% against 52%.
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 9.33 | 12.33 | 10.83 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target / match | 3.33 | 4 | 3.67 |
| Shots off target / match | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Shots per goal scored | 14 | 37 | 25.5 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 4+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 5+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 6+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 7+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Offsides and more
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13.33 | 11 | 12.17 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 12 | 18 | 15 |
| Average possession (%) | 54 | 52 | 53 |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Free kicks – Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Luxembourg matches average 25.3 free kicks, Bulgaria matches 29.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 12 | 18 | 15 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13.33 | 11 | 12.17 |
| Total free kicks / match | 25.33 | 29 | 27.17 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Luxembourg: last 3 available matches; Bulgaria: last 3 available matches.
Which players will score in Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): V. Thill (1) for Luxembourg, A. Chandarov (1) for Bulgaria.
Top scorers – Luxembourg
- V. Thill 1
- Leandro Barreiro 1
- A. Moris 0
- D. Carlson 0
- F. Bohnert 0
- E. Mahmutović 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Bulgaria
- A. Chandarov 1
- D. Naumov 0
- K. Dimitrov 0
- D. Velkovski 0
- I. Turitsov 0
- L. Petkov 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Luxembourg
- E. Mahmutović 2
- Leandro Barreiro 2
- D. Carlson 1
- J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz 1
- Omar Natami 1
- V. Selimović 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Bulgaria
- D. Velkovski 2
- L. Petkov 2
- K. Dimitrov 1
- Marin Plamenov·Petkov 1
- E. Tsenov 1
- A. Iliev 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Luxembourg
- Leandro Barreiro 1
- E. Mahmutović 0.68
- J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz 0.35
- D. Carlson 0.33
- A. Moris 0
- F. Bohnert 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Bulgaria
- L. Petkov 0.77
- D. Velkovski 0.67
- K. Dimitrov 0.33
- D. Naumov 0
- I. Turitsov 0
- I. Gruev 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Luxembourg
- Before this match, Luxembourg took 3 points from their last 3 matches (1 per match), scored 2 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 3 matches, Luxembourg has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Luxembourg kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Luxembourg matches (3 matches, recent form).
Bulgaria
- Before this match, Bulgaria took 1 point from their last 3 matches (0.33 per match), scored 1 goal and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Bulgaria has won none of their last 3 matches (1 draw, 2 defeats).
- Bulgaria kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 3 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Bulgaria matches (3 matches, recent form).
Match analysis
Luxembourg and Bulgaria meet on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League C - 4), at Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg).
Luxembourg and Bulgaria have met 6 times in our data. Luxembourg has 1 win, Bulgaria 2 wins, and 3 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (26/09/2026): Bulgaria 1 - 2 Luxembourg.
These meetings produced an average of 2.2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
Over their recent matches, Luxembourg takes an average of 0 points per home match (1 match), and Bulgaria 0 points per away match (1 match).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 45% for Luxembourg, 29% for the draw and 26% for Bulgaria.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Luxembourg – Bulgaria played?
The match was played on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade de Luxembourg in Luxembourg — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Bulgaria beat Luxembourg 2-0. Scorers: Kristiyan Balov 19', Atanas Iliev 34'.
What is the head-to-head record of Luxembourg – Bulgaria?
Out of 6 meetings in our data: 1 win for Luxembourg, 3 draws and 2 wins for Bulgaria.
Who are the top scorers for Luxembourg and Bulgaria this season?
V. Thill (1 goal) for Luxembourg, A. Chandarov (1 goal) for Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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