Lorient

Ligue 1FranceMatchday 6

Lorient

10/10/2026Saturday · 19:45

Paris FC

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Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Referee: Jerome Brisard
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Key facts

Ligue 1 (Matchday 6): Lorient – Paris FC takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Paris FC (40%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Lorient LDWLD, Paris FC WDWWD.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

PREVIEWLigue 1 · 19:45

Who will win? according to the FlashSport AI

34%

Draw27%

40%

Over 2.5 goals: 50% · Both teams score: 56% · Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.3

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Standings before this match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	11
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5

See the full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

Last starting XI Lorient – Paris FC

Lorient3-4-2-14-2-3-1Paris FC

38Mvogo20Sylla3Talbi32Adjei77Katseris8Cadiou62Avom43Kouassi33Bernardeau17Makengo18Balde1Trapp17Camara5Mbow42Coppola14Traore20Lopez33Lees-Melou10Kebbal7Pagis15Koleosho9Sinayoko

Last starting XI fielded by each team (Lorient on 19/09/2026, Paris FC on 19/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Alexandre Dujeux (Lorient) · Liam Rosenior (Paris FC)

Fan chat – Lorient vs Paris FC

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Ligue 1 · 19:45FlashSport AI

LorientDRAWParis FC

34%27%40%

VERDICT🔒 in the app

Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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Latest matches

LorientLDWLD

Paris FCWDWWD

Head-to-head (H2H) last 2 matches

0Wins

1Draws

1Wins

Head-to-head statistics – Lorient vs Paris FC

In 2 meetings, Lorient leads 0 wins to 1, with 1 draw; these matches produced 2 goals on average.

Lorient0%

2matches

50%50%

0 wins · 1 draw · 1 win

Paris FC50%

In the last 2 meetings between Lorient and Paris FC in our data, Lorient won 0, Paris FC won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Lorient 1, Paris FC 3.

100% Over 1.52 / 2 matches

0% Over 2.50 / 2 matches

0% Over 3.50 / 2 matches

50% Both teams score1 / 2 matches

0% Clean sheetsLorient

50% Clean sheetsParis FC

Latest results between Lorient and Paris FC

05/04/2026Lorient1 - 1Paris FC
03/10/2025Paris FC2 - 0Lorient

Prediction statistics – Lorient vs Paris FC

Over 2.5 goals in 60% of Lorient and Paris FC matches on average, against 61% across Ligue 1.

60% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 61%

60% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 78%

50% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 61%

2.2 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.85

3.2 cards / matchCompetition average: 3.26

7.1 corners / matchCompetition average: 9.65

Competition averages: 46 Ligue 1 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Team profiles – Lorient and Paris FC

Lorient takes 1 point per match and Paris FC 2.2; Lorient wins 20% of their matches, Paris FC 60%.

LorientLigue 1 · #12 of 18

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	LDWLD	1
Home	DL	0.5
Away	LWD	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	20%	0%	33%
Total goals / match	2.2	3.5	1.33
Goals scored / match	1	1.5	0.67
Goals conceded / match	1.2	2	0.67
Both teams score	60%	100%	33%
Clean sheets	40%	0%	67%
Failed to score	20%	0%	33%
xG / match	1.19	1.04	1.28
xG conceded / match	1.39	1.88	1.07

2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Paris FCLigue 1 · #3 of 18

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	WDWWD	2.2
Home	WDW	2.33
Away	WD	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	60%	67%	50%
Total goals / match	2.2	2	2.5
Goals scored / match	1.6	1.67	1.5
Goals conceded / match	0.6	0.33	1
Both teams score	40%	33%	50%
Clean sheets	60%	67%	50%
Failed to score	40%	33%	50%
xG / match	1.76	1.24	2.55
xG conceded / match	0.67	0.51	0.92

2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Current form — who will win Lorient – Paris FC?

Over their last 5 matches, Lorient shows L-D-W-L-D and Paris FC W-D-W-W-D (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

1LDWLD

Paris FC is 55% worse on points per match.

According to the FlashSport AI: Lorient 34% · draw 27% · Paris FC 40%

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

2.2WDWWD

L19/09/2026Le Mans – Lorient2 - 1
D12/09/2026Lorient – Toulouse2 - 2
W05/09/2026Lens – Lorient0 - 1
L29/08/2026Lorient – Estac Troyes1 - 2
D22/08/2026Nice – Lorient0 - 0

W19/09/2026Paris FC – Strasbourg2 - 1
D12/09/2026Paris FC – Lyon0 - 0
W06/09/2026Marseille – Paris FC2 - 3
W30/08/2026Paris FC – Nice3 - 0
D22/08/2026Estac Troyes – Paris FC0 - 0

Goals scored – Lorient – Paris FC: who will score more?

Lorient scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2; Paris FC scores 1.6 and concedes 0.6.

Goals scored per match
	Lorient	Paris FC
Scores over 0.5 goal	80%	60%
Scores over 1.5 goal	20%	60%
Scores over 2.5 goals	0%	40%
Scores over 3.5 goals	0%	0%
Fails to score	20%	40%
Goals scored / match	1	1.6

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
	Lorient	Paris FC
Concedes over 0.5 goal	60%	40%
Concedes over 1.5 goal	60%	20%
Concedes over 2.5 goals	0%	0%
Concedes over 3.5 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	40%	60%
Goals conceded / match	1.2	0.6

Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Lorient – Paris FC?

Both teams score in 60% of Lorient matches and 40% of Paris FC matches (competition average: 61%).

Goals in the match
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Over 0.5 goal	80%	60%	70%
Over 1.5 goal	60%	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%	60%
Over 3.5 goals	20%	20%	20%
Over 4.5 goals	0%	20%	10%
Both teams score	60%	40%	50%
Both score and win	0%	40%	20%
Both score and draw	20%	0%	10%
Both score and over 2.5	60%	40%	50%
Not both and over 2.5	0%	20%	10%

Under X goals

Under X goals
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Under 0.5 goal	20%	40%	30%
Under 1.5 goals	40%	40%	40%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	40%	40%
Under 3.5 goals	80%	80%	80%
Under 4.5 goals	100%	80%	90%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Corners Lorient – Paris FC – how many corners?

Lorient and Paris FC matches average 7.1 corners; Lorient wins 2.4 per match, Paris FC 3 (competition: 9.7).

7.1corners / match (average of both teams)

2.4corners won / match – Lorient

3corners won / match – Paris FC

Corners in the match
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Over 6 corners	80%	60%	70%
Over 7 corners	40%	40%	40%
Over 8 corners	20%	20%	20%
Over 9 corners	20%	0%	10%
Over 10 corners	20%	0%	10%
Over 11 corners	20%	0%	10%
Over 12 corners	0%	0%	0%
Over 13 corners	0%	0%	0%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Corners won / match	2.4	3	2.7
Corners conceded / match	5.2	3.6	4.4
Over 2.5 corners won	60%	60%	60%
Over 3.5 corners won	20%	40%	30%
Over 4.5 corners won	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 corners conceded	80%	80%	80%
Over 3.5 corners conceded	60%	60%	60%
Over 4.5 corners conceded	60%	40%	50%

Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (46 matches). Lorient: 5 matches with statistics; Paris FC: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will Lorient score? · Will Paris FC score?

Scored in 80% of their matches

Medium chance

Paris FC: clean sheet in 60% of their matches

Scored in 60% of their matches

Medium chance

Lorient: clean sheet in 40% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Cards Lorient – Paris FC – how many cards?

3.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Lorient receives 1.3, Paris FC 1.6; referee Jerome Brisard shows 4.1.

3.2cards / match (average of both teams)

1.3cards received / match – Lorient

1.6cards received / match – Paris FC

Cards in the match
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Over 2.5 cards	50%	60%	55%
Over 3.5 cards	50%	20%	35%
Over 4.5 cards	50%	20%	35%
Over 5.5 cards	50%	0%	25%
Over 6.5 cards	0%	0%	0%

Cards by half

Cards by half
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)	1	0.2	0.6
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)	0.25	1.4	0.83
Total 1st half (avg.)	1.5	0.4	0.95
Total 2nd half (avg.)	2	2.4	2.2
More cards in the 1st half	50%	20%	35%
More cards in the 2nd half	50%	80%	65%

Referee: Jerome Brisard — 4.1 cards and 25.4 fouls per match on average over 9 matches in our data.

Competition average: 3.3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – Lorient – Paris FC

Lorient leads at the break in 20% of their matches, Paris FC in 60%.

1pts / match at half-time

Paris FC is 120% better at half-time.

2.2pts / match at half-time

Results by half
	Lorient	Paris FC
Wins the 1st half	20%	60%
Wins the 2nd half	40%	20%
Draw in the 1st half	40%	40%
Draw in the 2nd half	40%	80%
Loses the 1st half	40%	0%
Loses the 2nd half	20%	0%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time	60%	60%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time	40%	20%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Who will score first in Lorient – Paris FC?

Lorient opened the scoring in 50% of their matches with a goal, Paris FC in 100%.

Lorient

50%scored first in 2 / 4 matches

Paris FC

100%scored first in 3 / 3 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

Minutes	Lorient · total	Lorient · scored	Lorient · conceded	Paris FC · total	Paris FC · scored	Paris FC · conceded
0–10 min	9%	0%	17%	18%	13%	33%
11–20 min	0%	0%	0%	18%	25%	0%
21–30 min	9%	0%	17%	9%	13%	0%
31–40 min	27%	40%	17%	0%	0%	0%
41–50 min	9%	0%	17%	0%	0%	0%
51–60 min	27%	40%	17%	27%	25%	33%
61–70 min	9%	0%	17%	0%	0%	0%
71–80 min	9%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%
81–90 min	0%	0%	0%	27%	25%	33%

Goals by 15-minute period

Minutes	Lorient · total	Paris FC · total
0–15 min	9%	18%
16–30 min	9%	27%
31–45 min	27%	0%
46–60 min	36%	27%
61–75 min	9%	0%
76–90 min	9%	27%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Lorient – Paris FC

Lorient shoots 10.4 times per match (3.2 on target), Paris FC 13.2 (4.6 on target); average possession 48% against 50%.

Shots
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Shots / match	10.4	13.2	11.8
Shot conversion rate (%)	10	12	11
Shots on target / match	3.2	4.6	3.9
Shots off target / match	5.2	5.2	5.2
Shots per goal scored	10.4	8.25	9.32
Over 10.5 shots	20%	60%	40%
Over 11.5 shots	20%	60%	40%
Over 12.5 shots	20%	60%	40%
Over 13.5 shots	20%	60%	40%
Over 14.5 shots	20%	60%	40%
Over 15.5 shots	0%	40%	20%
4+ shots on target	20%	80%	50%
5+ shots on target	20%	40%	30%
6+ shots on target	20%	40%	30%
7+ shots on target	0%	40%	20%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Offsides / match	0.8	1.6	1.2
Over 2.5 offsides	0%	0%	0%
Over 3.5 offsides	0%	0%	0%
Fouls committed / match	9.2	13.8	11.5
Fouls suffered / match	15.4	10	12.7
Average possession (%)	48	50	49
Draws	40%	40%	40%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Free kicks – Lorient – Paris FC

Lorient matches average 24.6 free kicks, Paris FC matches 23.8.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
	Lorient	Paris FC	Average
Free kicks won / match	15.4	10	12.7
Free kicks conceded / match	9.2	13.8	11.5
Total free kicks / match	24.6	23.8	24.2
Over 20.5 free kicks	80%	80%	80%
Over 21.5 free kicks	80%	80%	80%
Over 22.5 free kicks	80%	40%	60%
Over 23.5 free kicks	60%	40%	50%
Over 24.5 free kicks	40%	40%	40%
Over 25.5 free kicks	40%	40%	40%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Lorient: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Paris FC: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Which players will score in Lorient – Paris FC?

Top scorers (Ligue 1): J. Makengo (1) for Lorient, L. Sinayoko (4) for Paris FC.

Top scorers – Lorient

J. Makengo 1
M. Kone 1
I. Balde 1
N. Mbamba 1
I. Jensen 1
Y. Mvogo 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Top scorers – Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 4
I. Kebbal 1
P. Pagis 1
S. Chergui 1
V. Marchetti 1
K. Trapp 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Lorient

A. Kouassi 1
N. Adjei 1
J. Makengo 1
A. Avom 1
P. Katseris 1
Y. Mvogo 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Paris FC

D. Coppola 1
L. Sinayoko 1
M. Lopez 1
L. Koleosho 1
H. Traore 1
Otavio 1

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Lorient

A. Avom 0.29
J. Makengo 0.22
N. Adjei 0.21
A. Kouassi 0.2
Y. Mvogo 0
M. Talbi 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Paris FC

H. Traore 0.37
L. Koleosho 0.31
M. Lopez 0.23
L. Sinayoko 0.21
D. Coppola 0.2
K. Trapp 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

Before this match, Lorient took 5 points from their last 5 matches (1 per match), scored 5 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
Over their last 5 matches, Lorient has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats.
Lorient kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
Lorient scored in every one of their 2 home matches in the sample studied.
Both teams scored in 60% of Lorient matches (5 matches, this season).

Paris FC

Before this match, Paris FC took 11 points from their last 5 matches (2.2 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
Paris FC is unbeaten in 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
Paris FC kept a clean sheet 3 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 3 goals over that period.
Away from home, Paris FC wins 50% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1.5 goals per match.
Both teams scored in 40% of Paris FC matches (5 matches, this season).

Match analysis

Lorient and Paris FC meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Ligue 1 (Matchday 6), at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient).

Lorient and Paris FC have met 2 times in our data. Lorient has 0 wins, Paris FC 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw.

Last meeting (05/04/2026): Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC.

These meetings produced an average of 2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

This season, Lorient takes an average of 0.5 points per home match (2 matches), and Paris FC 2 points per away match (2 matches).

According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 34% for Lorient, 27% for the draw and 40% for Paris FC.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Frequently asked questions

When and where is Lorient – Paris FC played?

The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade du Moustoir in Lorient — Ligue 1.

Who is the favourite between Lorient and Paris FC?

Paris FC goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 40% chance of winning, against 27% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

How many goals can we expect in Lorient – Paris FC?

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of Lorient matches and 60% of Paris FC matches. Both teams scored in 60% and 40% of their matches.

What is the head-to-head record of Lorient – Paris FC?

Out of 2 meetings in our data: 0 wins for Lorient, 1 draw and 1 win for Paris FC.

Who are the top scorers for Lorient and Paris FC this season?

J. Makengo (1 goal) for Lorient, L. Sinayoko (4 goals) for Paris FC (Ligue 1).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.

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Lorient – Paris FC: match preview, 10/10/2026

Key facts

Last starting XI Lorient – Paris FC

💬 Fan chat – Lorient vs Paris FC

The AI built for football.

Discover the AI prediction for Lorient – Paris FC

Want more? Go FlashSport PRO

Latest matches

Head-to-head (H2H) last 2 matches

Head-to-head statistics – Lorient vs Paris FC

Latest results between Lorient and Paris FC

Prediction statistics – Lorient vs Paris FC

Team profiles – Lorient and Paris FC

Current form — who will win Lorient – Paris FC?

Goals scored – Lorient – Paris FC: who will score more?

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Lorient – Paris FC?

Corners Lorient – Paris FC – how many corners?

Team corners — won / conceded

Will Lorient score? · Will Paris FC score?

Cards Lorient – Paris FC – how many cards?

Cards by half

Win / draw / defeat by half – Lorient – Paris FC

Who will score first in Lorient – Paris FC?

Goals by 10-minute period

Goals by 15-minute period

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Lorient – Paris FC

Offsides and more

Free kicks – Lorient – Paris FC

Which players will score in Lorient – Paris FC?

Top scorers – Lorient

Top scorers – Paris FC

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Lorient

Cards received – Paris FC

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Lorient

Cards / 90 – Paris FC

The teams in numbers

Lorient

Paris FC

Match analysis

Frequently asked questions

Sources and method

All the analysis in the app

Fan chat – Lorient vs Paris FC