Lille

Ligue 1FranceMatchday 6

Lille

10/10/2026Saturday · 16:15

Le Havre

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Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
Referee: Bastein Dechepy
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Key facts

Ligue 1 (Matchday 6): Lille – Le Havre takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Lille (63%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Lille LWLWD, Le Havre LDLDL. Head-to-head: 2 wins for Lille, 1 draw and 1 win for Le Havre in 4 meetings.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

PREVIEWLigue 1 · 16:15

Who will win? according to the FlashSport AI

63%

Draw20%

17%

Over 2.5 goals: 56% · Both teams score: 50% · Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.7

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Standings before this match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	10
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	2

See the full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

Last starting XI Lille – Le Havre

Lille4-2-3-13-4-2-1Le Havre

1Ozer22Santos3Ngoy4Alexsandro15Perraud21Andre6Bentaleb8Mbappe10Haraldsson19Onal18Ueda93Gallon23Sasso15Seko5Touba20Ouziad26Ebonog7Richardson12Jelert38Fofana25Samatta9Maja

Last starting XI fielded by each team (Lille on 20/09/2026, Le Havre on 19/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Davide Ancelotti (Lille) · Didier Digard (Le Havre)

Fan chat – Lille vs Le Havre

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Ligue 1 · 16:15FlashSport AI

LilleDRAWLe Havre

63%20%17%

VERDICT🔒 in the app

Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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Latest matches

LilleLWLWD

Le HavreLDLDL

Head-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches

2Wins

1Draws

1Wins

Head-to-head statistics – Lille vs Le Havre

In 4 meetings, Lille leads 2 wins to 1, with 1 draw; these matches produced 2.3 goals on average.

Lille50%

4matches

50%25%25%

2 wins · 1 draw · 1 win

Le Havre25%

In the last 4 meetings between Lille and Le Havre in our data, Lille won 2, Le Havre won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Lille 6, Le Havre 3.

75% Over 1.53 / 4 matches

50% Over 2.52 / 4 matches

0% Over 3.50 / 4 matches

50% Both teams score2 / 4 matches

50% Clean sheetsLille

0% Clean sheetsLe Havre

Latest results between Lille and Le Havre

03/05/2026Lille1 - 1Le Havre
30/11/2025Le Havre0 - 1Lille
08/02/2025Lille1 - 2Le Havre
28/09/2024Le Havre0 - 3Lille

Prediction statistics – Lille vs Le Havre

Over 2.5 goals in 45% of Lille and Le Havre matches on average, against 61% across Ligue 1.

45% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 61%

72% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 78%

55% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 61%

2.5 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.85

3.1 cards / matchCompetition average: 3.26

9.7 corners / matchCompetition average: 9.65

Competition averages: 46 Ligue 1 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Team profiles – Lille and Le Havre

Lille takes 1.67 points per match and Le Havre 0.4; Lille wins 50% of their matches, Le Havre 0%.

LilleLigue 1 · #4 of 18

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	LWLWD	1.67
Home	WLD	1.33
Away	LWW	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	50%	33%	67%
Total goals / match	2.83	3.67	2
Goals scored / match	1.67	2	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.17	1.67	0.67
Both teams score	50%	67%	33%
Clean sheets	50%	33%	67%
Failed to score	0%	0%	0%
xG / match	1.3	1.25	1.34
xG conceded / match	1.76	1.21	2.32

2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Le HavreLigue 1 · #18 of 18

Form	Results	Pts / match
Overall	LDLDL	0.4
Home	DLL	0.33
Away	LD	0.5

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Wins	0%	0%	0%
Total goals / match	2.2	1.33	3.5
Goals scored / match	0.8	0.33	1.5
Goals conceded / match	1.4	1	2
Both teams score	60%	33%	100%
Clean sheets	20%	33%	0%
Failed to score	40%	67%	0%
xG / match	1.39	1.31	1.52
xG conceded / match	1.61	1.45	1.85

2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Current form — who will win Lille – Le Havre?

Over their last 5 matches, Lille shows L-W-L-W-D and Le Havre L-D-L-D-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

1.67LWLWD

Lille is 318% better on points per match.

According to the FlashSport AI: Lille 63% · draw 20% · Le Havre 17%

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

0.4LDLDL

L20/09/2026Nice – Lille2 - 1
W13/09/2026Lille – Estac Troyes2 - 0
L08/09/2026Lille – Real Betis2 - 3
W03/09/2026Toulouse – Lille0 - 1
D28/08/2026Lille – Paris Saint Germain2 - 2

L19/09/2026Toulouse – Le Havre3 - 2
D12/09/2026Le Havre – Angers0 - 0
L05/09/2026Le Havre – Stade Brestois 291 - 2
D29/08/2026Lyon – Le Havre1 - 1
L23/08/2026Le Havre – Monaco0 - 1

Goals scored – Lille – Le Havre: who will score more?

Lille scores 1.67 goals per match and concedes 1.17; Le Havre scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4.

Goals scored per match
	Lille	Le Havre
Scores over 0.5 goal	100%	60%
Scores over 1.5 goal	67%	20%
Scores over 2.5 goals	0%	0%
Scores over 3.5 goals	0%	0%
Fails to score	0%	40%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.8

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
	Lille	Le Havre
Concedes over 0.5 goal	50%	80%
Concedes over 1.5 goal	50%	40%
Concedes over 2.5 goals	17%	20%
Concedes over 3.5 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Goals conceded / match	1.17	1.4

Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Lille – Le Havre?

Both teams score in 50% of Lille matches and 60% of Le Havre matches (competition average: 61%).

Goals in the match
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Over 0.5 goal	100%	80%	90%
Over 1.5 goal	83%	60%	72%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	40%	45%
Over 3.5 goals	33%	20%	27%
Over 4.5 goals	17%	20%	19%
Both teams score	50%	60%	55%
Both score and win	0%	0%	0%
Both score and draw	17%	20%	19%
Both score and over 2.5	50%	40%	45%
Not both and over 2.5	0%	0%	0%

Under X goals

Under X goals
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Under 0.5 goal	0%	20%	10%
Under 1.5 goals	17%	40%	29%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	60%	55%
Under 3.5 goals	67%	80%	74%
Under 4.5 goals	83%	80%	82%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Corners Lille – Le Havre – how many corners?

Lille and Le Havre matches average 9.7 corners; Lille wins 3.2 per match, Le Havre 5.6 (competition: 9.7).

9.7corners / match (average of both teams)

3.2corners won / match – Lille

5.6corners won / match – Le Havre

Corners in the match
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Over 6 corners	83%	100%	92%
Over 7 corners	67%	100%	84%
Over 8 corners	50%	100%	75%
Over 9 corners	50%	100%	75%
Over 10 corners	17%	40%	29%
Over 11 corners	0%	20%	10%
Over 12 corners	0%	20%	10%
Over 13 corners	0%	0%	0%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Corners won / match	3.17	5.6	4.39
Corners conceded / match	5.33	5.2	5.27
Over 2.5 corners won	50%	100%	75%
Over 3.5 corners won	33%	100%	67%
Over 4.5 corners won	33%	80%	57%
Over 2.5 corners conceded	100%	100%	100%
Over 3.5 corners conceded	83%	100%	92%
Over 4.5 corners conceded	83%	80%	82%

Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (46 matches). Lille: 6 matches with statistics; Le Havre: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will Lille score? · Will Le Havre score?

Scored in 100% of their matches

Strong chance

Le Havre: clean sheet in 20% of their matches

Scored in 60% of their matches

Medium chance

Lille: clean sheet in 50% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Cards Lille – Le Havre – how many cards?

3.1 cards per match on average for these two teams; Lille receives 1.3, Le Havre 1.8.

3.1cards / match (average of both teams)

1.3cards received / match – Lille

1.8cards received / match – Le Havre

Cards in the match
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Over 2.5 cards	67%	60%	64%
Over 3.5 cards	50%	40%	45%
Over 4.5 cards	17%	20%	19%
Over 5.5 cards	0%	0%	0%
Over 6.5 cards	0%	0%	0%

Cards by half

Cards by half
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)	0	1.2	0.6
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)	1.33	0.6	0.97
Total 1st half (avg.)	0.83	1.8	1.32
Total 2nd half (avg.)	2.17	1.4	1.79
More cards in the 1st half	17%	40%	29%
More cards in the 2nd half	67%	20%	44%

Competition average: 3.3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – Lille – Le Havre

Lille leads at the break in 67% of their matches, Le Havre in 0%.

2.17pts / match at half-time

Lille is 262% better at half-time.

0.6pts / match at half-time

Results by half
	Lille	Le Havre
Wins the 1st half	67%	0%
Wins the 2nd half	33%	0%
Draw in the 1st half	17%	60%
Draw in the 2nd half	33%	80%
Loses the 1st half	17%	40%
Loses the 2nd half	33%	20%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time	83%	40%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time	33%	0%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Who will score first in Lille – Le Havre?

Lille opened the scoring in 83% of their matches with a goal, Le Havre in 25%.

Lille

83%scored first in 5 / 6 matches

Le Havre

25%scored first in 1 / 4 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

Minutes	Lille · total	Lille · scored	Lille · conceded	Le Havre · total	Le Havre · scored	Le Havre · conceded
0–10 min	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
11–20 min	18%	30%	0%	18%	0%	29%
21–30 min	12%	10%	14%	0%	0%	0%
31–40 min	18%	20%	14%	0%	0%	0%
41–50 min	6%	0%	14%	9%	0%	14%
51–60 min	6%	0%	14%	18%	0%	29%
61–70 min	6%	0%	14%	0%	0%	0%
71–80 min	12%	20%	0%	36%	75%	14%
81–90 min	24%	20%	29%	18%	25%	14%

Goals by 15-minute period

Minutes	Lille · total	Le Havre · total
0–15 min	12%	18%
16–30 min	18%	0%
31–45 min	18%	0%
46–60 min	12%	27%
61–75 min	12%	18%
76–90 min	29%	36%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Lille – Le Havre

Lille shoots 11.7 times per match (5.7 on target), Le Havre 15.6 (5 on target); average possession 47% against 48%.

Shots
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Shots / match	11.67	15.6	13.64
Shot conversion rate (%)	14	5	9.5
Shots on target / match	5.67	5	5.34
Shots off target / match	3.33	6.4	4.87
Shots per goal scored	7	19.5	13.25
Over 10.5 shots	50%	100%	75%
Over 11.5 shots	33%	100%	67%
Over 12.5 shots	33%	80%	57%
Over 13.5 shots	17%	80%	49%
Over 14.5 shots	17%	80%	49%
Over 15.5 shots	17%	40%	29%
4+ shots on target	83%	100%	92%
5+ shots on target	67%	40%	54%
6+ shots on target	67%	40%	54%
7+ shots on target	33%	20%	27%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Offsides / match	2.5	1.8	2.15
Over 2.5 offsides	50%	40%	45%
Over 3.5 offsides	33%	0%	17%
Fouls committed / match	10.67	14.8	12.74
Fouls suffered / match	13.83	13.4	13.62
Average possession (%)	47	48	47.5
Draws	17%	40%	29%

Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Free kicks – Lille – Le Havre

Lille matches average 24.5 free kicks, Le Havre matches 28.2.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
	Lille	Le Havre	Average
Free kicks won / match	13.83	13.4	13.62
Free kicks conceded / match	10.67	14.8	12.74
Total free kicks / match	24.5	28.2	26.35
Over 20.5 free kicks	83%	100%	92%
Over 21.5 free kicks	83%	100%	92%
Over 22.5 free kicks	83%	100%	92%
Over 23.5 free kicks	83%	80%	82%
Over 24.5 free kicks	50%	80%	65%
Over 25.5 free kicks	17%	60%	39%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Lille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; Le Havre: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.

Which players will score in Lille – Le Havre?

Top scorers (Ligue 1): T. Santos (2) for Lille, A. Samatta (2) for Le Havre.

Top scorers – Lille

T. Santos 2
A. Ueda 2
H. Haraldsson 1
E. Mbappe 1
Olivier Giroud 1
D. Bakwa 1

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Top scorers – Le Havre

A. Samatta 2
J. Maja 1
R. Fofana 1
A. Seko 0
A. Richardson 0
S. Ebonog 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Lille

R. Perraud 2
H. Haraldsson 1
Olivier Giroud 1
B. Andre 1
Maurits Kjaergaard 1
B. Ozer 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Le Havre

Fodé Doucouré 2
A. Seko 1
A. Richardson 1
A. Touba 1
J. Mwanga 1
L. Mpasi-Nzau 1

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Lille

R. Perraud 0.46
B. Andre 0.41
Olivier Giroud 0.35
H. Haraldsson 0.24
B. Ozer 0
T. Santos 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Le Havre

L. Mpasi-Nzau 0.33
J. Mwanga 0.31
A. Touba 0.25
A. Seko 0.2
A. Richardson 0.2
S. Ebonog 0

Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

Before this match, Lille took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
Over their last 5 matches, Lille has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
Lille kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
Lille scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
Both teams scored in 50% of Lille matches (6 matches, this season).

Le Havre

Before this match, Le Havre took 2 points from their last 5 matches (0.4 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
Le Havre has won none of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
Le Havre kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
Le Havre scored in every one of their 2 away matches in the sample studied.
Both teams scored in 60% of Le Havre matches (5 matches, this season).

Match analysis

Lille and Le Havre meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Ligue 1 (Matchday 6), at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille).

Lille and Le Havre have met 4 times in our data. Lille has 2 wins, Le Havre 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw.

Last meeting (03/05/2026): Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre.

These meetings produced an average of 2.3 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

This season, Lille takes an average of 1.33 points per home match (3 matches), and Le Havre 0.5 points per away match (2 matches).

According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 63% for Lille, 20% for the draw and 17% for Le Havre.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Frequently asked questions

When and where is Lille – Le Havre played?

The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille — Ligue 1.

Who is the favourite between Lille and Le Havre?

Lille goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

How many goals can we expect in Lille – Le Havre?

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 50% of Lille matches and 40% of Le Havre matches. Both teams scored in 50% and 60% of their matches.

What is the head-to-head record of Lille – Le Havre?

Out of 4 meetings in our data: 2 wins for Lille, 1 draw and 1 win for Le Havre.

Who are the top scorers for Lille and Le Havre this season?

T. Santos (2 goals) for Lille, A. Samatta (2 goals) for Le Havre (Ligue 1).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.

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Lille – Le Havre: match preview, 10/10/2026

Key facts

Last starting XI Lille – Le Havre

💬 Fan chat – Lille vs Le Havre

The AI built for football.

Discover the AI prediction for Lille – Le Havre

Want more? Go FlashSport PRO

Latest matches

Head-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches

Head-to-head statistics – Lille vs Le Havre

Latest results between Lille and Le Havre

Prediction statistics – Lille vs Le Havre

Team profiles – Lille and Le Havre

Current form — who will win Lille – Le Havre?

Goals scored – Lille – Le Havre: who will score more?

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Lille – Le Havre?

Corners Lille – Le Havre – how many corners?

Team corners — won / conceded

Will Lille score? · Will Le Havre score?

Cards Lille – Le Havre – how many cards?

Cards by half

Win / draw / defeat by half – Lille – Le Havre

Who will score first in Lille – Le Havre?

Goals by 10-minute period

Goals by 15-minute period

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Lille – Le Havre

Offsides and more

Free kicks – Lille – Le Havre

Which players will score in Lille – Le Havre?

Top scorers – Lille

Top scorers – Le Havre

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Lille

Cards received – Le Havre

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Lille

Cards / 90 – Le Havre

The teams in numbers

Lille

Le Havre

Match analysis

Frequently asked questions

Sources and method

All the analysis in the app

Fan chat – Lille vs Le Havre