- MMArena, Le Mans
- Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
Ligue 1 (Matchday 7): Le Mans – Toulouse takes place on (UK time), at MMArena (Le Mans). Recent form (last 5 matches): Le Mans WDDLD, Toulouse WDLDL.
Last starting XI Le Mans – Toulouse
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Le Mans on 19/09/2026, Toulouse on 19/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Patrick Videira (Le Mans) · Jens Askou (Toulouse)
The AI built for football.
A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.
Ligue 1 · 19:45FlashSport AI
Le MansDRAWToulouse
The AI analysis of this match will be published the day before kick-off.
Pick a question about Le Mans – Toulouse: I’ll answer straight away with the AI’s numbers.
Basic questions free · your own questions with FlashSport PRO
Discover the AI prediction for Le Mans – Toulouse
Your AI prediction is free every day! Download FlashSport to see our AI’s pick for this match.
See my AI prediction for freeWant more? Go FlashSport PRO
Unlock AI predictions for all covered matches and get in-depth analysis.
Discover PRO and its benefitsFree download • Android and iPhone • 25 free credits on signup
Latest matches
Le MansWDDLDToulouseWDLDLHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Le Mans vs Toulouse
No meetings between Le Mans and Toulouse in our data.
Prediction statistics – Le Mans vs Toulouse
Over 2.5 goals in 70% of Le Mans and Toulouse matches on average, against 61% across Ligue 1.
Competition averages: 46 Ligue 1 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Team profiles – Le Mans and Toulouse
Le Mans takes 1.2 points per match and Toulouse 1; Le Mans wins 20% of their matches, Toulouse 20%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDDLD | 1.2 |
| Home | WDD | 1.67 |
| Away | DL | 0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.6 | 3.67 | 3.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.67 | 2 |
| Both teams score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.7 | 1.39 | 2.17 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.91 | 1.77 | 2.12 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDLDL | 1 |
| Home | WLL | 1 |
| Away | DD | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.2 | 2.67 | 4 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.67 | 2 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| xG / match | 2.19 | 2.73 | 1.38 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.64 | 1.42 | 1.99 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Current form — who will win Le Mans – Toulouse?
Over their last 5 matches, Le Mans shows W-D-D-L-D and Toulouse W-D-L-D-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.2WDDLDLe Mans is 20% better on points per match.
1WDLDL- WLe Mans – Lorient2 - 1
- DLe Mans – Lens2 - 2
- DNice – Le Mans1 - 1
- LRennes – Le Mans3 - 2
- DLe Mans – Stade Brestois 292 - 2
- WToulouse – Le Havre3 - 2
- DLorient – Toulouse2 - 2
- LToulouse – Lille0 - 1
- DStade Brestois 29 – Toulouse2 - 2
- LToulouse – Lyon0 - 2
Goals scored – Le Mans – Toulouse: who will score more?
Le Mans scores 1.8 goals per match and concedes 1.8; Toulouse scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8.
| Le Mans | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 100% | 60% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 80% | 60% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 0% | 40% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Le Mans | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 60% | 80% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Le Mans – Toulouse?
Both teams score in 100% of Le Mans matches and 60% of Toulouse matches (competition average: 61%).
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Both score and win | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Both score and draw | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Under X goals
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Corners Le Mans – Toulouse – how many corners?
Le Mans and Toulouse matches average 9.6 corners; Le Mans wins 2.6 per match, Toulouse 4.6 (competition: 9.7).
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 7 corners | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 8 corners | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 9 corners | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 10 corners | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 11 corners | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 12 corners | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 13 corners | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 2.6 | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| Corners conceded / match | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 80% | 60% | 70% |
Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (46 matches). Le Mans: 5 matches with statistics; Toulouse: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Le Mans score? · Will Toulouse score?
Scored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Toulouse: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesScored in 60% of their matchesStrong chance
Le Mans: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Cards Le Mans – Toulouse – how many cards?
3.7 cards per match on average for these two teams; Le Mans receives 2.2, Toulouse 1.6.
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 20% | 80% | 50% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 60% | 20% | 40% |
Competition average: 3.3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Le Mans – Toulouse
Le Mans leads at the break in 40% of their matches, Toulouse in 0%.
1.6pts / match at half-timeLe Mans is 100% better at half-time.
0.8pts / match at half-time| Le Mans | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 40% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 0% | 40% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 40% | 80% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 80% | 20% |
| Loses the 1st half | 20% | 20% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 20% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 40% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Who will score first in Le Mans – Toulouse?
Le Mans opened the scoring in 60% of their matches with a goal, Toulouse in 40%.
Le MansToulouseGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Le Mans · total | Le Mans · scored | Le Mans · conceded | Toulouse · total | Toulouse · scored | Toulouse · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 11% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 5% | 10% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| 21–30 min | 11% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 11% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| 41–50 min | 21% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 21% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 5% | 0% | 11% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
| 71–80 min | 5% | 0% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 22% |
| 81–90 min | 11% | 10% | 11% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Le Mans · total | Toulouse · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 16% | 6% |
| 16–30 min | 11% | 6% |
| 31–45 min | 32% | 13% |
| 46–60 min | 21% | 19% |
| 61–75 min | 5% | 31% |
| 76–90 min | 16% | 25% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Le Mans – Toulouse
Le Mans shoots 10.4 times per match (5 on target), Toulouse 14.8 (4.6 on target); average possession 46% against 53%.
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 10.4 | 14.8 | 12.6 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target / match | 5 | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Shots off target / match | 3.6 | 7.2 | 5.4 |
| Shots per goal scored | 5.78 | 10.57 | 8.18 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 20% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 4+ shots on target | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| 5+ shots on target | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| 6+ shots on target | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 7+ shots on target | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Offsides and more
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 14.4 | 16.8 | 15.6 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 11.4 | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| Average possession (%) | 46 | 53 | 49.5 |
| Draws | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Free kicks – Le Mans – Toulouse
Le Mans matches average 25.8 free kicks, Toulouse matches 30.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Le Mans | Toulouse | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 11.4 | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 14.4 | 16.8 | 15.6 |
| Total free kicks / match | 25.8 | 30 | 27.9 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Le Mans: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Toulouse: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Which players will score in Le Mans – Toulouse?
Top scorers (Ligue 1): L. Mafouta (3) for Le Mans, C. Tengstedt (3) for Toulouse.
Top scorers – Le Mans
- L. Mafouta 3
- A. Bourabaa 3
- D. Gueye 1
- L. Calodat 1
- H. Diallo 1
- H. Voyer 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Top scorers – Toulouse
- C. Tengstedt 3
- T. Jorgensen 2
- C. Tape 1
- J. Russell-Rowe 1
- M. McKenzie 0
- C. Casseres 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Le Mans
- A. Lauray 3
- N. Boisse 2
- D. Sidibe 2
- A. Bourabaa 1
- H. Voyer 1
- J. Vercruysse 1
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Toulouse
- N. Schmidt 2
- C. Casseres 1
- C. Tape 1
- R. Nicolaisen 1
- S. Hidalgo 1
- S. Koumbassa 1
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Le Mans
- A. Lauray 0.94
- N. Boisse 0.57
- J. Vercruysse 0.39
- H. Voyer 0.25
- A. Bourabaa 0.23
- L. Mafouta 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Toulouse
- N. Schmidt 0.82
- S. Koumbassa 0.47
- S. Hidalgo 0.44
- R. Nicolaisen 0.33
- C. Casseres 0.2
- C. Tape 0.2
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Le Mans
- Before this match, Le Mans took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 9 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Le Mans has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat.
- Le Mans kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
- Le Mans scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 100% of Le Mans matches (5 matches, this season).
Toulouse
- Before this match, Toulouse took 5 points from their last 5 matches (1 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats.
- Toulouse kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
- Toulouse scored in every one of their 2 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 60% of Toulouse matches (5 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Le Mans and Toulouse meet on Friday, 16 October 2026 — Ligue 1 (Matchday 7), at MMArena (Le Mans).
This season, Le Mans takes an average of 1.67 points per home match (3 matches), and Toulouse 1 point per away match (2 matches).
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Le Mans – Toulouse played?
The match takes place on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at MMArena in Le Mans — Ligue 1.
How many goals can we expect in Le Mans – Toulouse?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of Le Mans matches and 60% of Toulouse matches. Both teams scored in 100% and 60% of their matches.
Who are the top scorers for Le Mans and Toulouse this season?
L. Mafouta (3 goals) for Le Mans, C. Tengstedt (3 goals) for Toulouse (Ligue 1).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
All the analysis in the app
Follow your favourite teams, find lineups, statistics and standings, plus our model’s statistical reading of matches when the data allows: it’s all in the FlashSport app.
For ages 18 and over only, under our Terms of Use.