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Italy 3-1 Türkiye: match report and statistics

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🤑 LANDED ✅🎯 Italy ou Türkiye — LANDED · Top 3 de l'IA
UEFA Nations LeagueWorldLeague A - 4

Italy

Italy logo
3 - 1Full-time · 05/10/2026
Türkiye logo

Türkiye

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  • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
  • Referee: Szymon Marciniak
  • Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Key facts

UEFA Nations League (League A - 4): Italy beat Türkiye 3-1 on . Scorers: G. Scamacca 26', A. Simsir 61', R. Calafiori 64', F. Esposito 87'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Italy (67%).

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Match summary Italy – Türkiye

UEFA Nations League: Italy beat Türkiye 3-1 (1-0 at half-time).

Scorers: Italy — G. Scamacca (26'), R. Calafiori (64'), F. Esposito (87'); Türkiye — A. Simsir (61').

Possession 45% – 55%, shots 15 – 14, expected goals (xG) 2.04 – 1.42.

Player of the match: I. Doumbia (Italy), rated 8.3.

1st half1 - 0
  1. 26'G. ScamaccaGoal · Italy1-0
  2. 42'Gianluca ScamaccaYellow card · Italy
2nd half2 - 1
  1. 47'Matteo RuggeriYellow card · Italy
  2. 55'Zeki ÇelikYellow card · Türkiye
  3. 55'M. Kayode ↑ G. Di Lorenzo ↓Substitution · Italy
  4. 56'R. Calafiori ↑ M. Ruggeri ↓Substitution · Italy
  5. 56'F. Esposito ↑ G. Scamacca ↓Substitution · Italy
  6. 61'A. Simsir (assist: E. Elmali)Goal · Türkiye1-1
  7. 64'R. Calafiori (assist: N. Barella)Goal · Italy2-1
  8. 70'S. Tonali ↑ N. Barella ↓Substitution · Italy
  9. 70'B. Elmaz ↑ I. Kahveci ↓Substitution · Türkiye
  10. 70'I. Fakili ↑ A. Simsir ↓Substitution · Türkiye
  11. 79'K. Akturkoglu ↑ I. Yuksek ↓Substitution · Türkiye
  12. 81'Abdülkerim BardakcıYellow card · Türkiye
  13. 84'D. Frattesi ↑ A. Vergara ↓Substitution · Italy
  14. 87'F. Esposito (assist: A. Romano)Goal · Italy3-1
  15. 88'D. Gul ↑ Y. Akgun ↓Substitution · Türkiye
  16. 88'O. Aydin ↑ F. Kadioglu ↓Substitution · Türkiye

Match stats – Italy vs Türkiye

ItalyTürkiye
  • 2.04Expected goals (xG)1.42
  • 15Total shots14
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 2Shots off target5
  • 7Blocked shots4
  • 12Shots inside box7
  • 3Shots outside box7
  • 3Corners9
  • 5Offsides0
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 451Passes554
  • 394Accurate passes496
  • 87%Pass accuracy90%
  • -0.29Goals prevented-0.29

Player ratings – Italy vs Türkiye

Player of the matchI. DoumbiaItaly
8.3Rating

Italy

  1. 15I. Doumbia8.3
  2. 23G. Mancini7.9
  3. 6A. Bastoni7.7
  4. 4A. Romano7.6
  5. 1G. Donnarumma7.5
  6. 21A. Vergara7.5
  7. 5R. Calafiori7.3
  8. 9F. Esposito7.3
  9. 22G. Di Lorenzo7.2
  10. 18N. Barella7.2
  11. 11G. Scamacca7.2
  12. 3M. Ruggeri6.7
  13. 16D. Frattesi6.6
  14. 8S. Tonali6.6
  15. 2M. Kayode6.3
  16. 17D. Maldini6.2

Türkiye

  1. 5S. Ozcan7.2
  2. 19Y. Akgun7.2
  3. 21A. Simsir7.0
  4. 20F. Kadioglu6.9
  5. 16I. Yuksek6.9
  6. 10I. Kahveci6.9
  7. 14A. Bardakci6.7
  8. 7K. Akturkoglu6.7
  9. 2Z. Celik6.5
  10. 1U. Cakir6.3
  11. 15O. Kabak6.3
  12. 6B. Elmaz6.3
  13. 11I. Fakili6.3
  14. 13E. Elmali6.2

Player ratings provided by the official match data.

Official lineups Italy – Türkiye

Italy3-4-2-1Türkiye

Official lineups published before kick-off.

Managers: Vincenzo Montella (Türkiye)

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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AI
ItalyDRAWTürkiye

67%19%14%

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Probabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

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Latest matches

ItalyDWL
TürkiyeLLLWL

Head-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches

1Wins
0Draws
0Wins

Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off

Head-to-head statistics – Italy vs Türkiye

In 1 meeting, Italy leads 1 win to 0, with 0 draws; these matches produced 5 goals on average.

Italy100%
1match1 win · 0 draws · 0 wins
Türkiye0%

In the last 1 meetings between Italy and Türkiye in our data, Italy won 1, Türkiye won 0, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Italy 4, Türkiye 1.

100% Over 1.51 / 1 matches
100% Over 2.51 / 1 matches
100% Over 3.51 / 1 matches
100% Both teams score1 / 1 matches
0% Clean sheetsItaly
0% Clean sheetsTürkiye

Latest results between Italy and Türkiye

  1. Türkiye1 - 4Italy

Prediction statistics – Italy vs Türkiye

Over 2.5 goals in 42% of Italy and Türkiye matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.

42% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 48%
84% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 73%
50% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 47%
2.9 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.49
4.1 cards / matchCompetition average: 4.19
9.9 corners / matchCompetition average: 8.48

Competition averages: 83 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Team profiles – Italy and Türkiye

Italy takes 1.33 points per match and Türkiye 0.5; Italy wins 33% of their matches, Türkiye 17%.

ItalyUEFA Nations League · #2 of 4
FormResultsPts / match
OverallDWL1.33
HomeL0
AwayDW2
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins33%0%50%
Total goals / match323.5
Goals scored / match1.6702.5
Goals conceded / match1.3321
Both teams score67%0%100%
Clean sheets0%0%0%
Failed to score33%100%0%
xG / match–––
xG conceded / match–––

last 3 available matches.

TürkiyeUEFA Nations League · #4 of 4
FormResultsPts / match
OverallLLLWL0.5
HomeLLWL0.75
AwayLL0
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins17%25%0%
Total goals / match2.8332.5
Goals scored / match0.6710
Goals conceded / match2.1722.5
Both teams score33%50%0%
Clean sheets0%0%0%
Failed to score67%50%100%
xG / match2.192.611.36
xG conceded / match1.211.221.18

2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Current form — who will win Italy – Türkiye?

Italy shows D-W-L over their last 3 matches and Türkiye L-L-L-W-L over their last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

1.33DWL

Italy is 166% better on points per match.

According to the FlashSport AI: Italy 67% · draw 19% · Türkiye 14%

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

0.5LLLWL
  1. DFrance – Italy1 - 1
  2. WTürkiye – Italy1 - 4
  3. LItaly – Belgium0 - 2
  1. LBelgium – Türkiye3 - 0
  2. LTürkiye – Italy1 - 4
  3. LTürkiye – France0 - 1
  4. WTürkiye – USA3 - 2
  5. LTürkiye – Paraguay0 - 1

Goals scored – Italy – Türkiye: who will score more?

Italy scores 1.67 goals per match and concedes 1.33; Türkiye scores 0.67 and concedes 2.17.

Goals scored per match
ItalyTürkiye
Scores over 0.5 goal67%33%
Scores over 1.5 goal33%17%
Scores over 2.5 goals33%17%
Scores over 3.5 goals33%0%
Fails to score33%67%
Goals scored / match1.670.67

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
ItalyTürkiye
Concedes over 0.5 goal100%100%
Concedes over 1.5 goal33%67%
Concedes over 2.5 goals0%33%
Concedes over 3.5 goals0%17%
Clean sheets0%0%
Goals conceded / match1.332.17

Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Italy – Türkiye?

Both teams score in 67% of Italy matches and 33% of Türkiye matches (competition average: 47%).

Goals in the match
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Over 0.5 goal100%100%100%
Over 1.5 goal100%67%84%
Over 2.5 goals33%50%42%
Over 3.5 goals33%33%33%
Over 4.5 goals33%33%33%
Both teams score67%33%50%
Both score and win33%17%25%
Both score and draw33%0%17%
Both score and over 2.533%33%33%
Not both and over 2.50%17%9%
Under X goals
Under X goals
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Under 0.5 goal0%0%0%
Under 1.5 goals0%33%17%
Under 2.5 goals67%50%59%
Under 3.5 goals67%67%67%
Under 4.5 goals67%67%67%

Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Corners Italy – Türkiye – how many corners?

Italy and Türkiye matches average 9.9 corners; Italy wins 3.3 per match, Türkiye 6.3 (competition: 8.5).

9.9corners / match (average of both teams)
3.3corners won / match – Italy
6.3corners won / match – Türkiye
Corners in the match
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Over 6 corners100%100%100%
Over 7 corners100%83%92%
Over 8 corners67%50%59%
Over 9 corners67%50%59%
Over 10 corners33%50%42%
Over 11 corners33%33%33%
Over 12 corners0%17%9%
Over 13 corners0%0%0%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Corners won / match3.336.334.83
Corners conceded / match6.673.55.09
Over 2.5 corners won67%83%75%
Over 3.5 corners won67%83%75%
Over 4.5 corners won0%83%42%
Over 2.5 corners conceded100%50%75%
Over 3.5 corners conceded100%33%67%
Over 4.5 corners conceded100%33%67%

Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (83 matches). Italy: 3 matches with statistics; Türkiye: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will Italy score? · Will Türkiye score?

Scored in 67% of their matches

Strong chance

Türkiye: clean sheet in 0% of their matches
Scored in 33% of their matches

Medium chance

Italy: clean sheet in 0% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Cards Italy – Türkiye – how many cards?

4.1 cards per match on average for these two teams; Italy receives 2, Türkiye 1.8; referee Szymon Marciniak shows 3.3.

4.1cards / match (average of both teams)
2cards received / match – Italy
1.8cards received / match – Türkiye
Cards in the match
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Over 2.5 cards100%67%84%
Over 3.5 cards67%33%50%
Over 4.5 cards67%33%50%
Over 5.5 cards33%33%33%
Over 6.5 cards0%17%9%

Cards by half

Cards by half
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)00.330.17
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)2.331.51.92
Total 1st half (avg.)11.171.09
Total 2nd half (avg.)4.672.333.5
More cards in the 1st half0%33%17%
More cards in the 2nd half100%67%84%

Referee: Szymon Marciniak — 3.3 cards and 25.7 fouls per match on average over 7 matches in our data.

Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – Italy – Türkiye

Italy leads at the break in 33% of their matches, Türkiye in 17%.

1.33pts / match at half-time

Italy is 99% better at half-time.

0.67pts / match at half-time
Results by half
ItalyTürkiye
Wins the 1st half33%17%
Wins the 2nd half0%0%
Draw in the 1st half33%17%
Draw in the 2nd half67%50%
Loses the 1st half33%67%
Loses the 2nd half33%50%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time67%83%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time33%33%

Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Who will score first in Italy – Türkiye?

Italy opened the scoring in 33% of their matches with a goal, Türkiye in 0%.

Italy
33%scored first in 1 / 3 matches
Türkiye
0%scored first in 0 / 6 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

MinutesItaly · totalItaly · scoredItaly · concededTürkiye · totalTürkiye · scoredTürkiye · conceded
0–10 min11%20%0%29%25%31%
11–20 min11%0%25%0%0%0%
21–30 min22%40%0%18%0%23%
31–40 min0%0%0%6%25%0%
41–50 min22%20%25%18%25%15%
51–60 min11%0%25%12%0%15%
61–70 min22%20%25%0%0%0%
71–80 min0%0%0%12%0%15%
81–90 min0%0%0%6%25%0%

Goals by 15-minute period

MinutesItaly · totalTürkiye · total
0–15 min11%29%
16–30 min33%18%
31–45 min0%6%
46–60 min33%29%
61–75 min22%6%
76–90 min0%12%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Italy – Türkiye

Italy shoots 16.3 times per match (5.3 on target), Türkiye 20.2 (5 on target); average possession 46% against 56%.

Shots
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Shots / match16.3320.1718.25
Shot conversion rate (%)1036.5
Shots on target / match5.3355.17
Shots off target / match6.678.57.59
Shots per goal scored9.830.2520.02
Over 10.5 shots100%83%92%
Over 11.5 shots100%83%92%
Over 12.5 shots100%67%84%
Over 13.5 shots100%67%84%
Over 14.5 shots33%67%50%
Over 15.5 shots33%50%42%
4+ shots on target67%50%59%
5+ shots on target67%50%59%
6+ shots on target67%33%50%
7+ shots on target33%33%33%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Offsides / match21.831.92
Over 2.5 offsides33%17%25%
Over 3.5 offsides0%0%0%
Fouls committed / match14.3311.512.92
Fouls suffered / match10.6714.6712.67
Average possession (%)465651
Draws33%0%17%

Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Free kicks – Italy – Türkiye

Italy matches average 25 free kicks, Türkiye matches 26.2.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
ItalyTürkiyeAverage
Free kicks won / match10.6714.6712.67
Free kicks conceded / match14.3311.512.92
Total free kicks / match2526.1725.59
Over 20.5 free kicks67%83%75%
Over 21.5 free kicks67%83%75%
Over 22.5 free kicks67%83%75%
Over 23.5 free kicks33%83%58%
Over 24.5 free kicks33%67%50%
Over 25.5 free kicks33%67%50%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Italy: last 3 available matches; Türkiye: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Which players will score in Italy – Türkiye?

Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): A. Bastoni (2) for Italy, B. Yılmaz (1) for Türkiye.

Top scorers – Italy

  1. A. Bastoni 2
  2. F. Esposito 1
  3. D. Frattesi 1
  4. M. Kayode 1
  5. G. Donnarumma 0
  6. S. Tonali 0

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).

Top scorers – Türkiye

  1. B. Yılmaz 1
  2. Z. Çelik 0
  3. A. Güler 0
  4. O. Aydın 0
  5. M. Demiral 0
  6. A. Bardakcı 0

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – Italy

  1. G. Donnarumma 1
  2. A. Bastoni 1
  3. M. Kean 1
  4. N. Fagioli 1
  5. G. Mancini 1
  6. Daniel Maldini 1

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Türkiye

  1. A. Güler 2
  2. M. Demiral 1
  3. A. Bardakcı 1
  4. B. Yılmaz 1
  5. S. Özcan 1
  6. U. Çakır 1

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – Italy

  1. A. Bastoni 0.5
  2. M. Kean 0.5
  3. G. Donnarumma 0.33
  4. S. Tonali 0
  5. G. Scalvini 0
  6. F. Esposito 0

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Türkiye

  1. A. Güler 0.67
  2. U. Çakır 0.5
  3. S. Özcan 0.49
  4. B. Yılmaz 0.42
  5. M. Demiral 0.4
  6. A. Bardakcı 0.4

UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

Italy

  • Before this match, Italy took 4 points from their last 3 matches (1.33 per match), scored 5 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
  • Over their last 3 matches, Italy has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat.
  • Italy kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
  • Both teams scored in 67% of Italy matches (3 matches, recent form).

Türkiye

  • Before this match, Türkiye took 3 points from their last 5 matches (0.6 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
  • Over their last 5 matches, Türkiye has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats.
  • Türkiye kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 11 goals over that period.
  • Away from home, Türkiye wins 0% of their matches (2 played) and scores 0 goals per match.
  • Both teams scored in 33% of Türkiye matches (6 matches, this season).

Match analysis

Italy and Türkiye meet on Monday, 5 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League A - 4), at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

Italy and Türkiye have met 1 time in our data. Italy has 1 win, Türkiye 0 wins, and 0 matches ended in a draw.

Last meeting (28/09/2026): Türkiye 1 - 4 Italy.

These meetings produced an average of 5 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Over their recent matches, Italy takes an average of 0 points per home match (1 match), and Türkiye 0 points per away match (2 matches).

According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 67% for Italy, 19% for the draw and 14% for Türkiye.

Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.

Frequently asked questions

Where and when was Italy – Türkiye played?

The match was played on Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna — UEFA Nations League.

Who won Italy – Türkiye?

Italy beat Türkiye 3-1. Scorers: G. Scamacca 26', A. Simsir 61', R. Calafiori 64', F. Esposito 87'.

What is the head-to-head record of Italy – Türkiye?

Out of 1 meeting in our data: 1 win for Italy, 0 draws and 0 wins for Türkiye.

Who are the top scorers for Italy and Türkiye this season?

A. Bastoni (2 goals) for Italy, B. Yılmaz (1 goal) for Türkiye (UEFA Nations League).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.

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