Iceland
Bulgaria
- Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik
- Referee: Balazs Berke
- Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League C - 3): Iceland beat Bulgaria 3-0 on . Scorers: Orri Steinn Óskarsson 37', Orri Steinn Óskarsson 60', Mikael Ellertsson 90'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Iceland (67%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Iceland – Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League: Iceland beat Bulgaria 3-0 (1-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Iceland — Orri Steinn Óskarsson (37'), Orri Steinn Óskarsson (60'), Mikael Ellertsson (90').
Possession 51% – 49%, shots 10 – 10.
- 4'Hörður MagnússonYellow card · Iceland
- 10'Lukas PetkovYellow card · Bulgaria
- 27'Dimitar VelkovskiYellow card · Bulgaria
- 32'Mikael EllertssonYellow card · Iceland
- 37'Orri Steinn Óskarsson (assist: H. Haraldsson)Goal · Iceland1-0
- 45'A. Guðjohnsen ↑ Arnór Sigurðsson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 45'D. Grétarsson ↑ Aron Gunnarsson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 55'E. Tsenov ↑ Ilia Gruev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 55'M. Petkov ↑ Lukas Petkov ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 59'Atanas IlievYellow card · Bulgaria
- 60'Orri Steinn Óskarsson (assist: M. Anderson)Goal · Iceland2-0
- 62'V. Pálsson ↑ Andri Fannar Baldursson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 62'G. Sigurðsson ↑ Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 67'P. Panayotov ↑ Asen Chandarov ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 67'Z. Dimitrov ↑ Georgi Rusev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 80'Marin Plamenov·PetkovYellow card · Bulgaria
- 82'L. Tómasson ↑ Hákon Arnar Haraldsson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 83'V. Nikolov ↑ Atanas Iliev ↓Substitution · Bulgaria
- 84'Orri Steinn ÓskarssonMissed penalty · Iceland
- 90'Mikael Ellertsson (assist: O. Óskarsson)Goal · Iceland3-0
Match stats – Iceland vs Bulgaria
- 10Total shots10
- 6Shots on target3
- 2Shots off target6
- 2Blocked shots1
- 7Shots inside box7
- 3Shots outside box3
- 9Corners1
- 1Offsides1
- 11Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves3
- 422Passes420
- 338Accurate passes338
Official lineups Iceland – Bulgaria
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: A. Gunnlaugsson (Iceland) · A. Ribarski (Bulgaria)
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UEFA Nations League · 17:00FlashSport AIIcelandDRAWBulgaria67%21%12%
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Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
IcelandWDBulgariaDLHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Iceland vs Bulgaria
No meetings between Iceland and Bulgaria in our data.
Prediction statistics – Iceland vs Bulgaria
Over 2.5 goals in 50% of Iceland and Bulgaria matches on average, against 47% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 68 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Team profiles – Iceland and Bulgaria
Iceland takes 2 points per match and Bulgaria 0.5; Iceland wins 50% of their matches, Bulgaria 0%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WD | 2 |
| Home | D | 1 |
| Away | W | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 2.5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 2 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DL | 0.5 |
| Home | DL | 0.5 |
| Away | – |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0% | 0% | – |
| Total goals / match | 1.5 | 1.5 | – |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 | – |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 1 | – |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% | – |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | – |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 2 available matches.
Current form — who will win Iceland – Bulgaria?
Over their last 2 matches, Iceland shows W-D and Bulgaria D-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2WDIceland is 300% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Iceland 67% · draw 21% · Bulgaria 12%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
0.5DL- WLuxembourg – Iceland0 - 3
- DIceland – Estonia1 - 1
- DBulgaria – Estonia0 - 0
- LBulgaria – Luxembourg1 - 2
Goals scored – Iceland – Bulgaria: who will score more?
Iceland scores 2 goals per match and concedes 0.5; Bulgaria scores 0.5 and concedes 1.
| Iceland | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 100% | 50% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 50% | 0% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 0% | 50% |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 0.5 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Iceland | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 50% | 50% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 0% | 50% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Iceland – Bulgaria?
Both teams score in 50% of Iceland matches and 50% of Bulgaria matches (competition average: 49%).
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Both score and win | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and draw | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Under X goals
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Corners Iceland – Bulgaria – how many corners?
Iceland and Bulgaria matches average 8.8 corners; Iceland wins 4.5 per match, Bulgaria 5.5 (competition: 8.5).
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 7 corners | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 8 corners | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 9 corners | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 10 corners | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 11 corners | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
| Corners conceded / match | 2.5 | 5 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (68 matches). Iceland: 2 matches with statistics; Bulgaria: 2. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Iceland score? · Will Bulgaria score?
Scored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Bulgaria: clean sheet in 50% of their matchesScored in 50% of their matchesMedium chance
Iceland: clean sheet in 50% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Cards Iceland – Bulgaria – how many cards?
4.5 cards per match on average for these two teams; Iceland receives 2.5, Bulgaria 2.5; referee Balazs Berke, Hungary shows 3.5.
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 2 | 1.25 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 2 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Referee: Balazs Berke, Hungary — 3.5 cards and 22 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Iceland – Bulgaria
Iceland leads at the break in 100% of their matches, Bulgaria in 0%.
3pts / match at half-timeIceland is 200% better at half-time.
1pts / match at half-time| Iceland | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 100% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 0% | 100% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 0% | 50% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 50% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Who will score first in Iceland – Bulgaria?
Iceland opened the scoring in 100% of their matches with a goal, Bulgaria in 100%.
IcelandBulgariaGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Iceland · total | Iceland · scored | Iceland · conceded | Bulgaria · total | Bulgaria · scored | Bulgaria · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 20% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 20% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| 41–50 min | 20% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 20% | 0% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| 71–80 min | 20% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Iceland · total | Bulgaria · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 20% | 0% |
| 16–30 min | 0% | 33% |
| 31–45 min | 40% | 33% |
| 46–60 min | 0% | 0% |
| 61–75 min | 40% | 33% |
| 76–90 min | 0% | 0% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Iceland – Bulgaria
Iceland shoots 16 times per match (6 on target), Bulgaria 13.5 (4.5 on target); average possession 52% against 54%.
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 16 | 13.5 | 14.75 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 13 | 4 | 8.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 6 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
| Shots off target / match | 6 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
| Shots per goal scored | 8 | 27 | 17.5 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 4+ shots on target | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 5+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 6+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 7+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Offsides and more
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13 | 9.5 | 11.25 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 12 | 21.5 | 16.75 |
| Average possession (%) | 52 | 54 | 53 |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Free kicks – Iceland – Bulgaria
Iceland matches average 25 free kicks, Bulgaria matches 31.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Iceland | Bulgaria | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 12 | 21.5 | 16.75 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13 | 9.5 | 11.25 |
| Total free kicks / match | 25 | 31 | 28 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Iceland: last 2 available matches; Bulgaria: last 2 available matches.
Which players will score in Iceland – Bulgaria?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): A. Guðjohnsen (2) for Iceland, A. Chandarov (1) for Bulgaria.
Top scorers – Iceland
- A. Guðjohnsen 2
- V. Pálsson 1
- O. Óskarsson 1
- H. Valdimarsson 0
- D. Grétarsson 0
- M. Ellertsson 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (2 matches).
Top scorers – Bulgaria
- A. Chandarov 1
- D. Naumov 0
- K. Dimitrov 0
- D. Velkovski 0
- I. Gruev 0
- L. Petkov 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (2 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Iceland
- H. Valdimarsson 1
- M. Ellertsson 1
- Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1
- S. Þórðarson 1
- Isak Thorvaldsson 1
- D. Grétarsson 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Bulgaria
- K. Dimitrov 1
- D. Velkovski 1
- L. Petkov 1
- E. Tsenov 1
- B. Tsonev 1
- D. Naumov 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Iceland
- H. Valdimarsson 0.5
- D. Grétarsson 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Bulgaria
- K. Dimitrov 0.5
- D. Velkovski 0.5
- L. Petkov 0.5
- D. Naumov 0
- I. Gruev 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Iceland
Not enough matches in our data.
Bulgaria
Not enough matches in our data.
Match analysis
Iceland and Bulgaria meet on Saturday, 3 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League C - 3), at Ice Rink Laugardalur (Reykjavik).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 67% for Iceland, 21% for the draw and 12% for Bulgaria.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Iceland – Bulgaria played?
The match was played on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), at Ice Rink Laugardalur in Reykjavik — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Iceland – Bulgaria?
Iceland beat Bulgaria 3-0. Scorers: Orri Steinn Óskarsson 37', Orri Steinn Óskarsson 60', Mikael Ellertsson 90'.
Who are the top scorers for Iceland and Bulgaria this season?
A. Guðjohnsen (2 goals) for Iceland, A. Chandarov (1 goal) for Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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