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HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax: match preview, 15/10/2026

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UEFA Conference LeagueWorldLeague phase · matchday 1

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split logo
Thursday · 17:45
Ajax logo

Ajax

  • Stadion Poljud, Split
  • Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Key facts

UEFA Conference League (League phase · matchday 1): HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax takes place on (UK time), at Stadion Poljud (Split). Recent form (last 5 matches): HNK Hajduk Split DDWWL, Ajax WWDWW.

Last starting XI HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax

HNK Hajduk Split4-2-3-14-3-3Ajax

Last starting XI fielded by each team (HNK Hajduk Split on 27/08/2026, Ajax on 27/08/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.

Managers: Gonzalo Garcia (HNK Hajduk Split) · Michel (Ajax)

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UEFA Europa Conference League · 17:45FlashSport AI
HNK Hajduk SplitDRAWAjax

The AI analysis of this match will be published the day before kick-off.

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Latest matches

HNK Hajduk SplitDDWWL
AjaxWWDWW

Head-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches

0Wins
0Draws
0Wins

Head-to-head statistics – HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax

No meetings between HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax in our data.

Prediction statistics – HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax

Over 2.5 goals in 88% of HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax matches on average, against 55% across UEFA Europa Conference League.

88% Over 2.5 goalsCompetition average: 55%
100% Over 1.5 goalsCompetition average: 76%
75% Both teams scoreCompetition average: 52%
4.5 goals / matchCompetition average: 2.95
3.7 cards / matchCompetition average: 2.4
11.3 corners / matchCompetition average: 5.74

Competition averages: 206 UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Team profiles – HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax

HNK Hajduk Split takes 1.75 points per match and Ajax 2.67; HNK Hajduk Split wins 50% of their matches, Ajax 83%.

HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League
FormResultsPts / match
OverallDDWWL1.75
HomeDWWW2.5
AwayDWLL1
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins50%75%25%
Total goals / match3.7534.5
Goals scored / match2.252.52
Goals conceded / match1.50.52.5
Both teams score50%25%75%
Clean sheets38%75%0%
Failed to score13%0%25%
xG / match–––
xG conceded / match–––

2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.

AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League
FormResultsPts / match
OverallWWDWW2.67
HomeWWW3
AwayWDW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Wins83%100%67%
Total goals / match5.335.675
Goals scored / match3.6743.33
Goals conceded / match1.671.671.67
Both teams score100%100%100%
Clean sheets0%0%0%
Failed to score0%0%0%
xG / match–––
xG conceded / match–––

2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Current form — who will win HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax?

Over their last 5 matches, HNK Hajduk Split shows D-D-W-W-L and Ajax W-W-D-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).

1.75DDWWL

Ajax is 34% worse on points per match.

2.67WWDWW
  1. DRaków Częstochowa – HNK Hajduk Split2 - 2
  2. DHNK Hajduk Split – Raków Częstochowa2 - 2
  3. WHNK Hajduk Split – FK Zalgiris Vilnius4 - 0
  4. WFK Zalgiris Vilnius – HNK Hajduk Split2 - 5
  5. LPafos – HNK Hajduk Split4 - 0
  1. WAjax – FC Sion5 - 3
  2. WFC Sion – Ajax2 - 4
  3. DShelbourne – Ajax2 - 2
  4. WAjax – Shelbourne3 - 1
  5. WAjax – Vojvodina4 - 1

Goals scored – HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax: who will score more?

HNK Hajduk Split scores 2.25 goals per match and concedes 1.5; Ajax scores 3.67 and concedes 1.67.

Goals scored per match
HNK Hajduk SplitAjax
Scores over 0.5 goal88%100%
Scores over 1.5 goal75%100%
Scores over 2.5 goals25%83%
Scores over 3.5 goals25%67%
Fails to score13%0%
Goals scored / match2.253.67

Goals conceded – who will concede?

Goals conceded per match
HNK Hajduk SplitAjax
Concedes over 0.5 goal63%100%
Concedes over 1.5 goal63%50%
Concedes over 2.5 goals13%17%
Concedes over 3.5 goals13%0%
Clean sheets38%0%
Goals conceded / match1.51.67

Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax?

Both teams score in 50% of HNK Hajduk Split matches and 100% of Ajax matches (competition average: 52%).

Goals in the match
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Over 0.5 goal100%100%100%
Over 1.5 goal100%100%100%
Over 2.5 goals75%100%88%
Over 3.5 goals63%100%82%
Over 4.5 goals13%67%40%
Both teams score50%100%75%
Both score and win13%83%48%
Both score and draw25%17%21%
Both score and over 2.550%100%75%
Not both and over 2.525%0%13%
Under X goals
Under X goals
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Under 0.5 goal0%0%0%
Under 1.5 goals0%0%0%
Under 2.5 goals25%0%13%
Under 3.5 goals38%0%19%
Under 4.5 goals88%33%61%

Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Corners HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax – how many corners?

HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax matches average 11.3 corners; HNK Hajduk Split wins 6.2 per match, Ajax 9.2 (competition: 5.7).

11.3corners / match (average of both teams)
6.2corners won / match – HNK Hajduk Split
9.2corners won / match – Ajax
Corners in the match
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Over 6 corners100%100%100%
Over 7 corners80%83%82%
Over 8 corners80%83%82%
Over 9 corners60%83%72%
Over 10 corners60%67%64%
Over 11 corners60%50%55%
Over 12 corners20%33%27%
Over 13 corners20%33%27%

Team corners — won / conceded

Team corners
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Corners won / match6.29.177.69
Corners conceded / match4.82.333.57
Over 2.5 corners won100%100%100%
Over 3.5 corners won100%100%100%
Over 4.5 corners won80%100%90%
Over 2.5 corners conceded80%33%57%
Over 3.5 corners conceded80%33%57%
Over 4.5 corners conceded80%17%49%

Competition average: 5.7 corners per match (206 matches). HNK Hajduk Split: 5 matches with statistics; Ajax: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.

Will HNK Hajduk Split score? · Will Ajax score?

Scored in 87% of their matches

Strong chance

Ajax: clean sheet in 0% of their matches
Scored in 100% of their matches

Strong chance

HNK Hajduk Split: clean sheet in 38% of their matches

Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Cards HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax – how many cards?

3.7 cards per match on average for these two teams; HNK Hajduk Split receives 2.1, Ajax 1.2.

3.7cards / match (average of both teams)
2.1cards received / match – HNK Hajduk Split
1.2cards received / match – Ajax
Cards in the match
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Over 2.5 cards88%50%69%
Over 3.5 cards75%33%54%
Over 4.5 cards38%33%36%
Over 5.5 cards13%17%15%
Over 6.5 cards13%0%7%

Cards by half

Cards by half
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Cards received in the 1st half (avg.)0.570.50.53
Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.)1.860.671.27
Total 1st half (avg.)1.2911.15
Total 2nd half (avg.)3.292.332.81
More cards in the 1st half0%0%0%
More cards in the 2nd half71%83%77%

Competition average: 2.4 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Win / draw / defeat by half – HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax

HNK Hajduk Split leads at the break in 50% of their matches, Ajax in 67%.

1.88pts / match at half-time

Ajax is 15% better at half-time.

2.17pts / match at half-time
Results by half
HNK Hajduk SplitAjax
Wins the 1st half50%67%
Wins the 2nd half50%67%
Draw in the 1st half38%17%
Draw in the 2nd half13%17%
Loses the 1st half13%17%
Loses the 2nd half38%17%
Over 0.5 goal at half-time75%100%
Over 1.5 goal at half-time25%83%

Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Who will score first in HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax?

HNK Hajduk Split opened the scoring in 88% of their matches with a goal, Ajax in 67%.

HNK Hajduk Split
88%scored first in 7 / 8 matches
Ajax
67%scored first in 4 / 6 matches

Goals by 10-minute period

MinutesHNK Hajduk Split · totalHNK Hajduk Split · scoredHNK Hajduk Split · concededAjax · totalAjax · scoredAjax · conceded
0–10 min6%11%0%9%14%0%
11–20 min0%0%0%6%5%9%
21–30 min10%11%8%9%5%18%
31–40 min6%0%17%18%14%27%
41–50 min13%21%0%9%14%0%
51–60 min16%16%17%21%32%0%
61–70 min10%16%0%0%0%0%
71–80 min10%16%0%9%9%9%
81–90 min29%11%58%18%9%36%

Goals by 15-minute period

MinutesHNK Hajduk Split · totalAjax · total
0–15 min6%9%
16–30 min10%15%
31–45 min13%24%
46–60 min23%24%
61–75 min16%9%
76–90 min32%18%

Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax

HNK Hajduk Split shoots 10 times per match (4.6 on target), Ajax 24.2 (10.3 on target); average possession 50% against 66%.

Shots
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Shots / match1024.1717.09
Shot conversion rate (%)201517.5
Shots on target / match4.610.337.47
Shots off target / match7.88.838.32
Shots per goal scored56.595.8
Over 10.5 shots50%100%75%
Over 11.5 shots50%100%75%
Over 12.5 shots0%100%50%
Over 13.5 shots0%100%50%
Over 14.5 shots0%100%50%
Over 15.5 shots0%100%50%
4+ shots on target60%100%80%
5+ shots on target40%100%70%
6+ shots on target40%100%70%
7+ shots on target40%100%70%

Offsides and more

Offsides and more
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Offsides / match1.751.331.54
Over 2.5 offsides25%17%21%
Over 3.5 offsides25%0%13%
Fouls committed / match18.5913.75
Fouls suffered / match11.7510.6711.21
Average possession (%)506658
Draws25%17%21%

Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Free kicks – HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax

HNK Hajduk Split matches average 30.3 free kicks, Ajax matches 19.7.

Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).

Free kicks
HNK Hajduk SplitAjaxAverage
Free kicks won / match11.7510.6711.21
Free kicks conceded / match18.5913.75
Total free kicks / match30.2519.6724.96
Over 20.5 free kicks100%50%75%
Over 21.5 free kicks100%50%75%
Over 22.5 free kicks75%33%54%
Over 23.5 free kicks75%33%54%
Over 24.5 free kicks75%33%54%
Over 25.5 free kicks75%17%46%

Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — HNK Hajduk Split: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches; Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.

Which players will score in HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax?

Top scorers (UEFA Europa Conference League): M. Sego (5) for HNK Hajduk Split, D. Klaassen (4) for Ajax.

Top scorers – HNK Hajduk Split

  1. M. Sego 5
  2. D. de Almeida 2
  3. R. Pukstas 2
  4. R. Raci 1
  5. A. Pajaziti 1
  6. D. Melnjak 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (4 matches).

Top scorers – Ajax

  1. D. Klaassen 4
  2. O. Gloukh 4
  3. T. Arokodare 3
  4. J. Brandt 2
  5. S. Berghuis 1
  6. O. Wijndal 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (6 matches).

Who will get a card?

Cards received – HNK Hajduk Split

  1. R. Pukstas 2
  2. D. de Almeida 1
  3. S. Hrgovic 1
  4. M. Acapandie 1
  5. A. Pajaziti 1
  6. N. Sigur 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards received – Ajax

  1. Jorthy Mokio 2
  2. A. Bouwman 1
  3. Y. Regeer 1
  4. L. Rosa 1
  5. A. Gaaei 1
  6. Marcos Leonardo 1

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.

Cards per 90 minutes

Cards / 90 – HNK Hajduk Split

  1. R. Pukstas 0.7
  2. N. Sigur 0.42
  3. M. Acapandie 0.36
  4. A. Pajaziti 0.36
  5. S. Hrgovic 0.35
  6. D. de Almeida 0.32

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

Cards / 90 – Ajax

  1. Jorthy Mokio 0.63
  2. Marcos Leonardo 0.4
  3. A. Gaaei 0.35
  4. L. Rosa 0.32
  5. Y. Regeer 0.21
  6. A. Bouwman 0.17

UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.

The teams in numbers

HNK Hajduk Split

  • Before this match, HNK Hajduk Split took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 13 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
  • Over their last 5 matches, HNK Hajduk Split has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
  • HNK Hajduk Split kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 10 goals over that period.
  • HNK Hajduk Split scored in every one of their 4 home matches in the sample studied.
  • Both teams scored in 50% of HNK Hajduk Split matches (8 matches, this season).

Ajax

  • Before this match, Ajax took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 18 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
  • Ajax is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • Ajax kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
  • Ajax scored in every one of their 3 away matches in the sample studied.
  • Both teams scored in 100% of Ajax matches (6 matches, this season).

Match analysis

HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax meet on Thursday, 15 October 2026 — UEFA Europa Conference League (League phase · matchday 1), at Stadion Poljud (Split).

This season, HNK Hajduk Split takes an average of 2.5 points per home match (4 matches), and Ajax 2.33 points per away match (3 matches).

Frequently asked questions

When and where is HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax played?

The match takes place on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), at Stadion Poljud in Split — UEFA Europa Conference League.

How many goals can we expect in HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax?

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 75% of HNK Hajduk Split matches and 100% of Ajax matches. Both teams scored in 50% and 100% of their matches.

Who are the top scorers for HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax this season?

M. Sego (5 goals) for HNK Hajduk Split, D. Klaassen (4 goals) for Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League).

Sources and method

All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.

Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:19.

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