- Stade de France, Paris
- Referee: Nick Walsh
- Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League A - 4): France beat Belgium 4-1 on . Scorers: D. Lukebakio 35', D. Doue 77', R. Cherki 81', M. Olise 88', M. Olise 90'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for France (63%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary France – Belgium
UEFA Nations League: France beat Belgium 4-1 (0-1 at half-time).
Scorers: France — D. Doue (77'), R. Cherki (81'), M. Olise (88'), M. Olise (90'); Belgium — D. Lukebakio (35').
Possession 66% – 34%, shots 23 – 5, expected goals (xG) 2 – 0.59.
Player of the match: M. Olise (France), rated 10.
- 35'D. Lukebakio (assist: R. Lavia)Goal · Belgium0-1
- 57'Roméo LaviaYellow card · Belgium
- 60'M. Olise ↑ O. Dembele ↓Substitution · France
- 60'R. Cherki ↑ M. Akliouche ↓Substitution · France
- 61'L. Da Cunha ↑ M. Kone ↓Substitution · France
- 69'Maxence LacroixYellow card · France
- 70'C. De Ketelaere ↑ R. Lukaku ↓Substitution · Belgium
- 70'M. Godts ↑ D. Lukebakio ↓Substitution · Belgium
- 72'D. Doue ↑ B. Barcola ↓Substitution · France
- 75'Joaquin SeysYellow card · Belgium
- 77'D. Doue (assist: L. Da Cunha)Goal · France1-1
- 81'R. Cherki (assist: M. Olise)Goal · France2-1
- 87'M. Keita ↑ R. Lavia ↓Substitution · Belgium
- 87'L. Trossard ↑ H. Vanaken ↓Substitution · Belgium
- 87'L. Openda ↑ D. Moreira ↓Substitution · Belgium
- 88'A. Rabiot ↑ E. Camavinga ↓Substitution · France
- 88'M. Olise (assist: D. Doue)Goal · France3-1
- 90'M. Olise (assist: D. Doue)Goal · France4-1
Match stats – France vs Belgium
- 2Expected goals (xG)0.59
- 23Total shots5
- 8Shots on target2
- 6Shots off target3
- 9Blocked shots0
- 14Shots inside box3
- 9Shots outside box2
- 9Corners2
- 0Offsides1
- 4Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards2
- 1Goalkeeper saves5
- 692Passes363
- 625Accurate passes287
- 90%Pass accuracy79%
- -2.22Goals prevented-2.22
Player ratings – France vs Belgium
France
- 11M. Olise10.0
- 20D. Doue8.9
- 9R. Cherki8.2
- 15L. Yoro7.9
- 7O. Dembele7.9
- 8M. Kone7.2
- 6E. Camavinga7.0
- 21L. Da Cunha7.0
- 5J. Kounde6.9
- 13A. Diouf6.9
- 17M. Lacroix6.7
- 18M. Akliouche6.7
- 12B. Barcola6.6
- 19E. Lepaul6.5
- 1G. Restes6.3
Belgium
- 14D. Lukebakio8.3
- 4B. Mechele7.3
- 6R. Lavia7.2
- 9R. Lukaku6.9
- 7M. Godts6.9
- 19D. Moreira6.7
- 17C. De Ketelaere6.7
- 20H. Vanaken6.6
- 23N. Raskin6.5
- 21T. Castagne6.2
- 15N. Ngoy5.9
- 18J. Seys5.9
- 12M. Vandevoordt4.7
Player ratings provided by the official match data.
Official lineups France – Belgium
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Rudi Garcia (Belgium)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AIFranceDRAWBelgium63%20%17%
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Latest matches
FranceDWWWWBelgiumWLWLWHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – France vs Belgium
In 1 meeting, France leads 1 win to 0, with 0 draws; these matches produced 1 goals on average.
France100%Belgium0%In the last 1 meetings between France and Belgium in our data, France won 1, Belgium won 0, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: France 1, Belgium 0.
Latest results between France and Belgium
- Belgium0 - 1France
Prediction statistics – France vs Belgium
Over 2.5 goals in 50% of France and Belgium matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 83 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Team profiles – France and Belgium
France takes 2.78 points per match and Belgium 1.67; France wins 89% of their matches, Belgium 44%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWWWW | 2.78 |
| Home | DWWWW | 2.6 |
| Away | WWWW | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 2.44 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.11 | 2.4 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 0.4 | 0.25 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | 2.38 | 2.83 | 1.48 |
| xG conceded / match | 0.63 | 0.49 | 0.92 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 1.67 |
| Home | WLDDD | 1.2 |
| Away | WLWW | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Total goals / match | 2.89 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.89 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.83 | 1.65 | 2.01 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.37 | 1.75 | 0.98 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Current form — who will win France – Belgium?
Over their last 5 matches, France shows D-W-W-W-W and Belgium W-L-W-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2.78DWWWWFrance is 66% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: France 63% · draw 20% · Belgium 17%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.67WLWLW- DFrance – Italy1 - 1
- WBelgium – France0 - 1
- WTürkiye – France0 - 1
- WFrance – Morocco2 - 0
- WParaguay – France0 - 1
- WBelgium – Türkiye3 - 0
- LBelgium – France0 - 1
- WItaly – Belgium0 - 2
- LSpain – Belgium2 - 1
- WUSA – Belgium1 - 4
Goals scored – France – Belgium: who will score more?
France scores 2.11 goals per match and concedes 0.33; Belgium scores 2 and concedes 0.89.
| France | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 100% | 78% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 56% | 56% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 44% | 33% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 11% | 22% |
| Fails to score | 0% | 22% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.11 | 2 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| France | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 33% | 67% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 0% | 22% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 33% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 0.89 |
Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in France – Belgium?
Both teams score in 33% of France matches and 56% of Belgium matches (competition average: 47%).
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 67% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 56% | 45% |
| Both score and win | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Both score and draw | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 17% |
Under X goals
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 11% | 6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 22% | 28% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 67% | 73% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 78% | 84% |
Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Corners France – Belgium – how many corners?
France and Belgium matches average 8.9 corners; France wins 6.2 per match, Belgium 4 (competition: 8.5).
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 89% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 7 corners | 89% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 8 corners | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 9 corners | 56% | 22% | 39% |
| Over 10 corners | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 11 corners | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 12 corners | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Over 13 corners | 11% | 0% | 6% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6.22 | 4 | 5.11 |
| Corners conceded / match | 3.22 | 4.33 | 3.78 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 89% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 78% | 33% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 56% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 56% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 22% | 56% | 39% |
Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (83 matches). France: 9 matches with statistics; Belgium: 9. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will France score? · Will Belgium score?
Scored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
Belgium: clean sheet in 33% of their matchesScored in 78% of their matchesMedium chance
France: clean sheet in 67% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Cards France – Belgium – how many cards?
3.3 cards per match on average for these two teams; France receives 1.1, Belgium 2; referee Nick Walsh shows 2.3.
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 57% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 29% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 29% | 22% | 26% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 14% | 22% | 18% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 11% | 6% |
Cards by half
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.14 | 0.78 | 0.46 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.71 | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.43 | 2.56 | 2.5 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 14% | 22% | 18% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 71% | 67% | 69% |
Referee: Nick Walsh — 2.3 cards and 24 fouls per match on average over 3 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – France – Belgium
France leads at the break in 33% of their matches, Belgium in 44%.
1.67pts / match at half-timeFrance is 0% better at half-time.
1.67pts / match at half-time| France | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 33% | 44% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 89% | 67% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 67% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 11% | 11% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 22% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 0% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 33% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 11% | 22% |
Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Who will score first in France – Belgium?
France opened the scoring in 100% of their matches with a goal, Belgium in 50%.
FranceBelgiumGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | France · total | France · scored | France · conceded | Belgium · total | Belgium · scored | Belgium · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 5% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 9% | 11% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 13% |
| 21–30 min | 5% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 10% | 25% |
| 31–40 min | 5% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 13% |
| 41–50 min | 5% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 23% | 26% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| 61–70 min | 23% | 21% | 33% | 11% | 15% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 23% | 21% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 38% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | France · total | Belgium · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 9% | 7% |
| 16–30 min | 9% | 21% |
| 31–45 min | 9% | 11% |
| 46–60 min | 23% | 14% |
| 61–75 min | 27% | 11% |
| 76–90 min | 23% | 36% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – France – Belgium
France shoots 17.6 times per match (7.3 on target), Belgium 17.8 (6 on target); average possession 61% against 49%.
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 17.56 | 17.78 | 17.67 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 12 | 11 | 11.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 7.33 | 6 | 6.67 |
| Shots off target / match | 6.33 | 6.89 | 6.61 |
| Shots per goal scored | 8.32 | 8.89 | 8.61 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 100% | 89% | 95% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 67% | 56% | 62% |
| 4+ shots on target | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| 5+ shots on target | 89% | 67% | 78% |
| 6+ shots on target | 67% | 56% | 62% |
| 7+ shots on target | 67% | 56% | 62% |
Offsides and more
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.57 | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 10.22 | 12.56 | 11.39 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10.44 | 11.44 | 10.94 |
| Average possession (%) | 61 | 49 | 55 |
| Draws | 11% | 33% | 22% |
Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Free kicks – France – Belgium
France matches average 20.7 free kicks, Belgium matches 24.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| France | Belgium | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10.44 | 11.44 | 10.94 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 10.22 | 12.56 | 11.39 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.67 | 24 | 22.34 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 56% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 44% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 44% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 33% | 44% | 39% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 11% | 33% | 22% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — France: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches; Belgium: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Which players will score in France – Belgium?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): M. Olise (2) for France, K. De Bruyne (2) for Belgium.
Top scorers – France
- M. Olise 2
- Kylian Mbappé 1
- M. Maignan 0
- O. Dembélé 0
- D. Doué 0
- M. Lacroix 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Belgium
- K. De Bruyne 2
- M. Godts 1
- D. Lukebakio 1
- Romelu Lukaku 1
- S. Lammens 0
- T. Castagne 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – France
- D. Upamecano 3
- M. Koné 1
- E. Lepaul 1
- M. Maignan 0
- O. Dembélé 0
- D. Doué 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Belgium
- Y. Tielemans 2
- K. De Bruyne 2
- Diego Moreira 2
- N. Ngoy 1
- R. Lavia 1
- D. Lukebakio 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – France
- D. Upamecano 1.5
- M. Maignan 0
- O. Dembélé 0
- D. Doué 0
- M. Lacroix 0
- M. Olise 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Belgium
- K. De Bruyne 0.89
- Y. Tielemans 0.67
- N. Ngoy 0.33
- S. Lammens 0
- T. Castagne 0
- B. Mechele 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
France
- Before this match, France took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- France is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- France kept a clean sheet 4 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 1 goal over that period.
- France scored in every one of their 5 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 33% of France matches (9 matches, this season).
Belgium
- Before this match, Belgium took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 10 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Belgium has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Belgium kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- Belgium scored in every one of their 4 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 56% of Belgium matches (9 matches, this season).
Match analysis
France and Belgium meet on Monday, 5 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League A - 4), at Stade de France (Paris).
France and Belgium have met 1 time in our data. France has 1 win, Belgium 0 wins, and 0 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (28/09/2026): Belgium 0 - 1 France.
These meetings produced an average of 1 goals per match, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
This season, France takes an average of 2.6 points per home match (5 matches), and Belgium 2.25 points per away match (4 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 63% for France, 20% for the draw and 17% for Belgium.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was France – Belgium played?
The match was played on Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade de France in Paris — UEFA Nations League.
Who won France – Belgium?
France beat Belgium 4-1. Scorers: D. Lukebakio 35', D. Doue 77', R. Cherki 81', M. Olise 88', M. Olise 90'.
What is the head-to-head record of France – Belgium?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 1 win for France, 0 draws and 0 wins for Belgium.
Who are the top scorers for France and Belgium this season?
M. Olise (2 goals) for France, K. De Bruyne (2 goals) for Belgium (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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