Finland


Albania
- Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
- Referee: Robert Hennessy
- Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League C - 3): Finland beat Albania 2-1 on . Scorers: Rey Manaj 4', Leo Walta 26', Leo Walta 71'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Finland (39%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Finland – Albania
UEFA Nations League: Finland beat Albania 2-1 (1-1 at half-time).
Scorers: Finland — Leo Walta (26'), Leo Walta (71'); Albania — Rey Manaj (4').
Sending-off: Etrit Berisha (Albania, 22').
Possession 60% – 40%, shots 11 – 14.
- 4'Rey Manaj (assist: K. Asllani)Goal · Albania0-1
- 22'Etrit BerishaRed card · Albania
- 25'A. Sherri ↑ Arber Hoxha ↓Substitution · Albania
- 26'Leo WaltaGoal · Finland1-1
- 26'Alen SherriYellow card · Albania
- 40'Kaan KairinenYellow card · Finland
- 45'G. Kamara ↑ Kaan Kairinen ↓Substitution · Finland
- 45'M. Daku ↑ Rey Manaj ↓Substitution · Albania
- 62'O. Jukkola ↑ Daniel Håkans ↓Substitution · Finland
- 62'L. Väisänen ↑ Tony Miettinen ↓Substitution · Finland
- 65'M. Uzuni ↑ Ernest Muci ↓Substitution · Albania
- 71'Leo WaltaGoal · Finland2-1
- 74'Berat DjimsitiYellow card · Albania
- 77'A. Mehmeti ↑ Stavros Pilios ↓Substitution · Albania
- 77'J. Shehu ↑ Kristjan Asllani ↓Substitution · Albania
- 80'Myrto UzuniYellow card · Albania
- 80'Anis·MehmetiYellow card · Albania
- 81'Rolando MaranYellow card · Albania
- 82'O. Valakari ↑ Leo Walta ↓Substitution · Finland
- 89'M. Peltola ↑ Adam Markhiev ↓Substitution · Finland
Match stats – Finland vs Albania
- 11Total shots14
- 3Shots on target5
- 4Shots off target6
- 4Blocked shots3
- 3Shots inside box12
- 8Shots outside box2
- 7Corners6
- 1Offsides3
- 13Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards1
- 4Goalkeeper saves1
- 605Passes397
- 543Accurate passes334
Official lineups Finland – Albania
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: J. Friis (Finland) · R. Maran (Albania)
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39%30%31%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
Head-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Finland vs Albania
No meetings between Finland and Albania in our data.
Prediction statistics – Finland vs Albania
Over 2.5 goals in 50% of Finland and Albania matches on average, against 46% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 67 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Team profiles – Finland and Albania
Finland takes 2 points per match and Albania 3; Finland wins 50% of their matches, Albania 100%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DW | 2 |
| Home | D | 1 |
| Away | W | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 3.5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / match | 3.5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Both teams score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 2 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 3 |
| Home | W | 3 |
| Away | W | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 2.5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Both teams score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 2 available matches.
Current form — who will win Finland – Albania?
Over their last 2 matches, Finland shows D-W and Albania W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
Albania is 33% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Finland 39% · draw 30% · Albania 31%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
- DFinland – Belarus0 - 0
- WSan Marino – Finland0 - 7
- WSan Marino – Albania0 - 3
- WAlbania – Belarus2 - 0
Goals scored – Finland – Albania: who will score more?
Finland scores 3.5 goals per match and concedes 0; Albania scores 2.5 and concedes 0.
| Finland | Albania | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 50% | 100% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 50% | 100% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 50% | 0% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Finland | Albania | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 100% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0 | 0 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Finland – Albania?
Both teams score in 0% of Finland matches and 0% of Albania matches (competition average: 48%).
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and win | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Under X goals
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Corners Finland – Albania – how many corners?
Finland and Albania matches average 8 corners; Finland wins 6 per match, Albania 5.5 (competition: 8.4).
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 7 corners | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 8 corners | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 9 corners | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 10 corners | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 11 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6 | 5.5 | 5.75 |
| Corners conceded / match | 1 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Competition average: 8.4 corners per match (67 matches). Finland: 2 matches with statistics; Albania: 2. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Finland score? · Will Albania score?
Low chance
Medium chance
Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Cards Finland – Albania – how many cards?
3.8 cards per match on average for these two teams; Finland receives 1.5, Albania 1.5; referee Robert Hennessy, Ireland shows 4.5.
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 1 | 0.75 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 3 | 1.75 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Referee: Robert Hennessy, Ireland — 4.5 cards and 21 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Finland – Albania
Finland leads at the break in 50% of their matches, Albania in 100%.
Albania is 50% better at half-time.
| Finland | Albania | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 50% | 100% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 50% | 50% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 0% | 0% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 50% | 100% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Who will score first in Finland – Albania?
Finland opened the scoring in 100% of their matches with a goal, Albania in 100%.
Goals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Finland · total | Finland · scored | Finland · conceded | Albania · total | Albania · scored | Albania · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 14% | 14% | – | 0% | 0% | – |
| 11–20 min | 14% | 14% | – | 0% | 0% | – |
| 21–30 min | 0% | 0% | – | 40% | 40% | – |
| 31–40 min | 14% | 14% | – | 20% | 20% | – |
| 41–50 min | 14% | 14% | – | 20% | 20% | – |
| 51–60 min | 14% | 14% | – | 0% | 0% | – |
| 61–70 min | 0% | 0% | – | 20% | 20% | – |
| 71–80 min | 14% | 14% | – | 0% | 0% | – |
| 81–90 min | 14% | 14% | – | 0% | 0% | – |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Finland · total | Albania · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 29% | 0% |
| 16–30 min | 0% | 40% |
| 31–45 min | 14% | 40% |
| 46–60 min | 29% | 0% |
| 61–75 min | 0% | 20% |
| 76–90 min | 29% | 0% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Finland – Albania
Finland shoots 16 times per match (6.5 on target), Albania 17 (5.5 on target); average possession 68% against 63%.
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 16 | 17 | 16.5 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 22 | 15 | 18.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 6.5 | 5.5 | 6 |
| Shots off target / match | 6 | 8.5 | 7.25 |
| Shots per goal scored | 4.57 | 6.8 | 5.69 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 4+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 5+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 6+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 7+ shots on target | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Offsides and more
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.5 | 2 | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 14 | 11.5 | 12.75 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 14 | 14.5 | 14.25 |
| Average possession (%) | 68 | 63 | 65.5 |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Free kicks – Finland – Albania
Finland matches average 28 free kicks, Albania matches 26.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Finland | Albania | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 14 | 14.5 | 14.25 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 14 | 11.5 | 12.75 |
| Total free kicks / match | 28 | 26 | 27 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Finland: last 2 available matches; Albania: last 2 available matches.
Which players will score in Finland – Albania?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): J. Pohjanpalo (3) for Finland, K. Asllani (1) for Albania.
Who will get a card?
Cards per 90 minutes
The teams in numbers
Finland
Not enough matches in our data.
Albania
Not enough matches in our data.
Match analysis
Finland and Albania meet on Saturday, 3 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League C - 3), at Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki).
Over their recent matches, Finland takes an average of 1 point per home match (1 match), and Albania 3 points per away match (1 match).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 39% for Finland, 30% for the draw and 31% for Albania.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Finland – Albania played?
The match was played on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), at Helsinki Olympic Stadium in Helsinki — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Finland – Albania?
Finland beat Albania 2-1. Scorers: Rey Manaj 4', Leo Walta 26', Leo Walta 71'.
Who are the top scorers for Finland and Albania this season?
J. Pohjanpalo (3 goals) for Finland, K. Asllani (1 goal) for Albania (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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