Estonia
Iceland
- A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
- Referee: David Dickinson
- Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League C - 4): Estonia and Iceland drew 0-0 on . Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Iceland (61%). Head-to-head: 0 wins for Estonia, 2 draws and 0 wins for Iceland in 2 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Estonia – Iceland
UEFA Nations League: Estonia and Iceland drew 0-0 (0-0 at half-time).
No goals in this match.
Possession 38% – 62%, shots 13 – 12.
- 25'Daniel Leo GretarssonYellow card · Iceland
- 61'M. Schjønning-Larsen ↑ Joseph Saliste ↓Substitution · Estonia
- 61'Karel Mustmaa ↑ Mattias Männilaan ↓Substitution · Estonia
- 61'M. Käit ↑ Kevor Palumets ↓Substitution · Estonia
- 67'L. Tómasson ↑ Hörður Magnússon ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 67'B. Willumsson ↑ Gylfi Sigurðsson ↓Substitution · Iceland
- 68'M. Skvortsov ↑ Patrik Kristal ↓Substitution · Estonia
- 84'Michael Schjonning-LarsenYellow card · Estonia
Match stats – Estonia vs Iceland
- 13Total shots12
- 3Shots on target1
- 9Shots off target7
- 1Blocked shots4
- 9Shots inside box9
- 4Shots outside box3
- 3Corners7
- 1Offsides0
- 10Fouls9
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 359Passes584
- 274Accurate passes492
Official lineups Estonia – Iceland
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: J. Henn (Estonia) · A. Gunnlaugsson (Iceland)
The AI built for football.
A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.
UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AIEstoniaDRAWIceland16%23%61%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Pick a question about Estonia – Iceland: I’ll answer straight away with the AI’s numbers.
Basic questions free · your own questions with FlashSport PRO
Discover the AI prediction for Estonia – Iceland
Your AI prediction is free every day! Download FlashSport to see our AI’s pick for this match.
See my AI prediction for freeWant more? Go FlashSport PRO
Unlock AI predictions for all covered matches and get in-depth analysis.
Discover PRO and its benefitsFree download • Android and iPhone • 25 free credits on signup
Latest matches
EstoniaWDDIcelandWWDHead-to-head (H2H) last 2 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Estonia vs Iceland
In 2 meetings, Estonia leads 0 wins to 0, with 2 draws; these matches produced 2 goals on average.
Estonia0%Iceland0%In the last 2 meetings between Estonia and Iceland in our data, Estonia won 0, Iceland won 0, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Estonia 2, Iceland 2.
Latest results between Estonia and Iceland
- Iceland1 - 1Estonia
- Iceland1 - 1Estonia
Prediction statistics – Estonia vs Iceland
Over 2.5 goals in 34% of Estonia and Iceland matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 91 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Team profiles – Estonia and Iceland
Estonia takes 1.67 points per match and Iceland 2.33; Estonia wins 33% of their matches, Iceland 67%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDD | 1.67 |
| Home | W | 3 |
| Away | DD | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWD | 2.33 |
| Home | WD | 2 |
| Away | W | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.33 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
Current form — who will win Estonia – Iceland?
Over their last 3 matches, Estonia shows W-D-D and Iceland W-W-D (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.67WDDIceland is 28% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Estonia 16% · draw 23% · Iceland 61%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2.33WWD- WEstonia – Luxembourg1 - 0
- DBulgaria – Estonia0 - 0
- DIceland – Estonia1 - 1
- WIceland – Bulgaria3 - 0
- WLuxembourg – Iceland0 - 3
- DIceland – Estonia1 - 1
Goals scored – Estonia – Iceland: who will score more?
Estonia scores 0.67 goals per match and concedes 0.33; Iceland scores 2.33 and concedes 0.33.
| Estonia | Iceland | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 67% | 100% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 0% | 67% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 33% | 0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Estonia | Iceland | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 33% | 33% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 67% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 0.33 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Estonia – Iceland?
Both teams score in 33% of Estonia matches and 33% of Iceland matches (competition average: 47%).
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Both score and win | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and draw | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 34% |
Under X goals
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 67% | 0% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Corners Estonia – Iceland – how many corners?
Estonia and Iceland matches average 9.3 corners; Estonia wins 5.3 per match, Iceland 6 (competition: 8.6).
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 7 corners | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 8 corners | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 9 corners | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 10 corners | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 11 corners | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 5.33 | 6 | 5.67 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.33 | 2 | 3.67 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 67% | 0% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 67% | 0% | 34% |
Competition average: 8.6 corners per match (91 matches). Estonia: 3 matches with statistics; Iceland: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Estonia score? · Will Iceland score?
Scored in 67% of their matchesMedium chance
Iceland: clean sheet in 67% of their matchesScored in 100% of their matchesMedium chance
Estonia: clean sheet in 67% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Cards Estonia – Iceland – how many cards?
5.3 cards per match on average for these two teams; Estonia receives 2.3, Iceland 2.3; referee David Dickinson shows 1.
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Cards by half
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.33 | 1 | 0.67 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 2.33 | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 4.67 | 3.33 | 4 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 67% | 84% |
Referee: David Dickinson — 1 cards and 19 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Estonia – Iceland
Estonia leads at the break in 33% of their matches, Iceland in 100%.
1.33pts / match at half-timeIceland is 126% better at half-time.
3pts / match at half-time| Estonia | Iceland | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 33% | 100% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 33% | 67% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 67% | 0% |
| Loses the 1st half | 33% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 0% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 0% | 33% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Who will score first in Estonia – Iceland?
Estonia opened the scoring in 50% of their matches with a goal, Iceland in 100%.
EstoniaIcelandGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Estonia · total | Estonia · scored | Estonia · conceded | Iceland · total | Iceland · scored | Iceland · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 33% | 0% | 100% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 33% | 50% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 100% |
| 71–80 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Estonia · total | Iceland · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 33% | 13% |
| 16–30 min | 0% | 0% |
| 31–45 min | 33% | 38% |
| 46–60 min | 0% | 13% |
| 61–75 min | 33% | 25% |
| 76–90 min | 0% | 13% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Estonia – Iceland
Estonia shoots 9.3 times per match (5.3 on target), Iceland 14 (6 on target); average possession 43% against 51%.
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 9.33 | 14 | 11.67 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 7 | 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target / match | 5.33 | 6 | 5.67 |
| Shots off target / match | 2 | 4.67 | 3.34 |
| Shots per goal scored | 14 | 6 | 10 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 4+ shots on target | 67% | 100% | 84% |
| 5+ shots on target | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 6+ shots on target | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| 7+ shots on target | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Offsides and more
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Fouls committed / match | 17.33 | 12.33 | 14.83 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 11.33 | 12.67 | 12 |
| Average possession (%) | 43 | 51 | 47 |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Free kicks – Estonia – Iceland
Estonia matches average 28.7 free kicks, Iceland matches 25.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Estonia | Iceland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 11.33 | 12.67 | 12 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 17.33 | 12.33 | 14.83 |
| Total free kicks / match | 28.67 | 25 | 26.84 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Estonia: last 3 available matches; Iceland: last 3 available matches.
Which players will score in Estonia – Iceland?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): M. Paskotši (1) for Estonia, O. Óskarsson (3) for Iceland.
Top scorers – Estonia
- M. Paskotši 1
- R. Peetson 1
- K. Mets 0
- M. Schjønning-Larsen 0
- M. Poom 0
- M. Käit 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Iceland
- O. Óskarsson 3
- A. Guðjohnsen 2
- M. Ellertsson 1
- V. Pálsson 1
- H. Valdimarsson 0
- Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Estonia
- K. Mets 2
- M. Paskotši 1
- M. Poom 1
- P. Kristal 1
- R. Peetson 1
- M. Kuusk 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Iceland
- M. Ellertsson 2
- H. Valdimarsson 1
- Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1
- S. Þórðarson 1
- H. Magnússon 1
- Isak Thorvaldsson 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Estonia
- K. Mets 0.67
- R. Peetson 0.5
- M. Kuusk 0.5
- P. Kristal 0.43
- M. Paskotši 0.33
- M. Poom 0.33
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Iceland
- M. Ellertsson 0.68
- Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 0.35
- H. Valdimarsson 0.33
- O. Óskarsson 0
- H. Haraldsson 0
- D. Grétarsson 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Estonia
- Before this match, Estonia took 5 points from their last 3 matches (1.67 per match), scored 2 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Estonia is unbeaten in 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws).
- Estonia kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 1 goal over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Estonia matches (3 matches, recent form).
Iceland
- Before this match, Iceland took 7 points from their last 3 matches (2.33 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Iceland is unbeaten in 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw).
- Iceland kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 1 goal over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Iceland matches (3 matches, recent form).
Match analysis
Estonia and Iceland meet on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League C - 4), at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn).
Estonia and Iceland have met 2 times in our data. Estonia has 0 wins, Iceland 0 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (26/09/2026): Iceland 1 - 1 Estonia.
These meetings produced an average of 2 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
Over their recent matches, Estonia takes an average of 3 points per home match (1 match), and Iceland 3 points per away match (1 match).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 16% for Estonia, 23% for the draw and 61% for Iceland.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Estonia – Iceland played?
The match was played on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Estonia – Iceland?
Estonia and Iceland drew 0-0.
What is the head-to-head record of Estonia – Iceland?
Out of 2 meetings in our data: 0 wins for Estonia, 2 draws and 0 wins for Iceland.
Who are the top scorers for Estonia and Iceland this season?
M. Paskotši (1 goal) for Estonia, O. Óskarsson (3 goals) for Iceland (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
All the analysis in the app
Follow your favourite teams, find lineups, statistics and standings, plus our model’s statistical reading of matches when the data allows: it’s all in the FlashSport app.
For ages 18 and over only, under our Terms of Use.