- Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
- Referee: Guillaume Paradis
- Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
Ligue 1 (Matchday 6): Estac Troyes – Marseille takes place on (UK time), at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes). Recent form (last 5 matches): Estac Troyes LLLWD, Marseille LLLLL.
Last starting XI Estac Troyes – Marseille
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Estac Troyes on 19/09/2026, Marseille on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Stephane Dumont (Estac Troyes) · Bruno Genesio (Marseille)
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Ligue 1 · 19:45FlashSport AI
Estac TroyesDRAWMarseille
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Latest matches
Estac TroyesLLLWDMarseilleLLLLLHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Estac Troyes vs Marseille
No meetings between Estac Troyes and Marseille in our data.
Prediction statistics – Estac Troyes vs Marseille
Over 2.5 goals in 54% of Estac Troyes and Marseille matches on average, against 61% across Ligue 1.
Competition averages: 46 Ligue 1 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Team profiles – Estac Troyes and Marseille
Estac Troyes takes 0.8 points per match and Marseille 0.5; Estac Troyes wins 20% of their matches, Marseille 17%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWD | 0.8 |
| Home | LD | 0.5 |
| Away | LLW | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 3 | 4 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.2 | 3 | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| xG / match | 1.38 | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.96 | 2.38 | 1.68 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0.5 |
| Home | LLW | 1 |
| Away | LLL | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.33 | 4 | 2.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 2.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| xG / match | 1.51 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.77 | 1.74 | 1.8 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Current form — who will win Estac Troyes – Marseille?
Over their last 5 matches, Estac Troyes shows L-L-L-W-D and Marseille L-L-L-L-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
0.8LLLWDEstac Troyes is 60% better on points per match.
0.5LLLLL- LAngers – Estac Troyes2 - 0
- LLille – Estac Troyes2 - 0
- LEstac Troyes – Strasbourg2 - 6
- WLorient – Estac Troyes1 - 2
- DEstac Troyes – Paris FC0 - 0
- LMarseille – Paris Saint Germain1 - 2
- LBeşiktaş – Marseille4 - 1
- LRennes – Marseille1 - 0
- LMarseille – Paris FC2 - 3
- LMonaco – Marseille2 - 0
Goals scored – Estac Troyes – Marseille: who will score more?
Estac Troyes scores 0.8 goals per match and concedes 2.2; Marseille scores 1.33 and concedes 2.
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 40% | 67% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 40% | 33% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 17% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 17% |
| Fails to score | 60% | 33% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 60% | 67% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 20% | 33% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 20% | 17% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 17% |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.2 | 2 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Estac Troyes – Marseille?
Both teams score in 40% of Estac Troyes matches and 50% of Marseille matches (competition average: 61%).
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 80% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Both score and win | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 9% |
Under X goals
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 67% | 74% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Corners Estac Troyes – Marseille – how many corners?
Estac Troyes and Marseille matches average 8.9 corners; Estac Troyes wins 7.6 per match, Marseille 4.3 (competition: 9.7).
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 7 corners | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 8 corners | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 9 corners | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 10 corners | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 11 corners | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Over 12 corners | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 7.6 | 4.33 | 5.97 |
| Corners conceded / match | 1.6 | 4.33 | 2.97 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (46 matches). Estac Troyes: 5 matches with statistics; Marseille: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Estac Troyes score? · Will Marseille score?
Scored in 40% of their matchesMedium chance
Marseille: clean sheet in 17% of their matchesScored in 67% of their matchesMedium chance
Estac Troyes: clean sheet in 20% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Cards Estac Troyes – Marseille – how many cards?
3.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Estac Troyes receives 1.3, Marseille 1.5; referee Guillaume Paradis shows 3.8.
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 25% | 67% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 0.75 | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.75 | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Referee: Guillaume Paradis — 3.8 cards and 26.5 fouls per match on average over 8 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Estac Troyes – Marseille
Estac Troyes leads at the break in 20% of their matches, Marseille in 0%.
0.8pts / match at half-timeEstac Troyes is 19% better at half-time.
0.67pts / match at half-time| Estac Troyes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 20% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 0% | 17% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 20% | 67% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 20% | 17% |
| Loses the 1st half | 60% | 33% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 80% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 40% | 33% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Who will score first in Estac Troyes – Marseille?
Estac Troyes opened the scoring in 50% of their matches with a goal, Marseille in 17%.
Estac TroyesMarseilleGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Estac Troyes · total | Estac Troyes · scored | Estac Troyes · conceded | Marseille · total | Marseille · scored | Marseille · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 7% | 25% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| 11–20 min | 7% | 0% | 9% | 15% | 0% | 25% |
| 21–30 min | 7% | 25% | 0% | 5% | 13% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 13% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 13% | 0% | 18% | 5% | 13% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 20% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 13% | 33% |
| 61–70 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| 71–80 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| 81–90 min | 33% | 25% | 36% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Estac Troyes · total | Marseille · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 7% | 20% |
| 16–30 min | 13% | 10% |
| 31–45 min | 27% | 0% |
| 46–60 min | 20% | 30% |
| 61–75 min | 0% | 20% |
| 76–90 min | 33% | 20% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Estac Troyes – Marseille
Estac Troyes shoots 14.8 times per match (2.8 on target), Marseille 13.3 (4.5 on target); average possession 39% against 55%.
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 14.8 | 13.33 | 14.07 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 5 | 10 | 7.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 2.8 | 4.5 | 3.65 |
| Shots off target / match | 7.4 | 6 | 6.7 |
| Shots per goal scored | 18.5 | 10 | 14.25 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 40% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 4+ shots on target | 20% | 67% | 44% |
| 5+ shots on target | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| 6+ shots on target | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| 7+ shots on target | 0% | 17% | 9% |
Offsides and more
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2.4 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 12.8 | 10.33 | 11.57 |
| Average possession (%) | 39 | 55 | 47 |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Free kicks – Estac Troyes – Marseille
Estac Troyes matches average 24.8 free kicks, Marseille matches 20.3.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Estac Troyes | Marseille | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 12.8 | 10.33 | 11.57 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Total free kicks / match | 24.8 | 20.33 | 22.57 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 40% | 17% | 29% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Estac Troyes: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Marseille: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Which players will score in Estac Troyes – Marseille?
Top scorers (Ligue 1): A. Mille (1) for Estac Troyes, A. Gouiri (4) for Marseille.
Top scorers – Estac Troyes
- A. Mille 1
- R. Ripart 1
- L. Maronnier 1
- J. Le Douaron 1
- P. Beach 0
- A. Monfray 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Top scorers – Marseille
- A. Gouiri 4
- P. Hojbjerg 1
- A. Gomes 1
- Keyliane Abdallah 1
- J. De Lange 0
- T. Weah 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Estac Troyes
- J. M. Diaz 2
- M. Diop 1
- A. Mille 1
- I. Gomis 1
- P. Beach 0
- A. Monfray 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Marseille
- T. Weah 3
- A. Harit 1
- H. Abdelli 1
- A. Gomes 1
- N. Aguerd 1
- I. Paixao 1
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Estac Troyes
- J. M. Diaz 0.4
- I. Gomis 0.33
- A. Mille 0.25
- M. Diop 0.22
- P. Beach 0
- A. Monfray 0
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Marseille
- T. Weah 0.6
- I. Paixao 0.32
- N. Aguerd 0.3
- H. Abdelli 0.24
- A. Gomes 0.24
- A. Harit 0.22
Ligue 1 statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Estac Troyes
- Before this match, Estac Troyes took 4 points from their last 5 matches (0.8 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Estac Troyes has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
- Estac Troyes kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 11 goals over that period.
- At home, Estac Troyes wins 0% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1 goal per match.
- Both teams scored in 40% of Estac Troyes matches (5 matches, this season).
Marseille
- Before this match, Marseille took 0 points from their last 5 matches (0 per match), scored 4 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Marseille has won none of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats).
- Marseille kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Marseille wins 0% of their matches (3 played) and scores 0.33 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 50% of Marseille matches (6 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Estac Troyes and Marseille meet on Sunday, 11 October 2026 — Ligue 1 (Matchday 6), at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes).
This season, Estac Troyes takes an average of 0.5 points per home match (2 matches), and Marseille 0 points per away match (3 matches).
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Estac Troyes – Marseille played?
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stade de l'Aube in Troyes — Ligue 1.
How many goals can we expect in Estac Troyes – Marseille?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of Estac Troyes matches and 67% of Marseille matches. Both teams scored in 40% and 50% of their matches.
Who are the top scorers for Estac Troyes and Marseille this season?
A. Mille (1 goal) for Estac Troyes, A. Gouiri (4 goals) for Marseille (Ligue 1).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
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