- Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
- Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
- Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 20:30 (UK time)
Key facts
La Liga (Matchday 6): Real Madrid beat Elche 3-2 on . Scorers: M. Dituro 25' (o.g.), K. Mbappe 33', A. Osorio 71', F. Nino 83', C. Espi 90'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Real Madrid (70%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Elche – Real Madrid
La Liga: Real Madrid won 3-2 away at Elche (0-2 at half-time).
Scorers: Elche — A. Osorio (71'), F. Nino (83'); Real Madrid — M. Dituro (25', o.g.), K. Mbappe (33'), C. Espi (90').
Possession 56% – 44%, shots 11 – 20, expected goals (xG) 0.78 – 3.61.
- 4'Yan DiomandeYellow card · Real Madrid
- 25'M. Dituro (o.g.)Own goal · Real Madrid0-1
- 31'Marc AguadoYellow card · Elche
- 33'K. Mbappe (assist: Y. Diomande)Goal · Real Madrid0-2
- 58'T. Lemar ↑ G. Valera ↓Substitution · Elche
- 58'L. Cepeda ↑ M. Aguado ↓Substitution · Elche
- 68'R. Sanchez ↑ Buba Sangare ↓Substitution · Elche
- 68'F. Nino ↑ M. Neto ↓Substitution · Elche
- 68'B. Diaz ↑ Vinicius Junior ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 68'J. Bellingham ↑ A. Guler ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 71'A. Osorio (assist: L. Cepeda)Goal · Elche1-2
- 73'Ibrahima KonatéYellow card · Real Madrid
- 78'Lucas CepedaYellow card · Elche
- 80'Josan ↑ Tete Morente ↓Substitution · Elche
- 83'F. Nino (assist: Josan)Goal · Elche2-2
- 86'Endrick ↑ A. Tchouameni ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 87'C. Espi ↑ T. Alexander-Arnold ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 90'C. Espi (assist: K. Mbappe)Goal · Real Madrid2-3
- 90'+2D. Dumfries ↑ Y. Diomande ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 90'+3JosanYellow card · Elche
- 90'+4Gonzalo VillarYellow card · Elche
Match stats – Elche vs Real Madrid
- 0.78Expected goals (xG)3.61
- 11Total shots20
- 3Shots on target4
- 6Shots off target11
- 2Blocked shots5
- 7Shots inside box15
- 4Shots outside box5
- 2Corners5
- 1Offsides5
- 21Fouls8
- 4Yellow cards2
- 2Goalkeeper saves1
- 542Passes430
- 493Accurate passes383
- 91%Pass accuracy89%
- -0.68Goals prevented-0.68
Official lineups Elche – Real Madrid
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Martin Anselmi (Elche) · Jose Mourinho (Real Madrid)
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La Liga · 20:30FlashSport AI
ElcheDRAWReal Madrid
14%15%70%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
ElcheDLLLDReal MadridWWLWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 2 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Elche vs Real Madrid
In 2 meetings, Elche leads 0 wins to 1, with 1 draw; these matches produced 4.5 goals on average.
Elche0%Real Madrid50%In the last 2 meetings between Elche and Real Madrid in our data, Elche won 0, Real Madrid won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Elche 3, Real Madrid 6.
Latest results between Elche and Real Madrid
- Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
- Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
Prediction statistics – Elche vs Real Madrid
Over 2.5 goals in 72% of Elche and Real Madrid matches on average, against 55% across La Liga.
Competition averages: 53 La Liga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Team profiles – Elche and Real Madrid
Elche takes 0.4 points per match and Real Madrid 2.5; Elche wins 0% of their matches, Real Madrid 83%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLLLD | 0.4 |
| Home | LL | 0 |
| Away | DLD | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.8 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.6 | 4 | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.25 | 1.59 | 1.03 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.88 | 2.48 | 1.48 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 2.5 |
| Home | WWWW | 3 |
| Away | LW | 1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 83% | 100% | 50% |
| Total goals / match | 3.5 | 4.25 | 2 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.67 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.83 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | 50% |
| xG / match | 2.91 | 2.79 | 3.09 |
| xG conceded / match | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.99 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Current form — who will win Elche – Real Madrid?
Over their last 5 matches, Elche shows D-L-L-L-D and Real Madrid W-W-L-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
0.4DLLLDReal Madrid is 84% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Elche 14% · draw 15% · Real Madrid 70%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2.5WWLWW- DAthletic Club – Elche1 - 1
- LElche – Real Sociedad2 - 3
- LRacing Santander – Elche3 - 2
- LElche – Barcelona0 - 5
- DDeportivo La Coruna – Elche1 - 1
- WReal Madrid – Rayo Vallecano4 - 1
- WReal Madrid – Inter2 - 1
- LReal Betis – Real Madrid1 - 0
- WReal Madrid – Malaga4 - 0
- WReal Madrid – Real Sociedad4 - 1
Goals scored – Elche – Real Madrid: who will score more?
Elche scores 1.2 goals per match and concedes 2.6; Real Madrid scores 2.67 and concedes 0.83.
| Elche | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 40% | 83% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Fails to score | 20% | 17% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.67 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Elche | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 83% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 60% | 0% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 17% |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.6 | 0.83 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Elche – Real Madrid?
Both teams score in 80% of Elche matches and 67% of Real Madrid matches (competition average: 57%).
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 83% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Both score and win | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Both score and draw | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 20% | 17% | 19% |
Under X goals
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 40% | 67% | 54% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Corners Elche – Real Madrid – how many corners?
Elche and Real Madrid matches average 11.6 corners; Elche wins 5.2 per match, Real Madrid 7.7 (competition: 9.9).
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 7 corners | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 8 corners | 40% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 9 corners | 40% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 10 corners | 40% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 11 corners | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 12 corners | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 13 corners | 20% | 67% | 44% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 5.2 | 7.67 | 6.44 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.4 | 5.83 | 5.12 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 60% | 83% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 60% | 83% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 60% | 83% | 72% |
Competition average: 9.9 corners per match (53 matches). Elche: 5 matches with statistics; Real Madrid: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Elche score? · Will Real Madrid score?
Scored in 80% of their matchesStrong chance
Real Madrid: clean sheet in 17% of their matchesScored in 83% of their matchesStrong chance
Elche: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Cards Elche – Real Madrid – how many cards?
4.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Elche receives 2.2, Real Madrid 1.5; referee Jesus Gil Manzano shows 4.4.
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 17% | 9% |
Cards by half
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.45 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.8 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.4 | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.6 | 3.17 | 2.89 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 40% | 83% | 62% |
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano — 4.4 cards and 24.4 fouls per match on average over 16 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.5 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Elche – Real Madrid
Elche leads at the break in 0% of their matches, Real Madrid in 50%.
0.2pts / match at half-timeReal Madrid is 900% better at half-time.
2pts / match at half-time| Elche | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 0% | 50% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 60% | 50% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 20% | 50% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 20% | 17% |
| Loses the 1st half | 80% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 20% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 60% | 83% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Who will score first in Elche – Real Madrid?
Elche opened the scoring in 20% of their matches with a goal, Real Madrid in 83%.
ElcheReal MadridGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Elche · total | Elche · scored | Elche · conceded | Real Madrid · total | Real Madrid · scored | Real Madrid · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 16% | 0% | 23% | 19% | 25% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 11% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 20% |
| 31–40 min | 11% | 0% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 11% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 20% |
| 51–60 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 20% |
| 61–70 min | 11% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 37% | 67% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 20% |
| 81–90 min | 5% | 0% | 8% | 19% | 19% | 20% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Elche · total | Real Madrid · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 16% | 14% |
| 16–30 min | 11% | 29% |
| 31–45 min | 16% | 14% |
| 46–60 min | 5% | 10% |
| 61–75 min | 21% | 5% |
| 76–90 min | 32% | 29% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Elche – Real Madrid
Elche shoots 11.8 times per match (5.2 on target), Real Madrid 20 (9 on target); average possession 52% against 53%.
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 11.8 | 20 | 15.9 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 10 | 13 | 11.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 5.2 | 9 | 7.1 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.4 | 6 | 5.2 |
| Shots per goal scored | 9.83 | 7.5 | 8.66 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| 4+ shots on target | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 5+ shots on target | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 6+ shots on target | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 7+ shots on target | 40% | 100% | 70% |
Offsides and more
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.6 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13 | 9.5 | 11.25 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 13 | 11.67 | 12.34 |
| Average possession (%) | 52 | 53 | 52.5 |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 20% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Free kicks – Elche – Real Madrid
Elche matches average 26 free kicks, Real Madrid matches 21.2.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Elche | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 13 | 11.67 | 12.34 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13 | 9.5 | 11.25 |
| Total free kicks / match | 26 | 21.17 | 23.59 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 80% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 60% | 17% | 39% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 40% | 17% | 29% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Elche: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Which players will score in Elche – Real Madrid?
Top scorers (La Liga): F. Nino (2) for Elche, K. Mbappe (6) for Real Madrid.
Top scorers – Elche
- F. Nino 2
- Buba Sangare 1
- F. Buonanotte 1
- M. Aguado 1
- T. Lemar 1
- M. Dituro 0
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Top scorers – Real Madrid
- K. Mbappe 6
- J. Bellingham 3
- Vinicius Junior 1
- A. Guler 1
- A. Carreras 1
- C. Espi 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Elche
- G. Valera 1
- G. Villar 1
- F. Nino 1
- Tete Morente 1
- F. Redondo Solari 1
- F. Buonanotte 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Real Madrid
- Vinicius Junior 2
- I. Konate 2
- E. Camavinga 2
- A. Guler 1
- A. Carreras 1
- T. Courtois 0
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Elche
- A. Houary 0.47
- F. Buonanotte 0.41
- F. Redondo Solari 0.39
- Tete Morente 0.3
- F. Nino 0.23
- G. Valera 0.21
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Real Madrid
- E. Camavinga 0.82
- I. Konate 0.5
- A. Carreras 0.45
- Vinicius Junior 0.41
- A. Guler 0.4
- T. Courtois 0
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Elche
- Before this match, Elche took 2 points from their last 5 matches (0.4 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Elche has won none of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
- Elche kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 13 goals over that period.
- At home, Elche wins 0% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1 goal per match.
- Both teams scored in 80% of Elche matches (5 matches, this season).
Real Madrid
- Before this match, Real Madrid took 12 points from their last 5 matches (2.4 per match), scored 14 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Real Madrid has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.
- Real Madrid kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Real Madrid wins 50% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1 goal per match.
- Both teams scored in 67% of Real Madrid matches (6 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Elche and Real Madrid meet on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 — La Liga (Matchday 6), at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche).
Elche and Real Madrid have met 2 times in our data. Elche has 0 wins, Real Madrid 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Last meeting (14/03/2026): Real Madrid 4 - 1 Elche.
These meetings produced an average of 4.5 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
This season, Elche takes an average of 0 points per home match (2 matches), and Real Madrid 1.5 points per away match (2 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 14% for Elche, 15% for the draw and 70% for Real Madrid.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Elche – Real Madrid played?
The match was played on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Elche — La Liga.
Who won Elche – Real Madrid?
Real Madrid beat Elche 3-2. Scorers: M. Dituro 25' (o.g.), K. Mbappe 33', A. Osorio 71', F. Nino 83', C. Espi 90'.
What is the head-to-head record of Elche – Real Madrid?
Out of 2 meetings in our data: 0 wins for Elche, 1 draw and 1 win for Real Madrid.
Who are the top scorers for Elche and Real Madrid this season?
F. Nino (2 goals) for Elche, K. Mbappe (6 goals) for Real Madrid (La Liga).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,817 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 03:40.
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