- Estádio Mineirão, Bello Harisanta
- Referee: Wilton Sampaio
- Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 01:30 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 29): Cruzeiro beat Sao Paulo 2-0 on . Scorers: Kaio Jorge 44', Zé Lucas 57'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Cruzeiro (52%). Head-to-head: 3 wins for Cruzeiro, 2 draws and 4 wins for Sao Paulo in 9 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo
Serie A: Cruzeiro beat Sao Paulo 2-0 (1-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Cruzeiro — Kaio Jorge (44'), Zé Lucas (57').
Possession 54% – 46%, shots 23 – 19.
Player of the match: Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro), rated 7.9.
- 21'WendellYellow card · Sao Paulo
- 24'Gabriel RojasYellow card · Cruzeiro
- 44'Kaio Jorge (assist: Matheus Pereira)Goal · Cruzeiro1-0
- 45'Zé Lucas ↑ Lucas Romer ↓Substitution · Cruzeiro
- 45'Aldemir Ferreira ↑ Jose Monteiro ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 57'Zé LucasGoal · Cruzeiro2-0
- 58'Matías Viña ↑ Gabriel Rojas ↓Substitution · Cruzeiro
- 63'Victor Sá ↑ Aldemir Ferreira ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 64'Pedro Ferreira ↑ Pablo Maia ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 64'Newton ↑ Marcos Antonio ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 68'Keny arroyo ↑ Bruno Rodrigues ↓Substitution · Cruzeiro
- 72'Matheus PereiraYellow card · Cruzeiro
- 78'Djhordney Ferreira ↑ Damian Bobadilla ↓Substitution · Sao Paulo
- 85'Matheus Henrique ↑ Kaio Jorge ↓Substitution · Cruzeiro
- 85'Luciano Rodríguez ↑ Gerson ↓Substitution · Cruzeiro
Match stats – Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
- 23Total shots19
- 9Shots on target3
- 9Shots off target9
- 5Blocked shots7
- 15Shots inside box11
- 8Shots outside box8
- 8Corners8
- 1Offsides2
- 12Fouls20
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves7
- 469Passes389
- 401Accurate passes319
Player ratings – Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro
- 19Kaio Jorge7.9
- 5Zé Lucas7.8
- 10Matheus Pereira7.7
- 12William7.6
- 43João Marcelo7.2
- 29L. Romero7.1
- 34Jonathan7.0
- 8Gerson7.0
- 38Felipe Morais6.8
- 6M. Viña6.7
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa6.6
- 99K. Arroyo6.6
- 7Matheus Henrique6.5
- 27G. Rojas6.4
- 9Bruno Rodrigues6.4
- 97L. Rodríguez6.2
- 23Fágner0.0
- 20Wesley Gassova0.0
- 2Kauã Moraes0.0
- 11Marquinhos0.0
- 1Cássio0.0
- 16Lucas Silva0.0
Sao Paulo
- 31Carlos Coronel7.4
- 37Artur7.1
- 18Wendell6.9
- 9J. Calleri6.7
- 2R. Tolói6.5
- 32Pedro Lima6.4
- 29Pablo Maia6.4
- 11Ferreira6.4
- 35Sabino6.3
- 27Victor Sá6.3
- 48D. Ferreira6.2
- 5R. Arboleda6.1
- 28Newton6.1
- 46Pedro Ferreira6.0
- 16D. Bobadilla5.9
- 8Marcos Antônio5.8
- 19Lucas Ramon0.0
- 43G. Santana0.0
- 17André Silva0.0
- 54Osorio Luis0.0
- 49Ryan Francisco0.0
Player ratings provided by the official match data.
Official lineups Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Artur Jorge (Cruzeiro) · Dorival Júnior (Sao Paulo)
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Latest matches
Head-to-head (H2H) last 9 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
In 9 meetings, Cruzeiro leads 3 wins to 4, with 2 draws; these matches produced 1.8 goals on average.
In the last 9 meetings between Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo in our data, Cruzeiro won 3, Sao Paulo won 4, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Cruzeiro 6, Sao Paulo 10.
Latest results between Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo
- Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
- Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro1 - 1Sao Paulo
- Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
- Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
- Sao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
- Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Prediction statistics – Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
Over 2.5 goals in 54% of Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 284 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Team profiles – Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro takes 1.61 points per match and Sao Paulo 1.29; Cruzeiro wins 46% of their matches, Sao Paulo 36%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 1.61 |
| Home | WWWLD | 1.79 |
| Away | WLLWW | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Total goals / match | 2.93 | 2.86 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| xG / match | 1.37 | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.19 | 0.87 | 1.51 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 1.29 |
| Home | LWWWD | 1.93 |
| Away | LLLDL | 0.64 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 36% | 57% | 14% |
| Total goals / match | 2.32 | 2.43 | 2.21 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.18 | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 0.86 | 1.43 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 36% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 21% | 7% | 36% |
| xG / match | 1.32 | 1.61 | 1.09 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.31 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Current form — who will win Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Over their last 5 matches, Cruzeiro shows W-L-W-L-W and Sao Paulo L-W-L-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
Cruzeiro is 25% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Cruzeiro 52% · draw 26% · Sao Paulo 22%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
- WVitoria – Cruzeiro1 - 3
- LSantos – Cruzeiro2 - 1
- WCruzeiro – Atletico Paranaense3 - 1
- LVasco DA Gama – Cruzeiro3 - 1
- WCruzeiro – Flamengo2 - 1
- LSao Paulo – Santos1 - 2
- WSao Paulo – Internacional1 - 0
- LPalmeiras – Sao Paulo2 - 0
- WSao Paulo – Atletico-MG2 - 0
- WSao Paulo – RB Bragantino2 - 1
Goals scored – Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo: who will score more?
Cruzeiro scores 1.5 goals per match and concedes 1.43; Sao Paulo scores 1.18 and concedes 1.14.
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 86% | 79% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 46% | 32% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 18% | 4% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 4% |
| Fails to score | 14% | 21% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.18 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 82% | 79% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 36% | 32% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 18% | 4% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 7% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 21% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.43 | 1.14 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Both teams score in 71% of Cruzeiro matches and 57% of Sao Paulo matches (competition average: 60%).
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 96% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 86% | 75% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 39% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 57% | 64% |
| Both score and win | 32% | 14% | 23% |
| Both score and draw | 18% | 21% | 20% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 61% | 39% | 50% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Under X goals
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 4% | 0% | 2% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 61% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 89% | 79% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 93% | 93% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Corners Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo – how many corners?
Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo matches average 10.5 corners; Cruzeiro wins 5.1 per match, Sao Paulo 6.8 (competition: 10.4).
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 75% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 7 corners | 75% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 8 corners | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 9 corners | 54% | 68% | 61% |
| Over 10 corners | 36% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 11 corners | 18% | 39% | 29% |
| Over 12 corners | 14% | 39% | 27% |
| Over 13 corners | 11% | 32% | 22% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 5.11 | 6.82 | 5.97 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.39 | 4.61 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 79% | 89% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 71% | 79% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 61% | 68% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 71% | 82% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 36% | 46% | 41% |
Competition average: 10.4 corners per match (284 matches). Cruzeiro: 28 matches with statistics; Sao Paulo: 28. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Cruzeiro score? · Will Sao Paulo score?
Strong chance
Strong chance
Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Cards Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo – how many cards?
5 cards per match on average for these two teams; Cruzeiro receives 2.6, Sao Paulo 2.2; referee Wilton Sampaio shows 3.5.
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 89% | 78% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 79% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 50% | 52% | 51% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 32% | 48% | 40% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 25% | 37% | 31% |
Cards by half
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.96 | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.64 | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.18 | 3.04 | 3.11 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 25% | 32% | 29% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 61% | 61% | 61% |
Referee: Wilton Sampaio — 3.5 cards and 34 fouls per match on average over 2 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro leads at the break in 25% of their matches, Sao Paulo in 36%.
Sao Paulo is 25% better at half-time.
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 25% | 36% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 39% | 39% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 39% | 36% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 36% | 14% |
| Loses the 1st half | 36% | 29% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 25% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 43% | 18% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Who will score first in Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro opened the scoring in 52% of their matches with a goal, Sao Paulo in 54%.
Goals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Cruzeiro · total | Cruzeiro · scored | Cruzeiro · conceded | Sao Paulo · total | Sao Paulo · scored | Sao Paulo · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 7% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 3% |
| 11–20 min | 11% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| 21–30 min | 9% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 6% |
| 31–40 min | 12% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 9% |
| 41–50 min | 11% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 22% |
| 51–60 min | 11% | 7% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| 61–70 min | 7% | 12% | 3% | 14% | 21% | 6% |
| 71–80 min | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 3% |
| 81–90 min | 23% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 22% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Cruzeiro · total | Sao Paulo · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 13% | 9% |
| 16–30 min | 13% | 12% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 17% |
| 46–60 min | 16% | 25% |
| 61–75 min | 12% | 18% |
| 76–90 min | 27% | 18% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro shoots 14.5 times per match (4.9 on target), Sao Paulo 13.1 (4.2 on target); average possession 55% against 54%.
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 14.54 | 13.14 | 13.84 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 10 | 9 | 9.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.89 | 4.21 | 4.55 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.96 | 4.82 | 5.39 |
| Shots per goal scored | 9.69 | 11.15 | 10.42 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 86% | 61% | 74% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 64% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 64% | 54% | 59% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 57% | 54% | 56% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| 4+ shots on target | 79% | 64% | 72% |
| 5+ shots on target | 54% | 43% | 49% |
| 6+ shots on target | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| 7+ shots on target | 14% | 18% | 16% |
Offsides and more
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.44 | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 19% | 13% | 16% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 15% | 4% | 10% |
| Fouls committed / match | 14.29 | 14.46 | 14.38 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 15.54 | 13.79 | 14.67 |
| Average possession (%) | 55 | 54 | 54.5 |
| Draws | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Free kicks – Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro matches average 29.8 free kicks, Sao Paulo matches 28.3.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Cruzeiro | Sao Paulo | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 15.54 | 13.79 | 14.67 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 14.29 | 14.46 | 14.38 |
| Total free kicks / match | 29.82 | 28.25 | 29.04 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 93% | 100% | 97% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 93% | 96% | 95% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 86% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 82% | 79% | 81% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 82% | 71% | 77% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 82% | 50% | 66% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Cruzeiro: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Sao Paulo: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Which players will score in Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Top scorers (Serie A): Matheus Pereira (9) for Cruzeiro, Luciano (9) for Sao Paulo.
Who will get a card?
Cards per 90 minutes
The teams in numbers
Cruzeiro
- Before this match, Cruzeiro took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 10 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Cruzeiro has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Cruzeiro kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 8 goals over that period.
- At home, Cruzeiro wins 50% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.71 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 71% of Cruzeiro matches (28 matches, this season).
Sao Paulo
- Before this match, Sao Paulo took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Sao Paulo kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Sao Paulo wins 14% of their matches (14 played) and scores 0.79 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 57% of Sao Paulo matches (28 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo meet on Thursday, 8 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 29), at Estádio Mineirão (Bello Harisanta).
Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo have met 9 times in our data. Cruzeiro has 3 wins, Sao Paulo 4 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (04/04/2026): Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro.
These meetings produced an average of 1.8 goals per match, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
This season, Cruzeiro takes an average of 1.79 points per home match (14 matches), and Sao Paulo 0.64 points per away match (14 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 52% for Cruzeiro, 26% for the draw and 22% for Sao Paulo.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo played?
The match was played on Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), at Estádio Mineirão in Bello Harisanta — Serie A.
Who won Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro beat Sao Paulo 2-0. Scorers: Kaio Jorge 44', Zé Lucas 57'.
What is the head-to-head record of Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo?
Out of 9 meetings in our data: 3 wins for Cruzeiro, 2 draws and 4 wins for Sao Paulo.
Who are the top scorers for Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo this season?
Matheus Pereira (9 goals) for Cruzeiro, Luciano (9 goals) for Sao Paulo (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:00.
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