- Stadion Poljud, Split
- Referee: Erik Lambrechts
- Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League A - 4): Spain beat Croatia 2-1 on . Scorers: Ivan Perišić 17', Mikel Merino 61', Mikel Merino 88'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Spain (76%). Head-to-head: 2 wins for Croatia, 2 draws and 4 wins for Spain in 8 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Croatia – Spain
UEFA Nations League: Spain won 2-1 away at Croatia (1-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Croatia — Ivan Perišić (17'); Spain — Mikel Merino (61'), Mikel Merino (88').
Sending-off: Ivan Perišić (Croatia, 79').
Possession 28% – 72%, shots 10 – 10.
- 14'Slaven BilicYellow card · Croatia
- 17'Ivan PerišićGoal · Croatia1-0
- 22'Ivan PerišićYellow card · Croatia
- 45'Mikel Merino ↑ Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ↓Substitution · Spain
- 61'Mikel Merino (assist: Dani Olmo)Goal · Spain1-1
- 65'Luka ModrićYellow card · Croatia
- 65'D. Beljo ↑ Igor Matanovic ↓Substitution · Croatia
- 66'P. Sučić ↑ Luka Modrić ↓Substitution · Croatia
- 66'Rodrigo Hernandez CascanteYellow card · Spain
- 71'Martín Zubimendi ↑ Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante ↓Substitution · Spain
- 71'Fermín ↑ Daniel Olmo Carvajal ↓Substitution · Spain
- 71'M. Baturina ↑ Nikola Vlašić ↓Substitution · Croatia
- 78'Víctor Muñoz ↑ Lamine Yamal ↓Substitution · Spain
- 79'Ivan PerišićRed card · Croatia
- 87'Yeremy Pino ↑ Pedri ↓Substitution · Spain
- 88'Mario Pasalic ↑ Mateo Kovačić ↓Substitution · Croatia
- 88'Mikel Merino (assist: Martín Zubimendi)Goal · Spain1-2
- 90'+2Víctor MuñozYellow card · Spain
Match stats – Croatia vs Spain
- 10Total shots10
- 5Shots on target3
- 3Shots off target3
- 2Blocked shots4
- 9Shots inside box7
- 1Shots outside box3
- 3Corners6
- 0Offsides2
- 12Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves4
- 299Passes778
- 231Accurate passes696
Official lineups Croatia – Spain
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: S. Bilić (Croatia) · Luis de la Fuente (Spain)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AI
CroatiaDRAWSpain
9%15%76%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
CroatiaLLWLWSpainWWWWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 8 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Croatia vs Spain
In 8 meetings, Croatia leads 2 wins to 4, with 2 draws; these matches produced 3.6 goals on average.
Croatia25%Spain50%In the last 8 meetings between Croatia and Spain in our data, Croatia won 2, Spain won 4, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Croatia 9, Spain 20.
Latest results between Croatia and Spain
- Spain4 - 1Croatia
- Spain3 - 0Croatia
- Croatia0 - 0Spain
- Croatia3 - 3Spain
- Croatia3 - 2Spain
- Spain6 - 0Croatia
- Croatia2 - 1Spain
- Croatia0 - 1Spain
Prediction statistics – Croatia vs Spain
Over 2.5 goals in 77% of Croatia and Spain matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 91 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Team profiles – Croatia and Spain
Croatia takes 1.29 points per match and Spain 2.78; Croatia wins 43% of their matches, Spain 89%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 1.29 |
| Home | LW | 1.5 |
| Away | LWLWL | 1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Total goals / match | 4 | 5 | 3.6 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.29 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.71 | 4 | 2.2 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 50% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.03 | 0.42 | 1.23 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.64 | 0.64 | 1.98 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 2.78 |
| Home | WWWWW | 2.67 |
| Away | WWW | 3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Total goals / match | 2.89 | 3.17 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.56 | 0.5 | 0.67 |
| Both teams score | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.98 | 2.33 | 1.27 |
| xG conceded / match | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.42 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Current form — who will win Croatia – Spain?
Over their last 5 matches, Croatia shows L-L-W-L-W and Spain W-W-W-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.29LLWLWSpain is 54% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Croatia 9% · draw 15% · Spain 76%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2.78WWWWW- LCroatia – England0 - 7
- LSpain – Croatia4 - 1
- WCzechia – Croatia1 - 2
- LPortugal – Croatia2 - 1
- WCroatia – Ghana2 - 1
- WSpain – Czechia3 - 1
- WSpain – Croatia4 - 1
- WEngland – Spain2 - 3
- WSpain – Belgium2 - 1
- WPortugal – Spain0 - 1
Goals scored – Croatia – Spain: who will score more?
Croatia scores 1.29 goals per match and concedes 2.71; Spain scores 2.33 and concedes 0.56.
| Croatia | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 86% | 89% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 43% | 67% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 56% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 22% |
| Fails to score | 14% | 11% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.29 | 2.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Croatia | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 86% | 44% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 57% | 11% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 43% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 43% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 56% |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.71 | 0.56 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Croatia – Spain?
Both teams score in 71% of Croatia matches and 44% of Spain matches (competition average: 47%).
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 43% | 22% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 44% | 58% |
| Both score and win | 29% | 44% | 37% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 71% | 44% | 58% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 14% | 22% | 18% |
Under X goals
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 11% | 6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 56% | 57% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 57% | 78% | 68% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Corners Croatia – Spain – how many corners?
Croatia and Spain matches average 8.3 corners; Croatia wins 3 per match, Spain 6.4 (competition: 8.6).
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 86% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 7 corners | 57% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 8 corners | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 9 corners | 29% | 22% | 26% |
| Over 10 corners | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 11 corners | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 12 corners | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 13 corners | 14% | 0% | 7% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 3 | 6.44 | 4.72 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.57 | 1.67 | 3.62 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 43% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 29% | 89% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 29% | 89% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 71% | 22% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 71% | 11% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 71% | 11% | 41% |
Competition average: 8.6 corners per match (91 matches). Croatia: 7 matches with statistics; Spain: 9. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Croatia score? · Will Spain score?
Scored in 86% of their matchesMedium chance
Spain: clean sheet in 56% of their matchesScored in 89% of their matchesStrong chance
Croatia: clean sheet in 14% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Cards Croatia – Spain – how many cards?
3.1 cards per match on average for these two teams; Croatia receives 1.7, Spain 0.8; referee Erik Lambrechts shows 4.
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 17% | 44% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 11% | 6% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.33 | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2 | 3.11 | 2.55 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 78% | 89% |
Referee: Erik Lambrechts — 4 cards and 22 fouls per match on average over 1 match in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Croatia – Spain
Croatia leads at the break in 14% of their matches, Spain in 56%.
1pts / match at half-timeSpain is 100% better at half-time.
2pts / match at half-time| Croatia | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 14% | 56% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 29% | 67% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 57% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 14% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 29% | 11% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 57% | 0% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 57% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 43% | 56% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Who will score first in Croatia – Spain?
Croatia opened the scoring in 57% of their matches with a goal, Spain in 100%.
CroatiaSpainGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Croatia · total | Croatia · scored | Croatia · conceded | Spain · total | Spain · scored | Spain · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 7% | 0% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 4% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 7% | 11% | 5% | 15% | 14% | 20% |
| 31–40 min | 14% | 22% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 40% |
| 41–50 min | 18% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| 51–60 min | 14% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 11% | 0% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| 71–80 min | 7% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 18% | 11% | 21% | 19% | 24% | 0% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Croatia · total | Spain · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 11% | 15% |
| 16–30 min | 7% | 15% |
| 31–45 min | 25% | 27% |
| 46–60 min | 21% | 8% |
| 61–75 min | 14% | 15% |
| 76–90 min | 21% | 19% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Croatia – Spain
Croatia shoots 10 times per match (3.6 on target), Spain 17.7 (6.9 on target); average possession 47% against 65%.
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 10 | 17.67 | 13.84 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target / match | 3.57 | 6.89 | 5.23 |
| Shots off target / match | 3.71 | 6.67 | 5.19 |
| Shots per goal scored | 7.78 | 7.57 | 7.68 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 43% | 89% | 66% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 43% | 89% | 66% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 29% | 89% | 59% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 14% | 89% | 52% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 14% | 89% | 52% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 14% | 67% | 41% |
| 4+ shots on target | 57% | 89% | 73% |
| 5+ shots on target | 43% | 89% | 66% |
| 6+ shots on target | 14% | 78% | 46% |
| 7+ shots on target | 0% | 67% | 34% |
Offsides and more
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.14 | 2.11 | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 14% | 22% | 18% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Fouls committed / match | 10.57 | 11.56 | 11.07 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 9.86 | 10.33 | 10.09 |
| Average possession (%) | 47 | 65 | 56 |
| Draws | 0% | 11% | 6% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Free kicks – Croatia – Spain
Croatia matches average 20.4 free kicks, Spain matches 21.9.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Croatia | Spain | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 9.86 | 10.33 | 10.09 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 10.57 | 11.56 | 11.07 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.43 | 21.89 | 21.16 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 14% | 56% | 35% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 14% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 14% | 33% | 24% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Croatia: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Spain: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 9 matches.
Which players will score in Croatia – Spain?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): L. Modrić (1) for Croatia, Lamine Yamal (4) for Spain.
Top scorers – Croatia
- L. Modrić 1
- Marco Pasalic 1
- D. Beljo 1
- D. Livaković 0
- J. Gvardiol 0
- I. Perišić 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Spain
- Lamine Yamal 4
- Rodri 1
- Marc Pubill 1
- Álex Baena 1
- Mikel Oyarzabal 1
- Nico Williams 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Croatia
- M. Kovačić 1
- L. Vušković 1
- P. Sučić 1
- Marco Pasalic 1
- J. Mišić 1
- M. Pongračić 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Spain
- Álex Baena 1
- Fermín López 1
- Lamine Yamal 0
- Rodri 0
- Aymeric Laporte 0
- Unai Simón 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Croatia
- P. Sučić 0.42
- L. Vušković 0.4
- M. Kovačić 0.38
- D. Livaković 0
- J. Gvardiol 0
- I. Perišić 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Spain
- Lamine Yamal 0
- Rodri 0
- Aymeric Laporte 0
- Unai Simón 0
- Marc Pubill 0
- Pau Cubarsí Paredes 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Croatia
- Before this match, Croatia took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 6 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Croatia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.
- Croatia kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 15 goals over that period.
- At home, Croatia wins 50% of their matches (2 played) and scores 1 goal per match.
- Both teams scored in 71% of Croatia matches (7 matches, this season).
Spain
- Before this match, Spain took 15 points from their last 5 matches (3 per match), scored 13 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Spain is unbeaten in 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws).
- Spain kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Spain scored in every one of their 3 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 44% of Spain matches (9 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Croatia and Spain meet on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League A - 4), at Stadion Poljud (Split).
Croatia and Spain have met 8 times in our data. Croatia has 2 wins, Spain 4 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (29/09/2026): Spain 4 - 1 Croatia.
These meetings produced an average of 3.6 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
This season, Croatia takes an average of 1.5 points per home match (2 matches), and Spain 3 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 9% for Croatia, 15% for the draw and 76% for Spain.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Croatia – Spain played?
The match was played on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stadion Poljud in Split — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Croatia – Spain?
Spain beat Croatia 2-1. Scorers: Ivan Perišić 17', Mikel Merino 61', Mikel Merino 88'.
What is the head-to-head record of Croatia – Spain?
Out of 8 meetings in our data: 2 wins for Croatia, 2 draws and 4 wins for Spain.
Who are the top scorers for Croatia and Spain this season?
L. Modrić (1 goal) for Croatia, Lamine Yamal (4 goals) for Spain (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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