- Stamford Bridge, London
- Referee: Samuel Barrott
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Premier League (Matchday 6): Chelsea – Bournemouth takes place on (UK time), at Stamford Bridge (London). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Chelsea (51%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Chelsea LDLWW, Bournemouth LWDDD. Head-to-head: 1 win for Chelsea, 3 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth in 4 meetings.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI Chelsea – Bournemouth
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Chelsea on 18/09/2026, Bournemouth on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Xabi Alonso (Chelsea) · Marco Rose (Bournemouth)
Fan chat – Chelsea vs Bournemouth
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Premier League · 15:00FlashSport AI
ChelseaDRAWBournemouth
51%22%27%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
ChelseaLDLWWBournemouthLWDDDHead-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Chelsea vs Bournemouth
In 4 meetings, Chelsea leads 1 win to 0, with 3 draws; these matches produced 2.3 goals on average.
Chelsea25%Bournemouth0%In the last 4 meetings between Chelsea and Bournemouth in our data, Chelsea won 1, Bournemouth won 0, and 3 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Chelsea 5, Bournemouth 4.
Latest results between Chelsea and Bournemouth
- Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
- Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
Prediction statistics – Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Over 2.5 goals in 84% of Chelsea and Bournemouth matches on average, against 52% across Premier League.
Competition averages: 50 Premier League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Team profiles – Chelsea and Bournemouth
Chelsea takes 1.4 points per match and Bournemouth 1; Chelsea wins 40% of their matches, Bournemouth 17%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LDLWW | 1.4 |
| Home | DW | 2 |
| Away | LLW | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 4.4 | 5.5 | 3.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 3 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.33 |
| Both teams score | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| xG / match | 1.46 | 1.92 | 1.15 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.76 | 1.4 | 2.01 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWDDD | 1 |
| Home | LDD | 0.67 |
| Away | WDL | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 2.83 | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 1 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| xG / match | 1.34 | 1.57 | 1.01 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.39 | 1.33 | 1.48 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Current form — who will win Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea shows L-D-L-W-W and Bournemouth L-W-D-D-D (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.4LDLWWChelsea is 40% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Chelsea 51% · draw 22% · Bournemouth 27%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1LWDDD- LBrentford – Chelsea3 - 0
- DChelsea – Hull City2 - 2
- LArsenal – Chelsea2 - 1
- WChelsea – Brighton4 - 3
- WFulham – Chelsea2 - 3
- LBournemouth – Liverpool0 - 1
- WReal Sociedad – Bournemouth1 - 2
- DBournemouth – Brentford2 - 2
- DNewcastle – Bournemouth2 - 2
- DBournemouth – Everton1 - 1
Goals scored – Chelsea – Bournemouth: who will score more?
Chelsea scores 2 goals per match and concedes 2.4; Bournemouth scores 1.33 and concedes 1.5.
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 60% | 50% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 20% | 17% |
| Goals scored / match | 2 | 1.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 100% | 50% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.4 | 1.5 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Both teams score in 80% of Chelsea matches and 83% of Bournemouth matches (competition average: 50%).
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 83% | 82% |
| Both score and win | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Both score and draw | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Under X goals
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 60% | 100% | 80% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Corners Chelsea – Bournemouth – how many corners?
Chelsea and Bournemouth matches average 10.7 corners; Chelsea wins 6.6 per match, Bournemouth 4 (competition: 9.4).
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 7 corners | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 8 corners | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 9 corners | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 10 corners | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 11 corners | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 12 corners | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 13 corners | 40% | 17% | 29% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 6.6 | 4 | 5.3 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.35 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 80% | 17% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 40% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 100% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 60% | 50% | 55% |
Competition average: 9.4 corners per match (50 matches). Chelsea: 5 matches with statistics; Bournemouth: 6. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Chelsea score? · Will Bournemouth score?
Scored in 80% of their matchesStrong chance
Bournemouth: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesScored in 83% of their matchesStrong chance
Chelsea: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Cards Chelsea – Bournemouth – how many cards?
4.6 cards per match on average for these two teams; Chelsea receives 1.8, Bournemouth 2.8; referee Samuel Barrott shows 3.
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cards by half
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.8 | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.6 | 3.17 | 3.39 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 100% | 83% | 92% |
Referee: Samuel Barrott — 3 cards and 22.5 fouls per match on average over 5 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Chelsea – Bournemouth
Chelsea leads at the break in 40% of their matches, Bournemouth in 67%.
1.6pts / match at half-timeBournemouth is 46% better at half-time.
2.33pts / match at half-time| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 40% | 67% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 20% | 0% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 40% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 20% | 17% |
| Loses the 1st half | 20% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 60% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 80% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Who will score first in Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Chelsea opened the scoring in 80% of their matches with a goal, Bournemouth in 67%.
ChelseaBournemouthGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Chelsea · total | Chelsea · scored | Chelsea · conceded | Bournemouth · total | Bournemouth · scored | Bournemouth · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 18% | 40% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 5% | 10% | 0% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 14% | 0% | 25% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 14% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
| 41–50 min | 14% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 5% | 0% | 8% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| 61–70 min | 14% | 10% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 5% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 81–90 min | 14% | 0% | 25% | 24% | 0% | 44% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Chelsea · total | Bournemouth · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 23% | 12% |
| 16–30 min | 14% | 12% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 29% |
| 46–60 min | 14% | 24% |
| 61–75 min | 18% | 0% |
| 76–90 min | 14% | 24% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Chelsea – Bournemouth
Chelsea shoots 14.4 times per match (5.2 on target), Bournemouth 13.2 (4.8 on target); average possession 47% against 47%.
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 14.4 | 13.17 | 13.79 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target / match | 5.2 | 4.83 | 5.02 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.6 | 5 | 4.8 |
| Shots per goal scored | 7.2 | 9.88 | 8.54 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| 4+ shots on target | 80% | 67% | 74% |
| 5+ shots on target | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| 6+ shots on target | 60% | 17% | 39% |
| 7+ shots on target | 20% | 17% | 19% |
Offsides and more
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.5 | 2.17 | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Fouls committed / match | 8.6 | 12.17 | 10.39 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 11.8 | 14 | 12.9 |
| Average possession (%) | 47 | 47 | 47 |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Free kicks – Chelsea – Bournemouth
Chelsea matches average 20.4 free kicks, Bournemouth matches 26.2.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 11.8 | 14 | 12.9 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 8.6 | 12.17 | 10.39 |
| Total free kicks / match | 20.4 | 26.17 | 23.29 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 20% | 83% | 52% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 20% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 20% | 33% | 27% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Chelsea: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Bournemouth: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Which players will score in Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Top scorers (Premier League): M. Rogers (3) for Chelsea, M. Tavernier (3) for Bournemouth.
Top scorers – Chelsea
- M. Rogers 3
- Joao Pedro 3
- C. Palmer 2
- P. Neto 1
- R. Lavia 1
- M. Lacroix 0
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Top scorers – Bournemouth
- M. Tavernier 3
- A. Scott 1
- J. Kluivert 1
- D. Petrovic 0
- J. Hill 0
- A. Silva 0
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season (5 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Chelsea
- C. Palmer 1
- M. Rogers 1
- M. Lacroix 1
- Joao Pedro 1
- L. Colwill 1
- W. Fofana 1
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Bournemouth
- A. Smith 3
- A. Silva 2
- M. Tavernier 2
- J. Hill 1
- A. Truffert 1
- A. Scott 1
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Chelsea
- R. Lavia 0.34
- R. James 0.31
- W. Fofana 0.29
- L. Colwill 0.26
- M. Lacroix 0.25
- Joao Pedro 0.25
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Bournemouth
- A. Smith 0.62
- Lewis Cook 0.5
- M. Tavernier 0.42
- A. Silva 0.4
- J. Kluivert 0.3
- Evanilson 0.21
Premier League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Chelsea
- Before this match, Chelsea took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 10 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- Chelsea kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals over that period.
- Chelsea scored in every one of their 2 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 80% of Chelsea matches (5 matches, this season).
Bournemouth
- Before this match, Bournemouth took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Bournemouth has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat.
- Bournemouth kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Bournemouth scored in every one of their 3 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 83% of Bournemouth matches (6 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Chelsea and Bournemouth meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Premier League (Matchday 6), at Stamford Bridge (London).
Chelsea and Bournemouth have met 4 times in our data. Chelsea has 1 win, Bournemouth 0 wins, and 3 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (30/12/2025): Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth.
These meetings produced an average of 2.3 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
This season, Chelsea takes an average of 2 points per home match (2 matches), and Bournemouth 1.33 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 51% for Chelsea, 22% for the draw and 27% for Bournemouth.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Chelsea – Bournemouth played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), at Stamford Bridge in London — Premier League.
Who is the favourite between Chelsea and Bournemouth?
Chelsea goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 51% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of Chelsea matches and 67% of Bournemouth matches. Both teams scored in 80% and 83% of their matches.
What is the head-to-head record of Chelsea – Bournemouth?
Out of 4 meetings in our data: 1 win for Chelsea, 3 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.
Who are the top scorers for Chelsea and Bournemouth this season?
M. Rogers (3 goals) for Chelsea, M. Tavernier (3 goals) for Bournemouth (Premier League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:08.
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