- Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica
- Referee: Jeremie Pignard
- Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Nations League (League B - 4): Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1-0 on . Scorer: Ivan Bašić 84' (pen.). Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Poland (40%). Head-to-head: 0 wins for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1 draw and 0 wins for Poland in 1 meeting.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland
UEFA Nations League: Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1-0 (0-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Bosnia & Herzegovina — Ivan Bašić (84', pen.).
Possession 44% – 56%, shots 9 – 18.
- 32'Armin GigovicYellow card · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 38'Nicola ZalewskiYellow card · Poland
- 42'Ermedin DemirovićYellow card · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 63'N. Wojtuszek ↑ Matty Cash ↓Substitution · Poland
- 63'M. Reguła ↑ Karol Świderski ↓Substitution · Poland
- 63'E. Bajraktarevic ↑ Zinedin Smajlovic ↓Substitution · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 63'B. Tahirović ↑ Ermin Mahmić ↓Substitution · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 76'Ermedin DemirovićVAR · Pénalty confirmé
- 76'Nikola KatićYellow card · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 78'S. Baždar ↑ Haris Tabaković ↓Substitution · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 78'J. Lukić ↑ Ermedin Demirović ↓Substitution · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 83'Jovo LukićVAR · But annulé
- 83'Jan BednarekYellow card · Poland
- 84'Ivan Bašić (pen.)Penalty goal · Bosnia & Herzegovina1-0
- 89'K. UrbaÅski ↑ Wiktor Nowak ↓Substitution · Poland
- 89'O. Pietuszewski ↑ Mateusz Zukowski ↓Substitution · Poland
- 89'S. Radeljić ↑ Armin Gigovic ↓Substitution · Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 90'+1Norbert WojtuszekYellow card · Poland
Match stats – Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
- 9Total shots18
- 1Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target7
- 4Blocked shots7
- 5Shots inside box10
- 4Shots outside box8
- 2Corners8
- 4Offsides1
- 12Fouls7
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves1
- 359Passes442
- 302Accurate passes373
Official lineups Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: S. Barbarez (Bosnia & Herzegovina) · J. Urban (Poland)
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UEFA Nations League · 19:45FlashSport AI
Bosnia & HerzegovinaDRAWPoland
32%28%40%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
Bosnia & HerzegovinaDWDLWPolandWLDHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
In 1 meeting, Bosnia & Herzegovina leads 0 wins to 0, with 1 draw; these matches produced 0 goals on average.
Bosnia & Herzegovina0%Poland0%In the last 1 meetings between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland in our data, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0, Poland won 0, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0, Poland 0.
Latest results between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland
- Poland0 - 0Bosnia & Herzegovina
Prediction statistics – Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
Over 2.5 goals in 55% of Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland matches on average, against 48% across UEFA Nations League.
Competition averages: 83 UEFA Nations League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Team profiles – Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina takes 1.29 points per match and Poland 1.33; Bosnia & Herzegovina wins 29% of their matches, Poland 33%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWDLW | 1.29 |
| Home | DW | 2 |
| Away | WDLLD | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 29% | 50% | 20% |
| Total goals / match | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.43 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.57 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 0% | 40% |
| xG / match | 0.45 | 0.4 | 0.48 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.21 | 0.91 | 1.4 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLD | 1.33 |
| Home | WD | 2 |
| Away | L | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.33 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.33 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
last 3 available matches.
Current form — who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Bosnia & Herzegovina shows D-W-D-L-W over their last 5 matches and Poland W-L-D over their last 3 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.29DWDLWPoland is 3% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Bosnia & Herzegovina 32% · draw 28% · Poland 40%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
1.33WLD- DBosnia & Herzegovina – Sweden1 - 1
- WRomania – Bosnia & Herzegovina2 - 4
- DPoland – Bosnia & Herzegovina0 - 0
- LUSA – Bosnia & Herzegovina2 - 0
- WBosnia & Herzegovina – Qatar3 - 1
- WPoland – Romania6 - 0
- LSweden – Poland3 - 1
- DPoland – Bosnia & Herzegovina0 - 0
Goals scored – Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland: who will score more?
Bosnia & Herzegovina scores 1.43 goals per match and concedes 1.57; Poland scores 2.33 and concedes 1.
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 71% | 67% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 29% | 33% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 29% | 33% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 14% | 33% |
| Fails to score | 29% | 33% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.43 | 2.33 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 86% | 33% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 43% | 33% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 14% | 33% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 14% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 67% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.57 | 1 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Both teams score in 71% of Bosnia & Herzegovina matches and 33% of Poland matches (competition average: 47%).
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Both score and win | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Both score and draw | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 43% | 33% | 38% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Under X goals
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 33% | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 33% | 45% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 67% | 69% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Corners Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland – how many corners?
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland matches average 7.7 corners; Bosnia & Herzegovina wins 3.6 per match, Poland 4.7 (competition: 8.5).
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 71% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 7 corners | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 8 corners | 43% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 9 corners | 43% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 10 corners | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 11 corners | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 12 corners | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 3.57 | 4.67 | 4.12 |
| Corners conceded / match | 4.57 | 2.67 | 3.62 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 43% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 14% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 43% | 0% | 22% |
Competition average: 8.5 corners per match (83 matches). Bosnia & Herzegovina: 7 matches with statistics; Poland: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina score? · Will Poland score?
Scored in 71% of their matchesMedium chance
Poland: clean sheet in 67% of their matchesScored in 67% of their matchesStrong chance
Bosnia & Herzegovina: clean sheet in 14% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Cards Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland – how many cards?
4.9 cards per match on average for these two teams; Bosnia & Herzegovina receives 2.5, Poland 2.7; referee Jeremie Pignard shows 4.3.
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 17% | 67% | 42% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Cards by half
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.83 | 1 | 0.92 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 2 | 1.67 | 1.84 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.17 | 3 | 2.09 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Referee: Jeremie Pignard — 4.3 cards and 21.4 fouls per match on average over 9 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.2 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina leads at the break in 43% of their matches, Poland in 33%.
1.71pts / match at half-timeBosnia & Herzegovina is 2% better at half-time.
1.67pts / match at half-time| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 43% | 33% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 14% | 33% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 43% | 67% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 43% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 14% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 43% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 29% | 33% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Who will score first in Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Bosnia & Herzegovina opened the scoring in 50% of their matches with a goal, Poland in 50%.
Bosnia & HerzegovinaPolandGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Bosnia & Herzegovina · total | Bosnia & Herzegovina · scored | Bosnia & Herzegovina · conceded | Poland · total | Poland · scored | Poland · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| 11–20 min | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 14% | 20% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 10% | 0% | 18% | 30% | 43% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 5% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 10% | 0% | 18% | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| 71–80 min | 19% | 20% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| 81–90 min | 24% | 10% | 36% | 10% | 14% | 0% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Bosnia & Herzegovina · total | Poland · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 5% | 10% |
| 16–30 min | 19% | 10% |
| 31–45 min | 19% | 10% |
| 46–60 min | 5% | 20% |
| 61–75 min | 14% | 40% |
| 76–90 min | 38% | 10% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina shoots 9.3 times per match (3.4 on target), Poland 18.7 (6.7 on target); average possession 46% against 57%.
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 9.29 | 18.67 | 13.98 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target / match | 3.43 | 6.67 | 5.05 |
| Shots off target / match | 3.29 | 7.33 | 5.31 |
| Shots per goal scored | 6.5 | 8 | 7.25 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 14% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| 4+ shots on target | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| 5+ shots on target | 29% | 67% | 48% |
| 6+ shots on target | 14% | 67% | 41% |
| 7+ shots on target | 14% | 67% | 41% |
Offsides and more
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 0.43 | 1 | 0.72 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13.43 | 12 | 12.72 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 11.71 | 12 | 11.86 |
| Average possession (%) | 46 | 57 | 51.5 |
| Draws | 43% | 33% | 38% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Free kicks – Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina matches average 25.1 free kicks, Poland matches 24.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 11.71 | 12 | 11.86 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13.43 | 12 | 12.72 |
| Total free kicks / match | 25.14 | 24 | 24.57 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 57% | 33% | 45% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 43% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 29% | 33% | 31% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Poland: last 3 available matches.
Which players will score in Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Top scorers (UEFA Nations League): Tarik Muharemović (1) for Bosnia & Herzegovina, R. Lewandowski (3) for Poland.
Top scorers – Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Tarik Muharemović 1
- Kerim Alajbegović 1
- H. Tabaković 1
- Armin Gigović 1
- Ermin Mahmić 1
- Nikola Katić 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Top scorers – Poland
- R. Lewandowski 3
- J. Bednarek 1
- S. Szymański 1
- P. Zieliński 1
- M. Bułka 0
- N. Zalewski 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season (3 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Tarik Muharemović 1
- Kerim Alajbegović 1
- Sead Kolašinac 1
- Amar Memić 1
- Ermin Mahmić 1
- I. Šunjić 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Poland
- R. Lewandowski 2
- J. Bednarek 1
- P. Zieliński 1
- M. Cash 1
- J. Kiwior 1
- K. Świderski 1
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Amar Memić 0.4
- Kerim Alajbegović 0.34
- Sead Kolašinac 0.34
- Tarik Muharemović 0.33
- Nikola Katić 0
- Ivan Bašić 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Poland
- J. Kiwior 0.4
- M. Cash 0.39
- P. Zieliński 0.38
- J. Bednarek 0.33
- M. Bułka 0
- S. Szymański 0
UEFA Nations League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Before this match, Bosnia & Herzegovina took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Bosnia & Herzegovina has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina scored in every one of their 2 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 71% of Bosnia & Herzegovina matches (7 matches, this season).
Poland
- Before this match, Poland took 4 points from their last 3 matches (1.33 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 1 of them.
- Over their last 3 matches, Poland has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat.
- Poland kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 3 matches and conceded 3 goals over that period.
- Both teams scored in 33% of Poland matches (3 matches, recent form).
Match analysis
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland meet on Monday, 5 October 2026 — UEFA Nations League (League B - 4), at Stadion Bilino Polje (Zenica).
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland have met 1 time in our data. Bosnia & Herzegovina has 0 wins, Poland 0 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Last meeting (25/09/2026): Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
These meetings produced an average of 0 goals per match, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
This season, Bosnia & Herzegovina takes an average of 2 points per home match (2 matches), and Poland 0 points per away match (1 match).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 32% for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 28% for the draw and 40% for Poland.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland played?
The match was played on Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), at Stadion Bilino Polje in Zenica — UEFA Nations League.
Who won Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1-0. Scorer: Ivan Bašić 84' (pen.).
What is the head-to-head record of Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 0 wins for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1 draw and 0 wins for Poland.
Who are the top scorers for Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland this season?
Tarik Muharemović (1 goal) for Bosnia & Herzegovina, R. Lewandowski (3 goals) for Poland (UEFA Nations League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:21.
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