- Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
- Referee: Ramon Abatti
- Friday, 9 October 2026 at 00:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 29): Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG drew 2-2 on . Scorers: Kerwin Vargas 8', Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte 27', Kevin Viveros 90'+3, Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović 90'+7. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Atletico Paranaense (46%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
Serie A: Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG drew 2-2 (1-1 at half-time).
Scorers: Atletico Paranaense — Kerwin Vargas (8'), Kevin Viveros (90'+3); Atletico-MG — Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte (27'), Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović (90'+7).
Sending-off: Tomás Pérez (Atletico-MG, 73').
Possession 51% – 49%, shots 31 – 15, expected goals (xG) 2.67 – 1.74.
Player of the match: Gabriel Delfim (Atletico-MG), rated 8.3.
- 8'Kerwin Vargas (assist: Gilberto)Goal · Atletico Paranaense1-0
- 27'Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteGoal · Atletico-MG1-1
- 38'Victor Hugo Gomes Silva ↑ Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos ↓Substitution · Atletico-MG
- 61'Claudinho ↑ Gilberto ↓Substitution · Atletico Paranaense
- 61'Leonardo Caetano Silva ↑ João Victor Machado Cruz ↓Substitution · Atletico Paranaense
- 64'ClaudinhoVAR · But annulé
- 67'Tomás CuelloYellow card · Atletico-MG
- 67'Tomás Pérez ↑ Maycon de Andrade Barberan ↓Substitution · Atletico-MG
- 68'Kevin Castaño ↑ Mamady Cisse ↓Substitution · Atletico-MG
- 72'Tomás PérezVAR · Card upgrade confirmed
- 73'Tomás PérezRed card · Atletico-MG
- 74'Kevin CastañoYellow card · Atletico-MG
- 76'Thiago Borbas ↑ Reinier Jesus Carvalho ↓Substitution · Atletico-MG
- 76'Igor Gomes ↑ Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte ↓Substitution · Atletico-MG
- 81'Bruno Zapelli ↑ Luiz Gustavo ↓Substitution · Atletico Paranaense
- 81'jorge rivaldo ↑ Carlos Teran ↓Substitution · Atletico Paranaense
- 90'Gilberto Junior ↑ Lucas Esquivel ↓Substitution · Atletico Paranaense
- 90'+3Kevin ViverosGoal · Atletico Paranaense2-1
- 90'+7Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović (assist: Thiago Borbas)Goal · Atletico-MG2-2
Match stats – Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
- 2.67Expected goals (xG)1.74
- 31Total shots15
- 10Shots on target9
- 13Shots off target5
- 8Blocked shots1
- 17Shots inside box7
- 14Shots outside box8
- 10Corners4
- 0Offsides1
- 13Fouls11
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 7Goalkeeper saves8
- 501Passes489
- 440Accurate passes427
Player ratings – Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG

Atletico Paranaense
- 18K. Vargas8.2
- 9K. Viveros8.1
- 37L. Esquivel8.0
- 1Mycael7.7
- 21Leozinho7.1
- 16Jádson7.0
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto6.9
- 4Arthur Dias6.8
- 14Luiz Gustavo6.7
- 12Gilberto6.5
- 7S. Mendoza6.5
- 22C. Terán6.4
- 8João Cruz6.3
- 26Claudinho6.2
- 2Gilberto6.1
- 10B. Zapelli5.8
- 47Chiqueti0.0
- 5Felipinho0.0
- 53Dudu0.0
- 23Santos0.0
- 70Renan0.0
- 3Léo0.0
- 63Diogo Riquelme0.0
Atletico-MG
- 1Gabriel Delfim8.3
- 11Bernard8.2
- 13Lyanco7.2
- 6Renan Lodi6.9
- 2Natanael6.8
- 18T. Borbas6.8
- 40Vitão6.7
- 7Fred6.6
- 30Victor Hugo6.5
- 19Reinier6.4
- 15K. Castaño6.4
- 8Maycon6.3
- 39Mamady Cisse6.3
- 28T. Cuello6.3
- 17Igor Gomes6.1
- 25T. Pérez5.2
- 3Léo Duarte0.0
- 92Dudu0.0
- 36K. Pascini0.0
- 31Robert0.0
- 14Vitor Hugo0.0
- 5Alexsander0.0
Player ratings provided by the official match data.
Official lineups Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Odair Hellmann (Atletico Paranaense) · E. Domínguez (Atletico-MG)
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Latest matches
Head-to-head (H2H) last 10 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
In 10 meetings, Atletico Paranaense leads 3 wins to 6, with 1 draw; these matches produced 2.5 goals on average.
In the last 10 meetings between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG in our data, Atletico Paranaense won 3, Atletico-MG won 6, and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals: Atletico Paranaense 11, Atletico-MG 14.
Latest results between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG
- Atletico-MG2 - 1Atletico Paranaense
- Atletico-MG1 - 0Atletico Paranaense
- Atletico Paranaense1 - 0Atletico-MG
- Atletico Paranaense1 - 1Atletico-MG
- Atletico-MG2 - 1Atletico Paranaense
- Atletico-MG2 - 1Atletico Paranaense
- Atletico Paranaense2 - 1Atletico-MG
- Atletico-MG2 - 3Atletico Paranaense
- Atletico Paranaense0 - 1Atletico-MG
- Atletico Paranaense1 - 2Atletico-MG
Prediction statistics – Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
Over 2.5 goals in 48% of Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 286 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Team profiles – Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense takes 1.75 points per match and Atletico-MG 1.54; Atletico Paranaense wins 50% of their matches, Atletico-MG 43%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDLDW | 1.75 |
| Home | WDDWW | 2.21 |
| Away | DLWWD | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 50% | 64% | 36% |
| Total goals / match | 2.68 | 2.57 | 2.79 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 0.79 | 1.5 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 36% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| xG / match | 1.34 | 1.7 | 0.96 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.13 | 0.77 | 1.5 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWLW | 1.54 |
| Home | WDWWW | 2.07 |
| Away | LDDWW | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Total goals / match | 2.46 | 2.86 | 2.07 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.32 | 1.71 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 64% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 7% | 57% |
| xG / match | 1.32 | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.16 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Current form — who will win Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense shows W-D-L-D-W and Atletico-MG W-D-W-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
Atletico Paranaense is 14% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Atletico Paranaense 46% · draw 29% · Atletico-MG 25%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
- WAtletico Paranaense – Bahia2 - 1
- DCoritiba – Atletico Paranaense3 - 3
- LCruzeiro – Atletico Paranaense3 - 1
- DAtletico Paranaense – Fluminense3 - 3
- WBotafogo – Atletico Paranaense2 - 3
- WAtletico-MG – RB Bragantino1 - 0
- DAtletico-MG – Chapecoense-sc1 - 1
- WAtletico-MG – Fluminense3 - 1
- LSao Paulo – Atletico-MG2 - 0
- WAtletico-MG – Vitoria2 - 1
Goals scored – Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG: who will score more?
Atletico Paranaense scores 1.54 goals per match and concedes 1.14; Atletico-MG scores 1.32 and concedes 1.14.
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 79% | 68% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 54% | 39% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 18% | 21% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 4% | 4% |
| Fails to score | 21% | 32% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.54 | 1.32 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 71% | 75% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 25% | 29% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 18% | 7% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 4% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 25% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 1.14 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Both teams score in 57% of Atletico Paranaense matches and 46% of Atletico-MG matches (competition average: 60%).
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 93% | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 75% | 68% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 46% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 4% | 11% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 46% | 52% |
| Both score and win | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Both score and draw | 18% | 21% | 20% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 46% | 36% | 41% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 4% | 11% | 8% |
Under X goals
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 7% | 4% | 6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 32% | 29% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% | 52% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 71% | 73% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 96% | 89% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Corners Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG – how many corners?
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG matches average 10.3 corners; Atletico Paranaense wins 4.7 per match, Atletico-MG 5 (competition: 10.4).
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 93% | 86% | 90% |
| Over 7 corners | 89% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 8 corners | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 9 corners | 61% | 64% | 63% |
| Over 10 corners | 36% | 46% | 41% |
| Over 11 corners | 25% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 12 corners | 18% | 25% | 22% |
| Over 13 corners | 11% | 25% | 18% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4.71 | 5 | 4.86 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.39 | 5.57 | 5.48 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 71% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 54% | 68% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 46% | 57% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 64% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 50% | 61% | 56% |
Competition average: 10.4 corners per match (286 matches). Atletico Paranaense: 28 matches with statistics; Atletico-MG: 28. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Atletico Paranaense score? · Will Atletico-MG score?
Strong chance
Medium chance
Chance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Cards Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG – how many cards?
4.5 cards per match on average for these two teams; Atletico Paranaense receives 2.2, Atletico-MG 1.9; referee Ramon Abatti shows 3.
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 85% | 64% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 78% | 39% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 59% | 32% | 46% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 44% | 21% | 33% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 22% | 11% | 17% |
Cards by half
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.19 | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 2.11 | 1.14 | 1.63 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.89 | 2.79 | 2.84 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 26% | 21% | 24% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 67% | 68% | 68% |
Referee: Ramon Abatti — 3 cards and 24 fouls per match on average over 1 match in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense leads at the break in 32% of their matches, Atletico-MG in 39%.
Atletico-MG is 15% better at half-time.
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 32% | 39% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 39% | 25% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 39% | 39% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 39% | 39% |
| Loses the 1st half | 29% | 21% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 21% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 46% | 25% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Who will score first in Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Atletico Paranaense opened the scoring in 58% of their matches with a goal, Atletico-MG in 56%.
Goals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico Paranaense · total | Atletico Paranaense · scored | Atletico Paranaense · conceded | Atletico-MG · total | Atletico-MG · scored | Atletico-MG · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 12% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| 11–20 min | 13% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 3% |
| 21–30 min | 9% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 6% |
| 31–40 min | 8% | 5% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 9% |
| 41–50 min | 13% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| 51–60 min | 8% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| 61–70 min | 5% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 24% | 16% |
| 71–80 min | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 6% |
| 81–90 min | 21% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 31% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico Paranaense · total | Atletico-MG · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 21% | 9% |
| 16–30 min | 13% | 16% |
| 31–45 min | 17% | 19% |
| 46–60 min | 12% | 7% |
| 61–75 min | 9% | 26% |
| 76–90 min | 27% | 23% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense shoots 12.3 times per match (4.9 on target), Atletico-MG 13.4 (4.6 on target); average possession 47% against 49%.
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 12.29 | 13.43 | 12.86 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 13 | 10 | 11.5 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.93 | 4.64 | 4.79 |
| Shots off target / match | 4.71 | 5.07 | 4.89 |
| Shots per goal scored | 8 | 10.16 | 9.08 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 68% | 71% | 70% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 50% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 43% | 54% | 49% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 39% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 29% | 46% | 38% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| 4+ shots on target | 71% | 64% | 68% |
| 5+ shots on target | 54% | 46% | 50% |
| 6+ shots on target | 36% | 32% | 34% |
| 7+ shots on target | 21% | 25% | 23% |
Offsides and more
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.77 | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 19% | 28% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13.82 | 11.64 | 12.73 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 12.18 | 14.46 | 13.32 |
| Average possession (%) | 47 | 49 | 48 |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Free kicks – Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense matches average 26 free kicks, Atletico-MG matches 26.1.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Atletico Paranaense | Atletico-MG | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 12.18 | 14.46 | 13.32 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13.82 | 11.64 | 12.73 |
| Total free kicks / match | 26 | 26.11 | 26.06 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 93% | 82% | 88% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 75% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 64% | 68% | 66% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 50% | 61% | 56% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 43% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 39% | 43% | 41% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Paranaense: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches; Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 28 matches.
Which players will score in Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Top scorers (Serie A): K. Viveros (18) for Atletico Paranaense, T. Cuello (5) for Atletico-MG.
Who will get a card?
Cards per 90 minutes
The teams in numbers
Atletico Paranaense
- Before this match, Atletico Paranaense took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 12 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
- Atletico Paranaense kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals over that period.
- At home, Atletico Paranaense wins 64% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.79 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 57% of Atletico Paranaense matches (28 matches, this season).
Atletico-MG
- Before this match, Atletico-MG took 10 points from their last 5 matches (2 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atletico-MG has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.
- Atletico-MG kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Atletico-MG wins 29% of their matches (14 played) and scores 0.93 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 46% of Atletico-MG matches (28 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG meet on Friday, 9 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 29), at Arena da Baixada (Curitiba).
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG have met 10 times in our data. Atletico Paranaense has 3 wins, Atletico-MG 6 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Last meeting (05/04/2026): Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense.
These meetings produced an average of 2.5 goals per match, and both teams scored in 70% of them.
This season, Atletico Paranaense takes an average of 2.21 points per home match (14 matches), and Atletico-MG 1 point per away match (14 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 46% for Atletico Paranaense, 29% for the draw and 25% for Atletico-MG.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG played?
The match was played on Friday, 9 October 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), at Arena da Baixada in Curitiba — Serie A.
Who won Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG drew 2-2. Scorers: Kerwin Vargas 8', Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte 27', Kevin Viveros 90'+3, Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović 90'+7.
What is the head-to-head record of Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG?
Out of 10 meetings in our data: 3 wins for Atletico Paranaense, 1 draw and 6 wins for Atletico-MG.
Who are the top scorers for Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG this season?
K. Viveros (18 goals) for Atletico Paranaense, T. Cuello (5 goals) for Atletico-MG (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,807 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:52.
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