- Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta
- Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano
- Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Serie A (Matchday 30): Atletico-MG – Santos takes place on (UK time), at Arena MRV (Bello Harisanta). Recent form (last 5 matches): Atletico-MG DWDWL, Santos DWWWW. Head-to-head: 0 wins for Atletico-MG, 0 draws and 1 win for Santos in 1 meeting.
Last starting XI Atletico-MG – Santos
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Atletico-MG on 09/10/2026, Santos on 08/10/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: E. Domínguez (Atletico-MG) · Cuca (Santos)
The AI built for football.
A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.
Serie A · 20:00FlashSport AI
Atletico-MGDRAWSantos
The AI analysis of this match will be published the day before kick-off.
Pick a question about Atletico-MG – Santos: I’ll answer straight away with the AI’s numbers.
Basic questions free · your own questions with FlashSport PRO
Discover the AI prediction for Atletico-MG – Santos
Your AI prediction is free every day! Download FlashSport to see our AI’s pick for this match.
See my AI prediction for freeWant more? Go FlashSport PRO
Unlock AI predictions for all covered matches and get in-depth analysis.
Discover PRO and its benefitsFree download • Android and iPhone • 25 free credits on signup
Latest matches
Atletico-MGDWDWLSantosDWWWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 1 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Atletico-MG vs Santos
In 1 meeting, Atletico-MG leads 0 wins to 1, with 0 draws; these matches produced 1 goals on average.
Atletico-MG0%Santos100%In the last 1 meetings between Atletico-MG and Santos in our data, Atletico-MG won 0, Santos won 1, and 0 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Atletico-MG 0, Santos 1.
Latest results between Atletico-MG and Santos
- Santos1 - 0Atletico-MG
Prediction statistics – Atletico-MG vs Santos
Over 2.5 goals in 57% of Atletico-MG and Santos matches on average, against 52% across Serie A.
Competition averages: 289 Serie A 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Team profiles – Atletico-MG and Santos
Atletico-MG takes 1.52 points per match and Santos 1.45; Atletico-MG wins 41% of their matches, Santos 38%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWDWL | 1.52 |
| Home | WDWWW | 2.07 |
| Away | DLDDW | 1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 41% | 57% | 27% |
| Total goals / match | 2.52 | 2.86 | 2.2 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.34 | 1.71 | 1 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.2 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 64% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 7% | 53% |
| xG / match | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.15 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.26 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWWWW | 1.45 |
| Home | DWDLD | 1.53 |
| Away | WWWWW | 1.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 38% | 40% | 36% |
| Total goals / match | 3.03 | 2.8 | 3.29 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.64 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| Both teams score | 72% | 67% | 79% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 20% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 13% | 7% |
| xG / match | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.25 | 0.94 | 1.59 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Current form — who will win Atletico-MG – Santos?
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico-MG shows D-W-D-W-L and Santos D-W-W-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.52DWDWLAtletico-MG is 5% better on points per match.
1.45DWWWW- DAtletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG2 - 2
- WAtletico-MG – RB Bragantino1 - 0
- DAtletico-MG – Chapecoense-sc1 - 1
- WAtletico-MG – Fluminense3 - 1
- LSao Paulo – Atletico-MG2 - 0
- DSantos – Flamengo2 - 2
- WSao Paulo – Santos1 - 2
- WRemo – Santos1 - 2
- WSantos – Cruzeiro2 - 1
- WInternacional – Santos2 - 3
Goals scored – Atletico-MG – Santos: who will score more?
Atletico-MG scores 1.34 goals per match and concedes 1.17; Santos scores 1.55 and concedes 1.48.
| Atletico-MG | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 69% | 90% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 41% | 55% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 21% | 10% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 3% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 31% | 10% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.34 | 1.55 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Atletico-MG | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 76% | 79% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 31% | 48% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 7% | 17% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 3% | 3% |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 21% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.17 | 1.48 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Atletico-MG – Santos?
Both teams score in 48% of Atletico-MG matches and 72% of Santos matches (competition average: 60%).
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 97% | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 69% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 66% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 34% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 3% | 14% | 9% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 72% | 60% |
| Both score and win | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Both score and draw | 24% | 28% | 26% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 38% | 59% | 49% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 9% |
Under X goals
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 10% | 21% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 34% | 43% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 66% | 68% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 97% | 86% | 92% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Corners Atletico-MG – Santos – how many corners?
Atletico-MG and Santos matches average 10.6 corners; Atletico-MG wins 5 per match, Santos 5.3 (competition: 10.4).
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 7 corners | 76% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 8 corners | 76% | 79% | 78% |
| Over 9 corners | 66% | 66% | 66% |
| Over 10 corners | 48% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 11 corners | 38% | 34% | 36% |
| Over 12 corners | 28% | 24% | 26% |
| Over 13 corners | 28% | 10% | 19% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4.97 | 5.34 | 5.15 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.72 | 5.07 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 76% | 76% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 69% | 66% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 83% | 79% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 72% | 69% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 62% | 55% | 59% |
Competition average: 10.4 corners per match (289 matches). Atletico-MG: 29 matches with statistics; Santos: 29. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Atletico-MG score? · Will Santos score?
Scored in 69% of their matchesMedium chance
Santos: clean sheet in 21% of their matchesScored in 90% of their matchesStrong chance
Atletico-MG: clean sheet in 24% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Cards Atletico-MG – Santos – how many cards?
4.8 cards per match on average for these two teams; Atletico-MG receives 1.9, Santos 3.2; referee Alex Gomes Stefano shows 4.6.
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 66% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 38% | 83% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 31% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 21% | 52% | 37% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 10% | 38% | 24% |
Cards by half
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.48 | 1.31 | 0.9 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.38 | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.1 | 2.34 | 1.72 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.79 | 3.28 | 3.04 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 21% | 38% | 30% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 69% | 48% | 59% |
Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano — 4.6 cards and 26.9 fouls per match on average over 7 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.9 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Atletico-MG – Santos
Atletico-MG leads at the break in 38% of their matches, Santos in 34%.
1.55pts / match at half-timeAtletico-MG is 5% better at half-time.
1.48pts / match at half-time| Atletico-MG | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 38% | 34% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 24% | 38% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 41% | 45% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 41% | 21% |
| Loses the 1st half | 21% | 21% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 34% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 72% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 28% | 45% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Who will score first in Atletico-MG – Santos?
Atletico-MG opened the scoring in 54% of their matches with a goal, Santos in 61%.
Atletico-MGSantosGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico-MG · total | Atletico-MG · scored | Atletico-MG · conceded | Santos · total | Santos · scored | Santos · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 8% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| 11–20 min | 7% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 9% |
| 21–30 min | 11% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 7% |
| 31–40 min | 11% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 9% |
| 41–50 min | 7% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| 51–60 min | 7% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 7% |
| 61–70 min | 19% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| 71–80 min | 8% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| 81–90 min | 22% | 13% | 32% | 19% | 16% | 23% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico-MG · total | Santos · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 10% | 6% |
| 16–30 min | 16% | 16% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 22% |
| 46–60 min | 7% | 15% |
| 61–75 min | 25% | 16% |
| 76–90 min | 25% | 26% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Atletico-MG – Santos
Atletico-MG shoots 13.5 times per match (4.8 on target), Santos 13.4 (4.1 on target); average possession 49% against 50%.
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 13.48 | 13.41 | 13.45 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.79 | 4.07 | 4.43 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.07 | 5.17 | 5.12 |
| Shots per goal scored | 10.03 | 8.64 | 9.34 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 72% | 66% | 69% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 59% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 55% | 45% | 50% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 52% | 38% | 45% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 48% | 34% | 41% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 28% | 34% | 31% |
| 4+ shots on target | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| 5+ shots on target | 48% | 28% | 38% |
| 6+ shots on target | 34% | 14% | 24% |
| 7+ shots on target | 28% | 14% | 21% |
Offsides and more
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.88 | 2.08 | 1.98 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 27% | 32% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 12% | 16% | 14% |
| Fouls committed / match | 11.62 | 12.97 | 12.3 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 14.41 | 13.14 | 13.78 |
| Average possession (%) | 49 | 50 | 49.5 |
| Draws | 28% | 31% | 30% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Free kicks – Atletico-MG – Santos
Atletico-MG matches average 26 free kicks, Santos matches 26.1.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Atletico-MG | Santos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 14.41 | 13.14 | 13.78 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 11.62 | 12.97 | 12.3 |
| Total free kicks / match | 26.03 | 26.1 | 26.07 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 79% | 83% | 81% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 69% | 79% | 74% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 62% | 66% | 64% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 55% | 62% | 59% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 41% | 45% | 43% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico-MG: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches; Santos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 29 matches.
Which players will score in Atletico-MG – Santos?
Top scorers (Serie A): T. Cuello (5) for Atletico-MG, Gabriel Barbosa (13) for Santos.
Top scorers – Atletico-MG
- T. Cuello 5
- Victor Hugo 4
- Bernard 4
- Reinier 4
- Mateo Cassierra 3
- Ruan 2
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (29 matches).
Top scorers – Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa 13
- Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior 8
- Á. Barreal 5
- Benjamín Rollheiser 4
- C. Oliva 2
- Thaciano 2
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season (29 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Atletico-MG
- Ruan 7
- Renan Lodi 5
- Alan Franco 5
- Lyanco 5
- Ángelo Preciado 4
- T. Cuello 3
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Santos
- G. Escobar 8
- Gabriel Barbosa 8
- Á. Barreal 8
- Gustavo Henrique Pereira 8
- Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior 8
- Luan Peres 6
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Atletico-MG
- Kevin Castaño 0.84
- Iván Román 0.61
- Lyanco 0.55
- Ángelo Preciado 0.49
- Fred 0.45
- Ruan 0.36
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Santos
- Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior 0.66
- Gustavo Henrique Pereira 0.64
- Á. Barreal 0.48
- Gabriel Barbosa 0.45
- Mayke 0.41
- G. Escobar 0.37
Serie A statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Atletico-MG
- Before this match, Atletico-MG took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atletico-MG has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
- Atletico-MG kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- At home, Atletico-MG wins 57% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.71 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 48% of Atletico-MG matches (29 matches, this season).
Santos
- Before this match, Santos took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 11 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Santos is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Santos kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Santos wins 36% of their matches (14 played) and scores 1.64 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 72% of Santos matches (29 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Atletico-MG and Santos meet on Sunday, 11 October 2026 — Serie A (Matchday 30), at Arena MRV (Bello Harisanta).
Atletico-MG and Santos have met 1 time in our data. Atletico-MG has 0 wins, Santos 1 win, and 0 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (12/04/2026): Santos 1 - 0 Atletico-MG.
These meetings produced an average of 1 goals per match, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
This season, Atletico-MG takes an average of 2.07 points per home match (14 matches), and Santos 1.36 points per away match (14 matches).
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Atletico-MG – Santos played?
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), at Arena MRV in Bello Harisanta — Serie A.
How many goals can we expect in Atletico-MG – Santos?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 48% of Atletico-MG matches and 66% of Santos matches. Both teams scored in 48% and 72% of their matches.
What is the head-to-head record of Atletico-MG – Santos?
Out of 1 meeting in our data: 0 wins for Atletico-MG, 0 draws and 1 win for Santos.
Who are the top scorers for Atletico-MG and Santos this season?
T. Cuello (5 goals) for Atletico-MG, Gabriel Barbosa (13 goals) for Santos (Serie A).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:56.
All the analysis in the app
Follow your favourite teams, find lineups, statistics and standings, plus our model’s statistical reading of matches when the data allows: it’s all in the FlashSport app.
For ages 18 and over only, under our Terms of Use.