- Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
- Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
- Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)
Key facts
La Liga (Matchday 7): Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid 2-1 on . Scorers: A. Grimaldo 53' (pen.), J. David 59', A. Rudiger 89'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for Real Madrid (45%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
La Liga: Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid 2-1 (0-0 at half-time).
Scorers: Atletico Madrid — A. Grimaldo (53', pen.), J. David (59'); Real Madrid — A. Rudiger (89').
Sending-off: Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid, 52').
Possession 61% – 39%, shots 18 – 8, expected goals (xG) 2.35 – 0.3.
- 35'Marc PubillYellow card · Atletico Madrid
- 38'Cristian RomeroYellow card · Atletico Madrid
- 38'Cristian RomeroVAR · Card upgrade
- 46'Koke ↑ M. Pubill ↓Substitution · Atletico Madrid
- 49'Denzel DumfriesYellow card · Real Madrid
- 51'Dean HuijsenVAR · Card upgrade
- 52'Dean HuijsenRed card · Real Madrid
- 53'A. Grimaldo (pen.)Penalty goal · Atletico Madrid1-0
- 54'A. Rudiger ↑ A. Guler ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 54'Y. Diomande ↑ Vinicius Junior ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 59'J. David (assist: G. Simeone)Goal · Atletico Madrid2-0
- 62'J. Alvarez ↑ J. David ↓Substitution · Atletico Madrid
- 67'A. Lookman ↑ A. Baena ↓Substitution · Atletico Madrid
- 71'E. Camavinga ↑ A. Tchouameni ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 78'Jude BellinghamYellow card · Real Madrid
- 82'B. Silva ↑ J. Bellingham ↓Substitution · Real Madrid
- 89'R. Le Normand ↑ C. Romero ↓Substitution · Atletico Madrid
- 89'M. Hjulmand ↑ Lee Kang-In ↓Substitution · Atletico Madrid
- 89'A. Rudiger (assist: B. Silva)Goal · Real Madrid2-1
Match stats – Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
- 2.35Expected goals (xG)0.3
- 18Total shots8
- 9Shots on target3
- 4Shots off target4
- 5Blocked shots1
- 13Shots inside box3
- 5Shots outside box5
- 3Corners1
- 2Offsides2
- 19Fouls6
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 2Goalkeeper saves5
- 618Passes393
- 556Accurate passes337
- 90%Pass accuracy86%
- 0.87Goals prevented0.87
Official lineups Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Diego Simeone (Atletico Madrid) · Jose Mourinho (Real Madrid)
The AI built for football.
A football AI that gives the chances for every match and answers your questions.
La Liga · 15:15FlashSport AI
Atletico MadridDRAWReal Madrid
31%24%45%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Pick a question about Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid: I’ll answer straight away with the AI’s numbers.
Basic questions free · your own questions with FlashSport PRO
Discover the AI prediction for Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
Your AI prediction is free every day! Download FlashSport to see our AI’s pick for this match.
See my AI prediction for freeWant more? Go FlashSport PRO
Unlock AI predictions for all covered matches and get in-depth analysis.
Discover PRO and its benefitsFree download • Android and iPhone • 25 free credits on signup
Latest matches
Atletico MadridWWLLWReal MadridWWWLWHead-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
In 4 meetings, Atletico Madrid leads 1 win to 1, with 2 draws; these matches produced 4 goals on average.
Atletico Madrid25%Real Madrid25%In the last 4 meetings between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in our data, Atletico Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Atletico Madrid 9, Real Madrid 7.
Latest results between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid
- Real Madrid3 - 2Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
- Real Madrid1 - 1Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
Prediction statistics – Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Over 2.5 goals in 86% of Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid matches on average, against 55% across La Liga.
Competition averages: 65 La Liga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Team profiles – Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid takes 1.86 points per match and Real Madrid 2.57; Atletico Madrid wins 57% of their matches, Real Madrid 86%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 1.86 |
| Home | WDW | 2.33 |
| Away | WLLW | 1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Total goals / match | 3.29 | 3.33 | 3.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.14 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 0.67 | 1.5 |
| Both teams score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| xG / match | 1.51 | 1.9 | 1.23 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.41 | 1.05 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 2.57 |
| Home | WWWW | 3 |
| Away | WLW | 2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Total goals / match | 3.71 | 4.25 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.71 | 3.5 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| xG / match | 3.03 | 2.79 | 3.26 |
| xG conceded / match | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.92 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Current form — who will win Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid shows W-W-L-L-W and Real Madrid W-W-W-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.86WWLLWReal Madrid is 28% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Atletico Madrid 31% · draw 24% · Real Madrid 45%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2.57WWWLW- WAtletico Madrid – Osasuna4 - 0
- WReal Sociedad – Atletico Madrid0 - 3
- LLiverpool – Atletico Madrid2 - 1
- LAthletic Club – Atletico Madrid3 - 0
- WSevilla – Atletico Madrid1 - 3
- WElche – Real Madrid2 - 3
- WReal Madrid – Rayo Vallecano4 - 1
- WReal Madrid – Inter2 - 1
- LReal Betis – Real Madrid1 - 0
- WReal Madrid – Malaga4 - 0
Goals scored – Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid: who will score more?
Atletico Madrid scores 2.14 goals per match and concedes 1.14; Real Madrid scores 2.71 and concedes 1.
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 86% | 86% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 71% | 86% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 43% | 57% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 14% | 43% |
| Fails to score | 14% | 14% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.14 | 2.71 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 57% | 86% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 43% | 14% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 14% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.14 | 1 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Both teams score in 43% of Atletico Madrid matches and 71% of Real Madrid matches (competition average: 55%).
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 86% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 43% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Both score and win | 14% | 71% | 43% |
| Both score and draw | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 43% | 14% | 29% |
Under X goals
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 43% | 50% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 57% | 79% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Corners Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid – how many corners?
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid matches average 10.9 corners; Atletico Madrid wins 5.3 per match, Real Madrid 7.3 (competition: 9.6).
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 corners | 71% | 86% | 79% |
| Over 8 corners | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 9 corners | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 10 corners | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 11 corners | 29% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 57% | 29% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 57% | 29% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 5.29 | 7.29 | 6.29 |
| Corners conceded / match | 3.86 | 5.29 | 4.58 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 71% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 29% | 71% | 50% |
Competition average: 9.6 corners per match (65 matches). Atletico Madrid: 7 matches with statistics; Real Madrid: 7. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Atletico Madrid score? · Will Real Madrid score?
Scored in 86% of their matchesStrong chance
Real Madrid: clean sheet in 14% of their matchesScored in 86% of their matchesMedium chance
Atletico Madrid: clean sheet in 43% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Cards Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid – how many cards?
4 cards per match on average for these two teams; Atletico Madrid receives 1.7, Real Madrid 1.6; referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias shows 4.5.
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 29% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 14% | 57% | 36% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Cards by half
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.14 | 1 | 1.07 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.43 | 3.29 | 2.86 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 57% | 86% | 72% |
Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias — 4.5 cards and 23 fouls per match on average over 16 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.5 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid leads at the break in 29% of their matches, Real Madrid in 57%.
1.57pts / match at half-timeReal Madrid is 36% better at half-time.
2.14pts / match at half-time| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 29% | 57% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 43% | 43% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 71% | 43% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 14% | 14% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 43% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 43% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 29% | 86% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Who will score first in Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid opened the scoring in 86% of their matches with a goal, Real Madrid in 86%.
Atletico MadridReal MadridGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico Madrid · total | Atletico Madrid · scored | Atletico Madrid · conceded | Real Madrid · total | Real Madrid · scored | Real Madrid · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 4% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 4% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 21% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 9% | 13% | 0% | 19% | 21% | 14% |
| 31–40 min | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 13% | 0% | 38% | 4% | 0% | 14% |
| 51–60 min | 9% | 13% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 14% |
| 61–70 min | 17% | 13% | 25% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 4% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 29% |
| 81–90 min | 30% | 40% | 13% | 23% | 21% | 29% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Atletico Madrid · total | Real Madrid · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 4% | 12% |
| 16–30 min | 13% | 27% |
| 31–45 min | 9% | 15% |
| 46–60 min | 22% | 8% |
| 61–75 min | 17% | 8% |
| 76–90 min | 35% | 31% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid shoots 15.7 times per match (5.7 on target), Real Madrid 20 (8.3 on target); average possession 56% against 52%.
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 15.71 | 20 | 17.86 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target / match | 5.71 | 8.29 | 7 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.71 | 6.71 | 6.21 |
| Shots per goal scored | 7.33 | 7.37 | 7.35 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 71% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 29% | 100% | 65% |
| 4+ shots on target | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 5+ shots on target | 71% | 86% | 79% |
| 6+ shots on target | 29% | 86% | 58% |
| 7+ shots on target | 14% | 86% | 50% |
Offsides and more
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 2.14 | 1.86 | 2 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 29% | 14% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Fouls committed / match | 11 | 9.29 | 10.15 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 12.57 | 13 | 12.79 |
| Average possession (%) | 56 | 52 | 54 |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 7% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Free kicks – Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid matches average 23.6 free kicks, Real Madrid matches 22.3.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 12.57 | 13 | 12.79 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 11 | 9.29 | 10.15 |
| Total free kicks / match | 23.57 | 22.29 | 22.93 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 57% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Real Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
Which players will score in Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Top scorers (La Liga): A. Baena (4) for Atletico Madrid, K. Mbappe (7) for Real Madrid.
Top scorers – Atletico Madrid
- A. Baena 4
- G. Simeone 2
- Lee Kang-In 2
- J. David 2
- A. Grimaldo 1
- A. Lookman 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (6 matches).
Top scorers – Real Madrid
- K. Mbappe 7
- J. Bellingham 3
- C. Espi 2
- Vinicius Junior 1
- A. Guler 1
- A. Carreras 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (6 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Atletico Madrid
- D. Hancko 1
- A. Lookman 1
- A. Baena 1
- Lee Kang-In 1
- M. Llorente 1
- M. Pubill 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Real Madrid
- I. Konate 3
- Vinicius Junior 2
- E. Camavinga 2
- A. Guler 1
- Y. Diomande 1
- A. Carreras 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Atletico Madrid
- R. Le Normand 0.33
- M. Hjulmand 0.26
- M. Pubill 0.25
- Lee Kang-In 0.24
- M. Llorente 0.24
- A. Baena 0.23
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Real Madrid
- E. Camavinga 0.82
- I. Konate 0.6
- A. Carreras 0.45
- Y. Diomande 0.37
- Vinicius Junior 0.35
- A. Guler 0.31
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Atletico Madrid
- Before this match, Atletico Madrid took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 11 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Atletico Madrid kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- Atletico Madrid scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 43% of Atletico Madrid matches (7 matches, this season).
Real Madrid
- Before this match, Real Madrid took 12 points from their last 5 matches (2.4 per match), scored 13 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Real Madrid has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.
- Real Madrid kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Real Madrid wins 67% of their matches (3 played) and scores 1.67 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 71% of Real Madrid matches (7 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid meet on Sunday, 20 September 2026 — La Liga (Matchday 7), at Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid).
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have met 4 times in our data. Atletico Madrid has 1 win, Real Madrid 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (22/03/2026): Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid.
These meetings produced an average of 4 goals per match, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
This season, Atletico Madrid takes an average of 2.33 points per home match (3 matches), and Real Madrid 2 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 31% for Atletico Madrid, 24% for the draw and 45% for Real Madrid.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid played?
The match was played on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid — La Liga.
Who won Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid 2-1. Scorers: A. Grimaldo 53' (pen.), J. David 59', A. Rudiger 89'.
What is the head-to-head record of Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid?
Out of 4 meetings in our data: 1 win for Atletico Madrid, 2 draws and 1 win for Real Madrid.
Who are the top scorers for Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid this season?
A. Baena (4 goals) for Atletico Madrid, K. Mbappe (7 goals) for Real Madrid (La Liga).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,817 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 03:41.
All the analysis in the app
Follow your favourite teams, find lineups, statistics and standings, plus our model’s statistical reading of matches when the data allows: it’s all in the FlashSport app.
For ages 18 and over only, under our Terms of Use.