- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
- Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Conference League (League phase · matchday 1): Atalanta – Pafos takes place on (UK time), at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). Recent form (last 5 matches): Atalanta LLLWW, Pafos DDDLW.
Last starting XI Atalanta – Pafos
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Atalanta on 20/09/2026, Pafos on 27/08/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Maurizio Sarri (Atalanta) · Ricardo Sa Pinto (Pafos)
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UEFA Europa Conference League · 20:00FlashSport AI
AtalantaDRAWPafos
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Latest matches
AtalantaLLLWWPafosDDDLWHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Atalanta vs Pafos
No meetings between Atalanta and Pafos in our data.
Prediction statistics – Atalanta vs Pafos
Over 2.5 goals in 55% of Atalanta and Pafos matches on average, against 55% across UEFA Europa Conference League.
Competition averages: 206 UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Team profiles – Atalanta and Pafos
Atalanta takes 1.2 points per match and Pafos 1; Atalanta wins 40% of their matches, Pafos 17%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 1.2 |
| Home | LWW | 2 |
| Away | LL | 0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2.4 | 2.33 | 2.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 1 | 1.33 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1 | 2 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| xG / match | 0.81 | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.14 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DDDLW | 1 |
| Home | DDW | 1.67 |
| Away | DLL | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 3.17 | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.67 | 3 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Current form — who will win Atalanta – Pafos?
Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta shows L-L-L-W-W and Pafos D-D-D-L-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.2LLLWWAtalanta is 20% better on points per match.
1DDDLW- LJuventus – Atalanta2 - 0
- LAtalanta – Cagliari1 - 2
- LAS Roma – Atalanta2 - 1
- WAtalanta – Bologna1 - 0
- WAtalanta – Sassuolo2 - 1
- DPafos – Dinamo Tirana2 - 2
- DDinamo Tirana – Pafos1 - 1
- DPafos – Red Bull Salzburg3 - 3
- LRed Bull Salzburg – Pafos1 - 0
- WPafos – HNK Hajduk Split4 - 0
Goals scored – Atalanta – Pafos: who will score more?
Atalanta scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.4; Pafos scores 1.67 and concedes 1.5.
| Atalanta | Pafos | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 80% | 67% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 20% | 50% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 17% |
| Fails to score | 20% | 33% |
| Goals scored / match | 1 | 1.67 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Atalanta | Pafos | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 80% | 83% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 60% | 50% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 17% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 17% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Atalanta – Pafos?
Both teams score in 60% of Atalanta matches and 50% of Pafos matches (competition average: 52%).
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 80% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Both score and win | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Both score and draw | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 9% |
Under X goals
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 100% | 83% | 92% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Corners Atalanta – Pafos – how many corners?
Atalanta and Pafos matches average 8.9 corners; Atalanta wins 2.8 per match, Pafos 3.3 (competition: 5.7).
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 60% | 75% | 68% |
| Over 7 corners | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 8 corners | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 9 corners | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 10 corners | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 11 corners | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 12 corners | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 13 corners | 20% | 25% | 23% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 2.8 | 3.25 | 3.03 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.2 | 6.5 | 5.85 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 60% | 75% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Competition average: 5.7 corners per match (206 matches). Atalanta: 5 matches with statistics; Pafos: 4. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Atalanta score? · Will Pafos score?
Scored in 80% of their matchesStrong chance
Pafos: clean sheet in 17% of their matchesScored in 67% of their matchesMedium chance
Atalanta: clean sheet in 20% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Cards Atalanta – Pafos – how many cards?
4.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; Atalanta receives 1.7, Pafos 3.4.
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Cards by half
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.67 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 1 | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Competition average: 2.4 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Atalanta – Pafos
Atalanta leads at the break in 20% of their matches, Pafos in 33%.
1.2pts / match at half-timePafos is 39% better at half-time.
1.67pts / match at half-time| Atalanta | Pafos | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 20% | 33% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 20% | 17% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 60% | 67% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 20% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 20% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 20% | 33% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Who will score first in Atalanta – Pafos?
Atalanta opened the scoring in 60% of their matches with a goal, Pafos in 33%.
AtalantaPafosGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Atalanta · total | Atalanta · scored | Atalanta · conceded | Pafos · total | Pafos · scored | Pafos · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 8% | 20% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| 11–20 min | 8% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 8% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| 41–50 min | 17% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 8% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| 61–70 min | 17% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 22% |
| 71–80 min | 8% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| 81–90 min | 25% | 20% | 29% | 43% | 58% | 22% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Atalanta · total | Pafos · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 8% | 14% |
| 16–30 min | 17% | 0% |
| 31–45 min | 8% | 10% |
| 46–60 min | 17% | 14% |
| 61–75 min | 17% | 10% |
| 76–90 min | 33% | 52% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Atalanta – Pafos
Atalanta shoots 11.8 times per match (3.4 on target), Pafos 17.5 (4 on target); average possession 48% against 50%.
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 11.8 | 17.5 | 14.65 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target / match | 3.4 | 4 | 3.7 |
| Shots off target / match | 5 | 7.25 | 6.13 |
| Shots per goal scored | 11.8 | 17.5 | 14.65 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| 4+ shots on target | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| 5+ shots on target | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| 6+ shots on target | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| 7+ shots on target | 20% | 25% | 23% |
Offsides and more
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1 | 4 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 20% | 67% | 44% |
| Fouls committed / match | 9.6 | 17.33 | 13.47 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10 | 16.33 | 13.17 |
| Average possession (%) | 48 | 50 | 49 |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Free kicks – Atalanta – Pafos
Atalanta matches average 19.6 free kicks, Pafos matches 33.7.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Atalanta | Pafos | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10 | 16.33 | 13.17 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 9.6 | 17.33 | 13.47 |
| Total free kicks / match | 19.6 | 33.67 | 26.64 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 0% | 67% | 34% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 0% | 67% | 34% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Atalanta: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches; Pafos: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Which players will score in Atalanta – Pafos?
Top scorers (UEFA Europa Conference League): N. Ioannou (1) for Pafos.
Top scorers – Atalanta
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (0 matches).
Top scorers – Pafos
- N. Ioannou 1
- Lele 1
- K. Sema 1
- Anderson Silva 1
- R. Majecki 0
- Bruno 0
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season (2 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Atalanta
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Pafos
- Lele 2
- Domingos Quina 2
- Bruno 1
- Pepe 1
- David Luiz 1
- Samy Mmaee 1
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Atalanta
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Pafos
- Bruno 0.5
- Pepe 0.5
- R. Majecki 0
- D. Goldar 0
- N. Ioannou 0
UEFA Europa Conference League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Atalanta
- Before this match, Atalanta took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 5 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.
- Atalanta kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Atalanta scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 60% of Atalanta matches (5 matches, this season).
Pafos
- Before this match, Pafos took 6 points from their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), scored 10 goals and saw both teams score in 3 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Pafos has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat.
- Pafos kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 7 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Pafos wins 0% of their matches (3 played) and scores 0.33 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 50% of Pafos matches (6 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Atalanta and Pafos meet on Thursday, 15 October 2026 — UEFA Europa Conference League (League phase · matchday 1), at New Balance Arena (Bergamo).
This season, Atalanta takes an average of 2 points per home match (3 matches), and Pafos 0.33 points per away match (3 matches).
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Atalanta – Pafos played?
The match takes place on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), at New Balance Arena in Bergamo — UEFA Europa Conference League.
How many goals can we expect in Atalanta – Pafos?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of Atalanta matches and 50% of Pafos matches. Both teams scored in 60% and 50% of their matches.
Who are the top scorers for Atalanta and Pafos this season?
N. Ioannou (1 goal) for Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 9 October 2026 at 23:19.
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