- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz
- Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)
Key facts
La Liga (Matchday 8): Alaves – Atletico Madrid takes place on (UK time), at Estadio de Mendizorroza (Victoria-Gasteiz). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Atletico Madrid (50%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Alaves DLLWW, Atletico Madrid WWWLL.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI Alaves – Atletico Madrid
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Alaves on 19/09/2026, Atletico Madrid on 20/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Quique Sanchez Flores (Alaves) · Diego Simeone (Atletico Madrid)
Fan chat – Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
Fan interest index — blends live activity with match buzz.
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La Liga · 15:15FlashSport AI
AlavesDRAWAtletico Madrid
25%25%50%
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Latest matches
AlavesDLLWWAtletico MadridWWWLLHead-to-head (H2H) last 4 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
In 4 meetings, Alaves leads 0 wins to 2, with 2 draws; these matches produced 1.5 goals on average.
Alaves0%Atletico Madrid50%In the last 4 meetings between Alaves and Atletico Madrid in our data, Alaves won 0, Atletico Madrid won 2, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Goals: Alaves 2, Atletico Madrid 4.
Latest results between Alaves and Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid1 - 0Alaves
- Alaves1 - 1Atletico Madrid
- Alaves0 - 0Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Prediction statistics – Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5 goals in 66% of Alaves and Atletico Madrid matches on average, against 56% across La Liga.
Competition averages: 70 La Liga 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Team profiles – Alaves and Atletico Madrid
Alaves takes 1.57 points per match and Atletico Madrid 2; Alaves wins 43% of their matches, Atletico Madrid 63%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLLWW | 1.57 |
| Home | LWWW | 2.25 |
| Away | DLD | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2.43 | 3 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.57 | 2.25 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Both teams score | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| xG / match | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.14 | 0.98 | 1.35 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 2 |
| Home | WWDW | 2.5 |
| Away | WLLW | 1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Total goals / match | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.13 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.13 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| xG / match | 1.62 | 2.01 | 1.23 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.09 | 1.13 | 1.05 |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Current form — who will win Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Over their last 5 matches, Alaves shows D-L-L-W-W and Atletico Madrid W-W-W-L-L (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.57DLLWWAtletico Madrid is 21% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Alaves 25% · draw 25% · Atletico Madrid 50%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2WWWLL- DAthletic Club – Alaves0 - 0
- LAlaves – Valencia0 - 1
- LRacing Santander – Alaves2 - 1
- WAlaves – Osasuna5 - 2
- WAlaves – Villarreal1 - 0
- WAtletico Madrid – Real Madrid2 - 1
- WAtletico Madrid – Osasuna4 - 0
- WReal Sociedad – Atletico Madrid0 - 3
- LLiverpool – Atletico Madrid2 - 1
- LAthletic Club – Atletico Madrid3 - 0
Goals scored – Alaves – Atletico Madrid: who will score more?
Alaves scores 1.57 goals per match and concedes 0.86; Atletico Madrid scores 2.13 and concedes 1.13.
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 71% | 88% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 29% | 75% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 29% | 38% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 14% | 13% |
| Fails to score | 29% | 13% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.57 | 2.13 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 57% | 63% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 29% | 38% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 0% | 13% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 38% |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 1.13 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Both teams score in 43% of Alaves matches and 50% of Atletico Madrid matches (competition average: 59%).
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 86% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 57% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 88% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 38% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 50% | 47% |
| Both score and win | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Both score and draw | 14% | 13% | 14% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 29% | 50% | 40% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 14% | 38% | 26% |
Under X goals
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 43% | 0% | 22% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 13% | 35% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 63% | 75% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 100% | 93% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Corners Alaves – Atletico Madrid – how many corners?
Alaves and Atletico Madrid matches average 9 corners; Alaves wins 4.3 per match, Atletico Madrid 5 (competition: 9.7).
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 71% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 7 corners | 57% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 8 corners | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 9 corners | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 10 corners | 29% | 38% | 34% |
| Over 11 corners | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 12 corners | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 13 corners | 29% | 0% | 15% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 4.29 | 5 | 4.64 |
| Corners conceded / match | 5.14 | 3.5 | 4.32 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 71% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 71% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 57% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 86% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 71% | 38% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 57% | 25% | 41% |
Competition average: 9.7 corners per match (70 matches). Alaves: 7 matches with statistics; Atletico Madrid: 8. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Alaves score? · Will Atletico Madrid score?
Scored in 71% of their matchesMedium chance
Atletico Madrid: clean sheet in 38% of their matchesScored in 87% of their matchesMedium chance
Alaves: clean sheet in 43% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Cards Alaves – Atletico Madrid – how many cards?
4 cards per match on average for these two teams; Alaves receives 2, Atletico Madrid 1.8; referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez shows 5.7.
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 86% | 75% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 57% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 29% | 13% | 21% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 14% | 0% | 7% |
Cards by half
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.29 | 1 | 1.15 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1.57 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.86 | 2.5 | 2.68 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 60% |
Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez — 5.7 cards and 24.9 fouls per match on average over 12 matches in our data.
Competition average: 4.6 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Alaves – Atletico Madrid
Alaves leads at the break in 29% of their matches, Atletico Madrid in 25%.
1.57pts / match at half-timeAlaves is 5% better at half-time.
1.5pts / match at half-time| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 29% | 25% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 71% | 75% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 43% | 13% |
| Loses the 1st half | 0% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 29% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 43% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 29% | 25% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Who will score first in Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Alaves opened the scoring in 67% of their matches with a goal, Atletico Madrid in 88%.
AlavesAtletico MadridGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Alaves · total | Alaves · scored | Alaves · conceded | Atletico Madrid · total | Atletico Madrid · scored | Atletico Madrid · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 6% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 6% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 18% | 18% | 17% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
| 41–50 min | 12% | 0% | 33% | 12% | 0% | 33% |
| 51–60 min | 12% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 24% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 12% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 22% |
| 71–80 min | 12% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
| 81–90 min | 24% | 36% | 0% | 31% | 35% | 22% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Alaves · total | Atletico Madrid · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 0% | 4% |
| 16–30 min | 12% | 12% |
| 31–45 min | 18% | 8% |
| 46–60 min | 24% | 27% |
| 61–75 min | 18% | 15% |
| 76–90 min | 29% | 35% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Alaves – Atletico Madrid
Alaves shoots 12.4 times per match (4.4 on target), Atletico Madrid 16 (6.1 on target); average possession 42% against 57%.
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 12.43 | 16 | 14.22 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target / match | 4.43 | 6.13 | 5.28 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.71 | 5.5 | 5.61 |
| Shots per goal scored | 7.91 | 7.53 | 7.72 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 71% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 71% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 57% | 75% | 66% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 57% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 57% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 29% | 38% | 34% |
| 4+ shots on target | 43% | 100% | 72% |
| 5+ shots on target | 43% | 75% | 59% |
| 6+ shots on target | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| 7+ shots on target | 43% | 25% | 34% |
Offsides and more
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 3.86 | 2.13 | 3 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 71% | 25% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 57% | 13% | 35% |
| Fouls committed / match | 13.57 | 12 | 12.79 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 13.14 | 11.75 | 12.45 |
| Average possession (%) | 42 | 57 | 49.5 |
| Draws | 29% | 13% | 21% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Free kicks – Alaves – Atletico Madrid
Alaves matches average 26.7 free kicks, Atletico Madrid matches 23.8.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Alaves | Atletico Madrid | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 13.14 | 11.75 | 12.45 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 13.57 | 12 | 12.79 |
| Total free kicks / match | 26.71 | 23.75 | 25.23 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 100% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 86% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 86% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 71% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 71% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 71% | 25% | 48% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Alaves: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 7 matches; Atletico Madrid: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 8 matches.
Which players will score in Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Top scorers (La Liga): L. Boye (4) for Alaves, A. Baena (4) for Atletico Madrid.
Top scorers – Alaves
- L. Boye 4
- M. Diaz 3
- V. Koski 1
- N. Tenaglia 1
- P. Ibanez 1
- M. Rodriguez 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (7 matches).
Top scorers – Atletico Madrid
- A. Baena 4
- J. David 3
- A. Grimaldo 2
- G. Simeone 2
- Lee Kang-In 2
- A. Lookman 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season (7 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Alaves
- A. Rebbach 3
- A. Blanco 3
- N. Tenaglia 2
- M. Diaz 2
- A. Sivera 1
- P. Ibanez 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Atletico Madrid
- M. Pubill 2
- D. Hancko 1
- Lee Kang-In 1
- M. Llorente 1
- A. Lookman 1
- A. Baena 1
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Alaves
- M. Diaz 0.56
- A. Blanco 0.51
- A. Rebbach 0.48
- N. Valentini 0.38
- D. Suarez 0.32
- N. Tenaglia 0.31
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Atletico Madrid
- M. Pubill 0.45
- J. Cardoso 0.4
- R. Le Normand 0.33
- C. Romero 0.32
- M. Hjulmand 0.26
- A. Lookman 0.2
La Liga statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Alaves
- Before this match, Alaves took 7 points from their last 5 matches (1.4 per match), scored 7 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Alaves has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- Alaves kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 5 goals over that period.
- At home, Alaves wins 75% of their matches (4 played) and scores 2.25 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 43% of Alaves matches (7 matches, this season).
Atletico Madrid
- Before this match, Atletico Madrid took 9 points from their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), scored 10 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- Atletico Madrid kept a clean sheet 2 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- Away from home, Atletico Madrid wins 50% of their matches (4 played) and scores 1.75 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 50% of Atletico Madrid matches (8 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Alaves and Atletico Madrid meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — La Liga (Matchday 8), at Estadio de Mendizorroza (Victoria-Gasteiz).
Alaves and Atletico Madrid have met 4 times in our data. Alaves has 0 wins, Atletico Madrid 2 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw.
Last meeting (18/01/2026): Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Alaves.
These meetings produced an average of 1.5 goals per match, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
This season, Alaves takes an average of 2.25 points per home match (4 matches), and Atletico Madrid 1.5 points per away match (4 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 25% for Alaves, 25% for the draw and 50% for Atletico Madrid.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Alaves – Atletico Madrid played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Victoria-Gasteiz — La Liga.
Who is the favourite between Alaves and Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 50% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 43% of Alaves matches and 88% of Atletico Madrid matches. Both teams scored in 43% and 50% of their matches.
What is the head-to-head record of Alaves – Atletico Madrid?
Out of 4 meetings in our data: 0 wins for Alaves, 2 draws and 2 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Who are the top scorers for Alaves and Atletico Madrid this season?
L. Boye (4 goals) for Alaves, A. Baena (4 goals) for Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
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