- Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
- Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Key facts
Eredivisie (Matchday 8): Ajax – NEC Nijmegen takes place on (UK time), at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam). The FlashSport model’s most likely reading: a win for Ajax (73%). Recent form (last 5 matches): Ajax WWDWW, NEC Nijmegen LLLDD.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Last starting XI Ajax – NEC Nijmegen
Last starting XI fielded by each team (Ajax on 27/08/2026, NEC Nijmegen on 17/09/2026). Official lineups appear about an hour before the match.
Managers: Michel (Ajax) · Dick Schreuder (NEC Nijmegen)
Fan chat – Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
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Eredivisie · 20:00FlashSport AI
AjaxDRAWNEC Nijmegen
73%16%11%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
AjaxWWDWWNEC NijmegenLLLDDHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Head-to-head statistics – Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
No meetings between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in our data.
Prediction statistics – Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5 goals in 80% of Ajax and NEC Nijmegen matches on average, against 0% across Eredivisie.
Competition averages: 1 Eredivisie 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Team profiles – Ajax and NEC Nijmegen
Ajax takes 2.67 points per match and NEC Nijmegen 0.4; Ajax wins 83% of their matches, NEC Nijmegen 0%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWDWW | 2.67 |
| Home | WWW | 3 |
| Away | WDW | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Total goals / match | 5.33 | 5.67 | 5 |
| Goals scored / match | 3.67 | 4 | 3.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLDD | 0.4 |
| Home | LD | 0.5 |
| Away | LLD | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Total goals / match | 2.8 | 3 | 2.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.4 | 2 | 2.67 |
| Both teams score | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Current form — who will win Ajax – NEC Nijmegen?
Over their last 5 matches, Ajax shows W-W-D-W-W and NEC Nijmegen L-L-L-D-D (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
2.67WWDWWAjax is 568% better on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: Ajax 73% · draw 16% · NEC Nijmegen 11%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
0.4LLLDD- WAjax – FC Sion5 - 3
- WFC Sion – Ajax2 - 4
- DShelbourne – Ajax2 - 2
- WAjax – Shelbourne3 - 1
- WAjax – Vojvodina4 - 1
- LJuventus – NEC Nijmegen5 - 0
- LBodo/Glimt – NEC Nijmegen3 - 0
- LNEC Nijmegen – Bodo/Glimt1 - 3
- DNEC Nijmegen – Olympiakos Piraeus1 - 1
- DOlympiakos Piraeus – NEC Nijmegen0 - 0
Goals scored – Ajax – NEC Nijmegen: who will score more?
Ajax scores 3.67 goals per match and concedes 1.67; NEC Nijmegen scores 0.4 and concedes 2.4.
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 100% | 40% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 100% | 0% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 83% | 0% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
| Fails to score | 0% | 60% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.67 | 0.4 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 100% | 80% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 50% | 60% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 17% | 60% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 2.4 |
Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in Ajax – NEC Nijmegen?
Both teams score in 100% of Ajax matches and 40% of NEC Nijmegen matches (competition average: 0%).
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 67% | 20% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Both score and win | 83% | 0% | 42% |
| Both score and draw | 17% | 20% | 19% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 100% | 20% | 60% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Under X goals
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 33% | 80% | 57% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Corners Ajax – NEC Nijmegen – how many corners?
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen matches average 8.8 corners; Ajax wins 9.2 per match, NEC Nijmegen 3 (competition: 10).
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 7 corners | 83% | 20% | 52% |
| Over 8 corners | 83% | 20% | 52% |
| Over 9 corners | 83% | 0% | 42% |
| Over 10 corners | 67% | 0% | 34% |
| Over 11 corners | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 12 corners | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 corners | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 9.17 | 3 | 6.09 |
| Corners conceded / match | 2.33 | 3 | 2.67 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 100% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 100% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 17% | 20% | 19% |
Competition average: 10 corners per match (1 matches). Ajax: 6 matches with statistics; NEC Nijmegen: 5. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will Ajax score? · Will NEC Nijmegen score?
Scored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
NEC Nijmegen: clean sheet in 20% of their matchesScored in 40% of their matchesMedium chance
Ajax: clean sheet in 0% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Cards Ajax – NEC Nijmegen – how many cards?
3.5 cards per match on average for these two teams; Ajax receives 1.2, NEC Nijmegen 1.8; referee Serdar Gozubuyuk shows 3.4.
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 17% | 20% | 19% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Cards by half
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.55 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 0.67 | 1.2 | 0.94 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 2.33 | 2.6 | 2.47 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 83% | 80% | 82% |
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk — 3.4 cards and 21 fouls per match on average over 5 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – Ajax – NEC Nijmegen
Ajax leads at the break in 67% of their matches, NEC Nijmegen in 0%.
2.17pts / match at half-timeAjax is 443% better at half-time.
0.4pts / match at half-time| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 67% | 0% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 67% | 0% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 17% | 40% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 17% | 60% |
| Loses the 1st half | 17% | 60% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 17% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 83% | 60% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Who will score first in Ajax – NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax opened the scoring in 67% of their matches with a goal, NEC Nijmegen in 0%.
AjaxNEC NijmegenGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | Ajax · total | Ajax · scored | Ajax · conceded | NEC Nijmegen · total | NEC Nijmegen · scored | NEC Nijmegen · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 9% | 14% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 8% |
| 11–20 min | 6% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 9% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| 31–40 min | 18% | 14% | 27% | 7% | 0% | 8% |
| 41–50 min | 9% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 42% |
| 51–60 min | 21% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 61–70 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 33% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 9% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| 81–90 min | 18% | 9% | 36% | 20% | 67% | 8% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | Ajax · total | NEC Nijmegen · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 9% | 7% |
| 16–30 min | 15% | 13% |
| 31–45 min | 24% | 27% |
| 46–60 min | 24% | 13% |
| 61–75 min | 9% | 20% |
| 76–90 min | 18% | 20% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – Ajax – NEC Nijmegen
Ajax shoots 24.2 times per match (10.3 on target), NEC Nijmegen 13 (4.4 on target); average possession 66% against 48%.
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 24.17 | 13 | 18.59 |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 15 | 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target / match | 10.33 | 4.4 | 7.37 |
| Shots off target / match | 8.83 | 5.6 | 7.22 |
| Shots per goal scored | 6.59 | 32.5 | 19.55 |
| Over 10.5 shots | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 11.5 shots | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 12.5 shots | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 13.5 shots | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 14.5 shots | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 15.5 shots | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| 4+ shots on target | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| 5+ shots on target | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| 6+ shots on target | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| 7+ shots on target | 100% | 20% | 60% |
Offsides and more
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.33 | 2.6 | 1.97 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 17% | 60% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Fouls committed / match | 9 | 13.8 | 11.4 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 10.67 | 12.2 | 11.43 |
| Average possession (%) | 66 | 48 | 57 |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 29% |
Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Free kicks – Ajax – NEC Nijmegen
Ajax matches average 19.7 free kicks, NEC Nijmegen matches 26.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 10.67 | 12.2 | 11.43 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 9 | 13.8 | 11.4 |
| Total free kicks / match | 19.67 | 26 | 22.84 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 17% | 60% | 39% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — Ajax: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches; NEC Nijmegen: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 5 matches.
Which players will score in Ajax – NEC Nijmegen?
Top scorers – Ajax
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season (0 matches).
Top scorers – NEC Nijmegen
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season (0 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – Ajax
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – NEC Nijmegen
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – Ajax
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – NEC Nijmegen
No data yet this season.
Eredivisie statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
Ajax
- Before this match, Ajax took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 18 goals and saw both teams score in 5 of them.
- Ajax is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Ajax kept a clean sheet 0 times in their last 5 matches and conceded 9 goals over that period.
- Ajax scored in every one of their 3 home matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 100% of Ajax matches (6 matches, this season).
NEC Nijmegen
- Before this match, NEC Nijmegen took 2 points from their last 5 matches (0.4 per match), scored 2 goals and saw both teams score in 2 of them.
- NEC Nijmegen has won none of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
- NEC Nijmegen kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals over that period.
- Away from home, NEC Nijmegen wins 0% of their matches (3 played) and scores 0 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 40% of NEC Nijmegen matches (5 matches, this season).
Match analysis
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen meet on Saturday, 10 October 2026 — Eredivisie (Matchday 8), at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam).
This season, Ajax takes an average of 3 points per home match (3 matches), and NEC Nijmegen 0.33 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 73% for Ajax, 16% for the draw and 11% for NEC Nijmegen.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is Ajax – NEC Nijmegen played?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), at Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam — Eredivisie.
Who is the favourite between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax goes in as favourite: according to the FlashSport AI, they have a 73% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw. Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
How many goals can we expect in Ajax – NEC Nijmegen?
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of Ajax matches and 60% of NEC Nijmegen matches. Both teams scored in 100% and 40% of their matches.
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,813 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 01:57.
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