- San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Referee: Jarred Gillett
- Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Key facts
UEFA Europa League (League phase · matchday 1): Benfica beat AC Milan 2-0 on . Scorers: D. Lukebakio 16', J. Kaminski 53'. Before the match, the FlashSport model’s most likely reading was a win for AC Milan (46%).
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Match summary AC Milan – Benfica
UEFA Europa League: Benfica won 2-0 away at AC Milan (0-1 at half-time).
Scorers: Benfica — D. Lukebakio (16'), J. Kaminski (53').
Possession 60% – 40%, shots 17 – 11, expected goals (xG) 0.96 – 0.64.
- 11'Strahinja PavlovićYellow card · AC Milan
- 16'D. Lukebakio (assist: J. Kaminski)Goal · Benfica0-1
- 26'Souffian El KarouaniYellow card · Benfica
- 37'Jhon DuránYellow card · Benfica
- 46'M. Gila ↑ F. Terracciano ↓Substitution · AC Milan
- 46'C. Pulisic ↑ O. Hutchinson ↓Substitution · AC Milan
- 53'J. Kaminski (assist: S. El Karouani)Goal · Benfica0-2
- 57'A. Saelemaekers ↑ D. Bartesaghi ↓Substitution · AC Milan
- 57'D. Moreira ↑ A. Cisse ↓Substitution · AC Milan
- 70'L. Barreiro ↑ F. Aursnes ↓Substitution · Benfica
- 70'G. Prestianni ↑ G. Sudakov ↓Substitution · Benfica
- 73'A. Rabiot ↑ A. Jashari ↓Substitution · AC Milan
- 77'Daniel BanjaquiYellow card · Benfica
- 80'V. Pavlidis ↑ J. Duran ↓Substitution · Benfica
- 80'A. Schjelderup ↑ J. Kaminski ↓Substitution · Benfica
- 84'Leandro BarreiroYellow card · Benfica
- 88'S. Dahl ↑ S. El Karouani ↓Substitution · Benfica
- 90'+2Vangelis PavlidisYellow card · Benfica
Match stats – AC Milan vs Benfica
- 0.96Expected goals (xG)0.64
- 17Total shots11
- 4Shots on target4
- 10Shots off target3
- 3Blocked shots4
- 9Shots inside box5
- 8Shots outside box6
- 10Corners1
- 0Offsides3
- 14Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards5
- 2Goalkeeper saves4
- 567Passes382
- 521Accurate passes324
- 92%Pass accuracy85%
- 0.76Goals prevented0.76
Official lineups AC Milan – Benfica
Official lineups published before kick-off.
Managers: Ruben Amorim (AC Milan) · Marco Silva (Benfica)
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UEFA Europa League · 20:00FlashSport AI
AC MilanDRAWBenfica
46%27%28%
VERDICT🔒 in the appProbabilities calculated by the FlashSport AI before the match.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
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Latest matches
AC MilanDDWWLBenficaWWDWWHead-to-head (H2H) last 0 matches
Pre-match statistics — both teams before kick-off
Head-to-head statistics – AC Milan vs Benfica
No meetings between AC Milan and Benfica in our data.
Prediction statistics – AC Milan vs Benfica
Over 2.5 goals in 67% of AC Milan and Benfica matches on average, against 53% across UEFA Europa League.
Competition averages: 78 UEFA Europa League 2026-27 matches already played. Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Team profiles – AC Milan and Benfica
AC Milan takes 1.5 points per match and Benfica 2.17; AC Milan wins 40% of their matches, Benfica 67%.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DDWWL | 1.5 |
| Home | WLLD | 1 |
| Away | DDWWL | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Total goals / match | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| xG / match | 1.32 | 1.7 | 1.06 |
| xG conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.37 | 1.42 |
last 10 available matches.
| Form | Results | Pts / match |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWDWW | 2.17 |
| Home | WWW | 3 |
| Away | WDL | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Total goals / match | 4.17 | 5.33 | 3 |
| Goals scored / match | 3.17 | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG / match | – | – | – |
| xG conceded / match | – | – | – |
2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Current form — who will win AC Milan – Benfica?
Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan shows D-D-W-W-L and Benfica W-W-D-W-W (W = win, D = draw, L = defeat).
1.5DDWWLBenfica is 31% worse on points per match.
According to the FlashSport AI: AC Milan 46% · draw 27% · Benfica 28%
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
2.17WWDWW- DLazio – AC Milan2 - 2
- DJuventus – AC Milan1 - 1
- WAC Milan – Venezia2 - 0
- WTorino – AC Milan1 - 2
- LAC Milan – Cagliari1 - 2
- WAarhus – Benfica1 - 3
- WBenfica – Aarhus3 - 1
- DHeart Of Midlothian – Benfica1 - 1
- WBenfica – Heart Of Midlothian6 - 1
- WBenfica – FC ST. Gallen5 - 0
Goals scored – AC Milan – Benfica: who will score more?
AC Milan scores 1.3 goals per match and concedes 1.2; Benfica scores 3.17 and concedes 1.
| AC Milan | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Scores over 0.5 goal | 80% | 100% |
| Scores over 1.5 goal | 50% | 67% |
| Scores over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Scores over 3.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Fails to score | 20% | 0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 3.17 |
Goals conceded – who will concede?
| AC Milan | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Concedes over 0.5 goal | 70% | 83% |
| Concedes over 1.5 goal | 40% | 17% |
| Concedes over 2.5 goals | 10% | 0% |
| Concedes over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 17% |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1 |
Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Over 2.5 goals & both teams score – how many goals in AC Milan – Benfica?
Both teams score in 60% of AC Milan matches and 83% of Benfica matches (competition average: 44%).
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goal | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 goal | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 83% | 72% |
| Both score and win | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Both score and draw | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Both score and over 2.5 | 50% | 67% | 59% |
| Not both and over 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 9% |
Under X goals
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goal | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 17% | 34% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 33% | 57% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 67% | 79% |
Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Corners AC Milan – Benfica – how many corners?
AC Milan and Benfica matches average 7.9 corners; AC Milan wins 2.8 per match, Benfica 7.3 (competition: 5.2).
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 corners | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 7 corners | 30% | 100% | 65% |
| Over 8 corners | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 9 corners | 10% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 10 corners | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 11 corners | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 12 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 corners | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team corners — won / conceded
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won / match | 2.8 | 7.33 | 5.06 |
| Corners conceded / match | 3.6 | 2 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 corners won | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 corners won | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 corners won | 20% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 corners conceded | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 corners conceded | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 corners conceded | 30% | 0% | 15% |
Competition average: 5.2 corners per match (78 matches). AC Milan: 10 matches with statistics; Benfica: 3. The split of corners by half is not provided by our source.
Will AC Milan score? · Will Benfica score?
Scored in 80% of their matchesStrong chance
Benfica: clean sheet in 17% of their matchesScored in 100% of their matchesStrong chance
AC Milan: clean sheet in 30% of their matchesChance = average of the share of matches in which the team scores and the share of matches in which the opponent concedes. Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Cards AC Milan – Benfica – how many cards?
4.2 cards per match on average for these two teams; AC Milan receives 2.3, Benfica 1; referee Jarred Gillett, Australia shows 5.
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 cards | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 cards | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| Over 5.5 cards | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 6.5 cards | 10% | 0% | 5% |
Cards by half
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards received in the 1st half (avg.) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Cards received in the 2nd half (avg.) | 1.8 | 0.33 | 1.07 |
| Total 1st half (avg.) | 1 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Total 2nd half (avg.) | 3.5 | 1.83 | 2.67 |
| More cards in the 1st half | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| More cards in the 2nd half | 90% | 50% | 70% |
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia — 5 cards and 24.5 fouls per match on average over 6 matches in our data.
Competition average: 3.6 cards per match. Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Win / draw / defeat by half – AC Milan – Benfica
AC Milan leads at the break in 10% of their matches, Benfica in 67%.
0.9pts / match at half-timeBenfica is 159% better at half-time.
2.33pts / match at half-time| AC Milan | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the 1st half | 10% | 67% |
| Wins the 2nd half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw in the 1st half | 60% | 33% |
| Draw in the 2nd half | 30% | 33% |
| Loses the 1st half | 30% | 0% |
| Loses the 2nd half | 20% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 goal at half-time | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goal at half-time | 30% | 50% |
Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Who will score first in AC Milan – Benfica?
AC Milan opened the scoring in 67% of their matches with a goal, Benfica in 67%.
AC MilanBenficaGoals by 10-minute period
| Minutes | AC Milan · total | AC Milan · scored | AC Milan · conceded | Benfica · total | Benfica · scored | Benfica · conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 min | 16% | 8% | 25% | 8% | 11% | 0% |
| 11–20 min | 4% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 0% |
| 21–30 min | 4% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 31–40 min | 4% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 33% |
| 41–50 min | 12% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 0% |
| 51–60 min | 8% | 0% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| 61–70 min | 24% | 46% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 0% |
| 71–80 min | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 50% |
| 81–90 min | 28% | 31% | 25% | 12% | 16% | 0% |
Goals by 15-minute period
| Minutes | AC Milan · total | Benfica · total |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | 16% | 12% |
| 16–30 min | 8% | 8% |
| 31–45 min | 8% | 24% |
| 46–60 min | 16% | 16% |
| 61–75 min | 24% | 16% |
| 76–90 min | 28% | 24% |
Share of goals (scored + conceded) falling in each period; stoppage time counts in the 45th and 90th minute. Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Shots, offsides, fouls and possession – AC Milan – Benfica
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 11.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion rate (%) | 11 | – | – |
| Shots on target / match | 4 | 10.67 | 7.34 |
| Shots off target / match | 5.5 | 7.67 | 6.59 |
| Shots per goal scored | 9.15 | – | – |
| Over 10.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| Over 11.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| Over 12.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| Over 13.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| Over 14.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| Over 15.5 shots | 50% | – | – |
| 4+ shots on target | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 5+ shots on target | 40% | 100% | 70% |
| 6+ shots on target | 30% | 100% | 65% |
| 7+ shots on target | 20% | 100% | 60% |
Offsides and more
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / match | 1.1 | 1 | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 offsides | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 3.5 offsides | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fouls committed / match | 11.1 | 10.33 | 10.72 |
| Fouls suffered / match | 11.7 | 13.33 | 12.52 |
| Average possession (%) | 52 | 65 | 58.5 |
| Draws | 30% | 17% | 24% |
Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Free kicks – AC Milan – Benfica
AC Milan matches average 22.8 free kicks, Benfica matches 23.7.
Every foul given awards a free kick to the opponent: a match’s total fouls therefore measures its free kicks (excluding penalties and advantage played).
| AC Milan | Benfica | Average | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free kicks won / match | 11.7 | 13.33 | 12.52 |
| Free kicks conceded / match | 11.1 | 10.33 | 10.72 |
| Total free kicks / match | 22.8 | 23.67 | 23.24 |
| Over 20.5 free kicks | 50% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 21.5 free kicks | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 22.5 free kicks | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 23.5 free kicks | 40% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 24.5 free kicks | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 25.5 free kicks | 30% | 33% | 32% |
Goal kicks and throw-ins are not provided by our data source, so they are not shown. Matches finished before kick-off — AC Milan: last 10 available matches; Benfica: 2026-27 season, all competitions — 6 matches.
Which players will score in AC Milan – Benfica?
Top scorers (UEFA Europa League): V. Pavlidis (6) for Benfica.
Top scorers – AC Milan
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season (0 matches).
Top scorers – Benfica
- V. Pavlidis 6
- Rafa Silva 4
- G. Prestianni 3
- C. Lenglet 1
- L. Barreiro 1
- T. Araujo 1
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season (6 matches).
Who will get a card?
Cards received – AC Milan
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards received – Benfica
- A. Bah 1
- V. Pavlidis 1
- L. Barreiro 1
- T. Araujo 1
- G. Prestianni 1
- C. Lenglet 0
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season.
Cards per 90 minutes
Cards / 90 – AC Milan
No data yet this season.
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
Cards / 90 – Benfica
- G. Prestianni 0.35
- T. Araujo 0.29
- L. Barreiro 0.27
- V. Pavlidis 0.25
- A. Bah 0.21
- C. Lenglet 0
UEFA Europa League statistics, 2026-27 season — players with at least 180 minutes played.
The teams in numbers
AC Milan
- Before this match, AC Milan took 8 points from their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), scored 8 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.
- AC Milan kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 6 goals over that period.
- At home, AC Milan wins 25% of their matches (4 played) and scores 1.25 goals per match.
- Both teams scored in 60% of AC Milan matches (10 matches, recent form).
Benfica
- Before this match, Benfica took 13 points from their last 5 matches (2.6 per match), scored 18 goals and saw both teams score in 4 of them.
- Benfica is unbeaten in 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Benfica kept a clean sheet 1 time in their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals over that period.
- Benfica scored in every one of their 3 away matches in the sample studied.
- Both teams scored in 83% of Benfica matches (6 matches, this season).
Match analysis
AC Milan and Benfica meet on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 — UEFA Europa League (League phase · matchday 1), at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milano).
Over their recent matches, AC Milan takes an average of 1 point per home match (4 matches), and Benfica 1.33 points per away match (3 matches).
According to the FlashSport AI, the chances are 46% for AC Milan, 27% for the draw and 28% for Benfica.
Statistical estimate, may be wrong. Not betting advice. 18+.
Frequently asked questions
Where and when was AC Milan – Benfica played?
The match was played on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Milano — UEFA Europa League.
Who won AC Milan – Benfica?
Benfica beat AC Milan 2-0. Scorers: D. Lukebakio 16', J. Kaminski 53'.
Who are the top scorers for AC Milan and Benfica this season?
V. Pavlidis (6 goals) for Benfica (UEFA Europa League).
Sources and method
All statistics on this page are calculated by FlashSport from matches actually played before kick-off (7,817 matches in our archive). Each block states its sample. Data our source does not provide is never estimated. The AI probabilities come from the FlashSport model, calculated before the match.
Page updated on 10 October 2026 at 03:40.
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